This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.73
1.93
0.60
1.40
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.95
0.82
2.30
0.70
1.67
0.92
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
Under 2.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2 ✓
5.1%
Göztepe goals ↓
Başakşehir goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.0%
5.1%
1.7%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.4%
8.3%
4.1%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.6%
3.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Göztepe goals (down), columns = Başakşehir goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.03
Başakşehir
1.97
Beşiktaş
1.91
Trabzonspor
1.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.35
Antalyaspor
1.32
Konyaspor
1.29
Alanyaspor
1.29
Sivasspor
1.21
Rizespor
1.21
Kayserispor
1.21
Ankaragücü
1.18
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Göztepe
1.12
Bursaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
0.79
Göztepe is 0.85 points worse than Başakşehir in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.12
Galatasaray
2.12
Trabzonspor
1.88
Kasımpaşa
1.56
Sivasspor
1.44
Başakşehir
1.44
Rizespor
1.41
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.15
Ankaragücü
1.12
Göztepe
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Kayserispor
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.00
Bursaspor
0.82
Göztepe is 0.35 goals worse than Başakşehir in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.65
Galatasaray
1.06
Bursaspor
1.09
Konyaspor
1.12
Göztepe
1.24
Erzurumspor FK
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.26
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Trabzonspor
1.35
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.35
Beşiktaş
1.38
Rizespor
1.47
Kayserispor
1.47
Ankaragücü
1.56
Sivasspor
1.59
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.82
Göztepe is 0.59 goals worse than Başakşehir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.65).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Göztepe
For 5.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Başakşehir
For 5.1 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Göztepe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
9.8
9.7
9.8
5.0
5.2
4.8
27.6
27.1
28.2
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
8.2
9.0
5.6
4.3
6.8
30.5
31.3
29.7
vs Similar (17)
11.5
13.1
10.1
4.6
5.1
4.2
26.0
24.9
27.0
vs Weaker (17)
8.9
7.8
10.1
4.9
5.8
4.0
27.2
26.2
28.4
% over line
46%
52%
39%
70%
70%
70%
85%
83%
87%
% under line
54%
48%
61%
30%
30%
30%
15%
17%
13%
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.2
8.5
4.1
4.0
4.2
25.9
25.3
26.5
vs Stronger (8)
10.4
10.5
10.2
5.8
4.5
7.0
27.2
26.2
28.2
vs Similar (6)
10.2
9.7
11.0
2.8
4.7
1.0
28.8
32.0
24.0
vs Weaker (36)
8.2
8.8
7.8
3.9
3.8
4.1
25.1
23.8
26.4
% over line
41%
48%
35%
54%
52%
56%
83%
70%
96%
% under line
59%
52%
65%
46%
48%
44%
17%
30%
4%
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rizespor
11.3
Erzurumspor FK
11.2
Ankaragücü
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.9
Fenerbahçe
10.0
Kasımpaşa
9.9
Konyaspor
9.8
Antalyaspor
9.8
Göztepe
9.8
Alanyaspor
9.6
Sivasspor
9.4
Bursaspor
9.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.2
Trabzonspor
9.1
Galatasaray
9.1
Kayserispor
9.0
Başakşehir
8.8
Akhisar Belediyespor
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beşiktaş
5.9
Alanyaspor
5.6
Ankaragücü
5.5
Trabzonspor
5.4
Sivasspor
5.4
Fenerbahçe
5.4
Konyaspor
5.3
Antalyaspor
5.1
Kayserispor
5.0
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Galatasaray
5.0
Kasımpaşa
4.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.5
Başakşehir
4.5
Bursaspor
4.3
Rizespor
3.9
Erzurumspor FK
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trabzonspor
30.2
Ankaragücü
29.8
Alanyaspor
29.7
Beşiktaş
29.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
29.3
Bursaspor
29.3
Fenerbahçe
28.7
Sivasspor
28.5
Rizespor
28.4
Antalyaspor
28.3
Akhisar Belediyespor
28.2
Göztepe
27.6
Galatasaray
27.3
Kasımpaşa
27.0
Konyaspor
26.7
Kayserispor
26.1
Başakşehir
25.9
Erzurumspor FK
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.6%
Under 3.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.5%
Under 21.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Göztepe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.73
0.27
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.45
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.57
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.50
0.88
0.38
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.30
1.20
0.33
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.86
0.36
1.40
0.40
0.42
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Göztepe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.93
0.67
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
1.00
0.33
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.18
0.75
1.00
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.62
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
0.73
0.27
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.60
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.45
0.90
0.30
1.25
0.58
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Göztepe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Göztepe · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Efkan Bekiroğlu33%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
Alex Matos33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
André Henrique0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Matos67%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
André Henrique33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Henrique33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Henrique33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Başakşehir · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eldor Shomurodov100%
Christopher Operi33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Kemen67%
Davie Selke33%
Ömer Ali Şahiner33%
Onur Ergün33%
Jerome Opoku33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Emin Bayram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Skov Olsen33%
Umut Bozok33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Christopher Operi0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eldor Shomurodov67%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
EF (26)
€26m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Göztepe's squad is €16m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€61m vs €77m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
Göztepe's attack is €10m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€30m vs €40m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Göztepe's midfield is €9m more valuable than Başakşehir's (€19m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Göztepe's defence is €16m less valuable than Başakşehir's (€12m vs €28m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
Sivasspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Kasımpaşa
Bursaspor
Erzurumspor FK