PythiaFootballBETA
Göztepe are the clear favourites, with a 61 % chance of winning, a 23 % chance of a draw and a 16 % chance of Gaziantep FK taking the victory. The model predicts an average of 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 24 %. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.9 % probability. Göztepe, playing at home against a weaker side, have not scored or conceded in their recent home form, while Gaziantep FK, on the road against a stronger opponent, average 1.17 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (94.7 %), Over 2.5 cards (88.9 %), Over 21.5 fouls (88.5 %), Over 1.5 (80.2 %), Over 23.5 fouls (78.7 %), Under 11.5 corners (78.3 %) and Over 3.5 cards (75.8 %). Göztepe’s recent form shows a loss, win, loss, win, defeat, while Gaziantep FK’s recent form is a win, draw, loss, loss, loss.
Göztepe’s recent run of five matches, ending with a defeat, saw them return to the stadium to face Gaziantep FK, who had just secured a win away. The model’s favourite, a home win, was confirmed as the final score was 2-1 in Göztepe’s favour. The pre-match probability for the home side winning was 61 %. The model’s selections largely proved accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 94.7 %, Over 2.5 cards at 88.9 %, Over 21.5 fouls at 88.5 %, Over 1.5 at 80.2 %, Over 23.5 fouls at 78.7 %, and Over 3.5 cards at 75.8 %. The only miss was Under 11.5 corners, which fell short at 78.3 %. All figures are reported exactly as provided.
Göztepe| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 0.97 | 1.47 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.14 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.25 | 0.70 | 1.55 | 0.73 | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Gaziantep FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.37 | 1.73 | 1.20 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.93 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.73 | 2.27 | 0.20 | 2.60 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.74 | 1.42 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.78 | 1.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
| Gaziantep FK goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 11% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
GöztepeGaziantep FKGöztepe| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.1 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 26.6 | 26.2 | 27.0 |
| vs Stronger (13) | 9.8 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 26.5 | 26.0 | 26.9 |
| vs Similar (29) | 8.6 | 8.9 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 26.8 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 9.5 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 26.0 | 23.3 | 27.6 |
| % over line | 42% | 43% | 40% | 62% | 70% | 56% | 90% | 91% | 88% |
| % under line | 58% | 57% | 60% | 38% | 30% | 44% | 10% | 9% | 12% |
Gaziantep FK| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 10.8 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 28.8 | 28.2 | 29.3 |
| vs Stronger (18) | 10.5 | 11.9 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 28.1 | 26.1 | 29.6 |
| vs Similar (30) | 9.2 | 10.0 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 29.8 | 30.2 | 29.4 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 11.5 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 |
| % over line | 45% | 57% | 35% | 72% | 75% | 69% | 91% | 86% | 96% |
| % under line | 55% | 43% | 65% | 28% | 25% | 31% | 9% | 14% | 4% |
Göztepe| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.65 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+41pp vs league) | |||||
Gaziantep FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.80 | 0.73 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.95 | 0.47 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.78 | 0.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Göztepe| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.43 | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.64 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.33 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
Gaziantep FK| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 1.07 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.87 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.36 | 1.27 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.79 | 0.95 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 94.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 88.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 88.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 78.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 78.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Over 3.5 cards | 75.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/04/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 06/02/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 01/11/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/04/22 | A | 1-1 | |
| 06/12/21 | H | 2-1 | |
| 08/02/21 | A | 2-0 | |
| 26/09/20 | H | 2-2 |
Göztepe| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 08/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/02/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 22/02/26 | A | 4-0 |
Gaziantep FK| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 20/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 13/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 17/03/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 13/03/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 08/03/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/03/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 01/03/26 | A | 0-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | 77 | 71% | 2.3 | 77 | 30 | +47 | 3.1 | 85% | 68% | 41% | 8.9 | 44% | 4.6 | 56% | 23.7 | 71% | 260 | 151 | 43 | 66 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 62% |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 34 | 74 | 62% | 2.2 | 77 | 37 | +40 | 3.4 | 88% | 65% | 53% | 11.1 | 62% | 6.2 | 82% | 26.4 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 59% |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | 69 | 59% | 2.0 | 61 | 39 | +22 | 2.9 | 79% | 56% | 26% | 9.8 | 47% | 4.4 | 53% | 26.1 | 76% | 116 | 48 | 23 | 45 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 55% |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | 60 | 50% | 1.8 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 2.9 | 82% | 59% | 35% | 10.1 | 50% | 5.4 | 76% | 25.6 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 56% |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 34 | 57 | 47% | 1.7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 2.7 | 82% | 62% | 24% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.8 | 73% | 26.5 | 88% | 75 | 36 | 13 | 26 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 6 | Göztepe | 34 | 55 | 41% | 1.6 | 42 | 32 | +10 | 2.2 | 71% | 41% | 18% | 9.4 | 47% | 5.4 | 68% | 27.6 | 94% | 80 | 42 | 24 | 15 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 38% |
| 7 |  Samsunspor | 34 | 51 | 38% | 1.5 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 2.7 | 76% | 56% | 32% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.5 | 61% | 27.1 | 91% | 56 | 30 | 8 | 19 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 54% |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | 41 | 29% | 1.2 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 2.9 | 76% | 59% | 35% | 8.8 | 47% | 4.5 | 61% | 26.9 | 85% | 49 | 18 | 10 | 21 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | 40 | 29% | 1.2 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 2.7 | 91% | 56% | 24% | 9.6 | 50% | 4.9 | 68% | 25.1 | 79% | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 37 | 21% | 1.1 | 41 | 41 | +0 | 2.4 | 74% | 47% | 29% | 8.4 | 35% | 4.8 | 64% | 27.2 | 82% | 42 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 34 | 37 | 26% | 1.1 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 1.9 | 56% | 26% | 12% | 8.1 | 29% | 4.9 | 62% | 28.7 | 94% | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 50% |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 34 | 37 | 26% | 1.1 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 3.0 | 91% | 68% | 26% | 10.2 | 50% | 5.9 | 85% | 29.7 | 94% | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 50% |
| 13 |  Kasımpaşa | 34 | 35 | 24% | 1.0 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 2.4 | 71% | 44% | 21% | 8.7 | 32% | 5.3 | 71% | 28.8 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 44% |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 34 | 26% | 1.0 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 2.4 | 65% | 53% | 21% | 9.3 | 50% | 4.7 | 58% | 26.9 | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 43% |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | 33 | 24% | 1.0 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 2.4 | 68% | 47% | 18% | 9.3 | 38% | 4.8 | 69% | 27.1 | 79% | 36 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 48% |
| 16 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | 32 | 24% | 0.9 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 2.6 | 65% | 50% | 29% | 9.8 | 59% | 5.6 | 70% | 27.3 | 88% | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 45% |
| 17 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 30 | 24% | 0.9 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 2.5 | 76% | 47% | 18% | 8.9 | 41% | 4.0 | 62% | 28.1 | 94% | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 45% |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 34 | 30 | 18% | 0.9 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 32% | 9.7 | 59% | 4.4 | 70% | 26.0 | 82% | 27 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 47% |