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Górnik Łęczna vs Znicz Pruszków Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2025
Time: 18:30
Final 1-2
Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Vs
41%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Górnik Łęczna win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków win✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W11D02L22D22D20W30W22D12LH·ODR18/10H·WIS22/10A·POG26/10H·NIE02/11A·WIS10/11H·TYC23/11H·STA01/12A·STA07/12H·ŁKS16/02A·POL21/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.271.271.400.93
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (27)1.371.151.311.381.430.93
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Znicz Pruszków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W22D11D01L12L22D21W23L10W01LA·NIE06/10H·WIS19/10A·TYC28/10H·STA02/11A·STA10/11H·ŁKS23/11H·POL29/11H·RUC08/12A·WIS15/02H·ARK22/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.501.751.561.141.43
vs Stronger (5)1.801.402.001.751.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.431.611.731.641.171.58
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2 ✓
6.7%
0-2
5.2%
Górnik Łęczna goals ↓
Znicz Pruszków goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.2%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.7%2.3%0.6%
28.2%8.5%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.6%3.7%1.9%0.6%0.2%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Górnik Łęczna goals (down), columns = Znicz Pruszków goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arka Gdynia
2.12
Nieciecza
2.09
Wisla Plock
1.94
Wisla Krakow
1.77
Miedz Legnica
1.64
Polonia Warszawa
1.60
Tychy 71
1.56
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.41
ŁKS Łódź
1.38
Stal Rzeszów
1.03
Chrobry Głogów
0.97
Odra Opole
0.88
Pogoń Siedlce
0.88
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Warta Poznań
0.71
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.68
Górnik Łęczna is 0.06 points worse than Znicz Pruszków in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nieciecza
2.06
Arka Gdynia
1.85
Wisla Krakow
1.80
Wisla Plock
1.72
Miedz Legnica
1.58
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.47
ŁKS Łódź
1.47
Tychy 71
1.38
Polonia Warszawa
1.34
Stal Rzeszów
1.24
Pogoń Siedlce
1.12
Chrobry Głogów
1.09
Odra Opole
0.91
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.79
Warta Poznań
0.65
Górnik Łęczna is 0.06 goals worse than Znicz Pruszków in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arka Gdynia
0.71
Wisla Krakow
0.94
Tychy 71
1.06
Wisla Plock
1.08
Polonia Warszawa
1.11
Nieciecza
1.15
ŁKS Łódź
1.21
Górnik Łęczna
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.26
Miedz Legnica
1.31
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Pogoń Siedlce
1.56
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.62
Warta Poznań
1.65
Stal Rzeszów
1.74
Chrobry Głogów
1.74
Odra Opole
1.79
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.91
Górnik Łęczna is 0.03 goals better than Znicz Pruszków in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L11D00D10W21W12LH·ODR18/10H·WIS22/10A·POG26/10H·NIE02/11A·WIS10/11H·TYC23/11H·STA01/12A·STA07/12H·ŁKS16/02A·POL21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.470.470.400.53
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (27)0.480.560.540.540.430.57
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Znicz Pruszków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10W00D11D01L21W21W10W01LA·NIE06/10H·WIS19/10A·TYC28/10H·STA02/11A·STA10/11H·ŁKS23/11H·POL29/11H·RUC08/12A·WIS15/02H·ARK22/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.750.620.790.79
vs Stronger (5)1.000.201.000.251.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.740.830.730.820.750.83
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D02L21W11D20W20W01L00DH·ODR18/10H·WIS22/10A·POG26/10H·NIE02/11A·WIS10/11H·TYC23/11H·STA01/12A·STA07/12H·ŁKS16/02A·POL21/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.600.800.801.000.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (27)0.890.590.770.851.000.36
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Znicz Pruszków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L01L01L21W00D02L00D00DA·NIE06/10H·WIS19/10A·TYC28/10H·STA02/11A·STA10/11H·ŁKS23/11H·POL29/11H·RUC08/12A·WIS15/02H·ARK22/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.801.000.940.360.64
vs Stronger (5)0.801.201.001.500.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.700.781.000.820.420.75
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Znicz Pruszków over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
WP (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
GŁ wins
1
Draws
0
ZP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Górnik Łęczna vs Znicz Pruszków · H/A from GŁ
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/24AZnicz Pruszków Vs GŁ2-3
17/03/24HGŁ Vs Znicz Pruszków1-1
02/09/23AZnicz Pruszków Vs GŁ0-1

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/25APolonia Warszawa Vs GŁ2-1
16/02/25HGŁ Vs ŁKS Łódź2-2
07/12/24AStal Rzeszów Vs GŁ0-3
01/12/24HGŁ Vs Stal Stalowa Wola2-0
23/11/24HGŁ Vs Tychy 712-2
10/11/24AWisla Plock Vs GŁ2-2
02/11/24HGŁ Vs Nieciecza0-2
26/10/24APogoń Siedlce Vs GŁ1-1
22/10/24HGŁ Vs Wisla Krakow1-0
18/10/24HGŁ Vs Odra Opole2-2

Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25HZP Vs Arka Gdynia0-1
15/02/25AWisla Krakow Vs ZP0-1
08/12/24HZP Vs Ruch Chorzów2-3
29/11/24HZP Vs Polonia Warszawa2-1
23/11/24HZP Vs ŁKS Łódź2-2
10/11/24AStal Rzeszów Vs ZP2-1
02/11/24HZP Vs Stal Stalowa Wola0-1
28/10/24ATychy 71 Vs ZP1-1
19/10/24HZP Vs Wisla Plock2-2
06/10/24ANieciecza Vs ZP1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.50
HomeWLDWD1.46
AwayDDDWL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals2.322.252.38
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %40%33%46%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.241.251.23
Conceded1.081.001.15
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.26
HomeLDWLL1.28
AwayDWDLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.602.642.56
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.201.361.04
Conceded1.401.281.52
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3472
62%
2.1
6324+39
2.6
74%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.7
-
2NiecieczaNieciecza3471
62%
2.1
7039+31
3.2
91%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2212.11.1
-
3Wisla PlockWisla Plock3670
56%
1.9
6239+23
2.8
78%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.71.1
-
4Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3562
51%
1.8
6333+30
2.7
74%
57%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.80.9
-
5Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3659
47%
1.6
5747+10
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.3
-
6Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3556
46%
1.6
4739+8
2.5
66%
51%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.31.1
-
7Tychy 71Tychy 713453
38%
1.6
4736+11
2.4
68%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3452
41%
1.5
5243+9
2.8
74%
59%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3450
38%
1.5
5042+8
2.7
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
10Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3448
38%
1.4
5046+4
2.8
76%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.51.4
-
11ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3447
38%
1.4
5041+9
2.7
71%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.51.2
-
12Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3435
26%
1.0
4259-17
3.0
76%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.7
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3433
24%
1.0
3759-22
2.8
79%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3430
21%
0.9
3853-15
2.7
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
15Odra OpoleOdra Opole3430
21%
0.9
3161-30
2.7
71%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.8
-
16Kotwica KołobrzegKotwica Kołobrzeg3429
18%
0.9
2955-26
2.5
68%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
17Warta PoznańWarta Poznań3424
18%
0.7
2256-34
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.61.6
-
18Stal Stalowa WolaStal Stalowa Wola3423
12%
0.7
2765-38
2.7
71%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Poland: I Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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