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GOŠK Gabela vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 0-1
GOŠK Gabela
GOŠK Gabela
Vs
14%
23%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

GOŠK Gabela win✗ Miss
13.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✓ Hit
63.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L22D02L11D03L01L02L23L12L02LH·SIR15/02A·VEL22/02H·IGM28/02A·SLO07/03H·SLO15/03A·BOR29/03H·FK 05/04A·ZEL12/04H·SLO18/04A·SIR23/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.170.432.140.942.19
vs Stronger (13)0.542.850.173.000.862.71
vs Similar (17)0.821.650.621.501.001.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-29pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L01L00D12L11D52W11D32W02L22DA·SIR26/02A·ZRI01/03H·FK 08/03H·SIR12/03A·POS16/03A·SIR28/03A·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.430.931.381.44
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.000.330.332.33
vs Similar (18)1.671.331.891.111.441.56
vs Weaker (6)1.830.671.501.002.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (GOŠK Gabela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.0%
0-1 ✓
11.1%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
4.0%
GOŠK Gabela goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
07.1%11%12%7.9%3.9%
14.0%11%9.8%6.5%3.2%
22.0%4.0%4.0%2.6%1.3%
30.6%1.1%1.1%0.7%0.4%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GOŠK Gabela goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
GOŠK Gabela is 0.79 points worse than Velež in terms of average points per game (0.48 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
GOŠK Gabela is 0.52 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
GOŠK Gabela is 1.12 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (2.30 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L11D01L00D00D02L00D01LH·SIR15/02A·VEL22/02H·IGM28/02A·SLO07/03H·SLO15/03A·BOR29/03H·FK 05/04A·ZEL12/04H·SLO18/04A·SIR23/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.930.140.710.501.12
vs Stronger (13)0.231.080.171.000.291.14
vs Similar (17)0.410.820.120.500.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L10W20W10W21W02L01LA·SIR26/02A·ZRI01/03H·FK 08/03H·SIR12/03A·POS16/03A·SIR28/03A·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.500.500.620.50
vs Stronger (6)0.000.500.000.330.000.67
vs Similar (18)0.610.610.670.560.560.67
vs Weaker (6)1.000.170.500.501.250.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (GOŠK Gabela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L00D02L01L02L21W12L01LH·SIR15/02A·VEL22/02H·IGM28/02A·SLO07/03H·SLO15/03A·BOR29/03H·FK 05/04A·ZEL12/04H·SLO18/04A·SIR23/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.230.291.430.441.06
vs Stronger (13)0.311.770.002.000.571.57
vs Similar (17)0.410.820.501.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D11D01L32W01L11D00D21WA·SIR26/02A·ZRI01/03H·FK 08/03H·SIR12/03A·POS16/03A·SIR28/03A·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.930.430.750.94
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.000.000.331.67
vs Similar (18)1.060.721.220.560.890.89
vs Weaker (6)0.830.501.000.500.750.50
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (GOŠK Gabela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GOŠK Gabela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
GG wins
3
Draws
2
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

GOŠK Gabela vs Velež · H/A from GG
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25AVelež Vs GG2-2
24/09/24HGG Vs Velež0-4
20/05/24AVelež Vs GG3-3
03/11/23HGG Vs Velež0-4
06/08/23AVelež Vs GG0-0

GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs GG2-0
18/04/25HGG Vs Sloga Doboj1-2
12/04/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs GG3-2
05/04/25HGG Vs FK Sarajevo0-2
29/03/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs GG1-0
15/03/25HGG Vs Sloga Doboj0-3
07/03/25ASloboda Tuzla Vs GG1-1
28/02/25HGG Vs Igman Konjic0-2
22/02/25AVelež Vs GG2-2
15/02/25HGG Vs Siroki Brijeg1-2

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/25HVEL Vs Igman Konjic2-2
17/04/25APosušje Vs VEL2-0
13/04/25HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina3-2
04/04/25ASloboda Tuzla Vs VEL1-1
28/03/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs VEL2-5
16/03/25APosušje Vs VEL1-1
12/03/25HVEL Vs Siroki Brijeg1-2
08/03/25HVEL Vs FK Sarajevo0-0
01/03/25AZrinjski Vs VEL1-0
26/02/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs VEL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

GOŠK Gabela
GOŠK Gabela
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.62
HomeLLLLL0.50
AwayDDLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%12%15%
AVG goals2.962.713.19
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %62%50%73%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored0.820.581.04
Conceded2.142.122.15
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet10%17%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.44
HomeDDLWD1.68
AwayLDWDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.482.362.60
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.341.441.24
Conceded1.140.921.36
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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