Göztepe are favoured to win at home, with a 49% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 24% for Gaziantep FK to win. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, centring on a 2-goal outcome that is 26% likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. Göztepe have been scoring 1.55 goals and conceding 0.82 at home against teams of similar strength, while Gaziantep FK average 1.82 goals scored and 1.73 conceded on the road to comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.3% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.1% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0% with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3% with a 5% edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 94.9%, and Under 5.5 at 94.7% with a 3% edge. Göztepe’s recent form shows a slump after two defeats, while Gaziantep FK are coming off a loss, hinting at a cautious, low-scoring encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Göztepe win
49.8%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.86
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.92
Dafabet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.87
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.58
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.72
Betfair
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.69
Unibet
3.65
Gaziantep FK win
23.8%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.89
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.12
Unibet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.96
Pinnacle
3.95
Dafabet
3.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Göztepe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.27
1.36
1.00
1.06
1.50
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
2.43
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.40
vs Similar (22)
1.32
0.95
1.55
0.82
1.09
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gaziantep FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gaziantep FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.70
1.00
1.43
1.56
1.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
2.44
0.50
2.50
1.00
2.40
vs Similar (21)
1.52
1.38
1.20
1.00
1.82
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.8%
@ 1.23+1.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
@ 3.88-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Unibet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.92
BetVictor
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.78-0.3%
Under 2.5
47.2%
@ 2.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.06
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.5%
@ 2.91-1.4%
Under 3.5
69.5%
@ 1.37+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
BetVictor
2.90
Under
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
55.6%
@ 1.67+0.2%
No
44.4%
@ 2.07-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
No
Unibet
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.60+5.8%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.70+3.8%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.30+3.1%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.83+3.7%
0-0
7.3%@ 10.88+3.2%
1-2
6.3%@ 11.90+2.6%
0-1
5.6%@ 11.28+1.7%
3-1
5.4%@ 13.07+2.0%
Göztepe goals ↓
Gaziantep FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
5.6%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.2%
13%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.6%
5.3%
2.0%
0.5%
3
4.9%
5.4%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.1%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Göztepe goals (down), columns = Gaziantep FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Göztepe is 0.53 points better than Gaziantep FK in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Göztepe is 0.03 goals worse than Gaziantep FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Göztepe is 0.76 goals better than Gaziantep FK in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Göztepe is 11.5 percentage points worse than Gaziantep FK in terms of average possession (38% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Göztepe
For 4.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.6 · Against 9.7 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gaziantep FK
For 4.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 16.5 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Göztepe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
9.0
4.8
4.8
4.7
26.6
26.5
26.6
vs Stronger (14)
9.7
9.7
9.8
5.3
6.0
4.8
25.8
26.0
25.6
vs Similar (32)
9.3
9.9
8.7
4.5
4.5
4.6
26.8
27.2
26.5
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
11.0
8.5
4.8
4.0
5.5
27.0
22.5
31.5
% over line
47%
52%
42%
64%
65%
63%
88%
91%
85%
% under line
53%
48%
58%
36%
35%
37%
12%
9%
15%
This opponent (Gaziantep FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gaziantep FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.3
9.3
5.0
5.3
4.6
29.3
29.0
29.6
vs Stronger (15)
10.5
11.1
9.9
5.4
4.9
6.0
28.6
26.9
30.3
vs Similar (35)
9.5
9.9
9.0
4.8
5.5
4.1
29.7
30.1
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
50%
41%
70%
76%
64%
93%
91%
95%
% under line
55%
50%
59%
30%
24%
36%
7%
9%
5%
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Başakşehir
9.7
Samsunspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Konyaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Çorum FK
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Eyüpspor
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.3
Alanyaspor
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.8
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Beşiktaş
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Konyaspor
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Çorum FK
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Alanyaspor
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Trabzonspor
4.7
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
28.9
Kasımpaşa
27.7
Kocaelispor
27.4
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.5
Samsunspor
26.2
Rizespor
26.1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Fenerbahçe
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.2
Konyaspor
24.8
Galatasaray
23.5
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
22.9
Amed
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.0%
@ 1.93-3.2%
Under 9.5
55.0%
@ 1.79+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.79
Under
Unibet
1.88
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.9%
Under 21.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Göztepe or Draw
79.4%
Avg Implied 76.1% · @ 1.23
Edge
+3.3%
50%
26%
24%
covers Göztepe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Göztepe or Gaziantep FK
73.5%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.2%
50%
26%
24%
covers Göztepe + Gaziantep FK
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Draw or Gaziantep FK
47.1%
Avg Implied 49.2% · @ 1.90
Edge
-2.1%
50%
26%
24%
covers Draw + Gaziantep FK
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Betfair
1.91
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Göztepe over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
@ 1.16+1.4%
Under
18.6%
@ 4.65-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Göztepe over/under 1.5
Over
50.1%
@ 1.83-0.6%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.89+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betfair
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.87
Göztepe over/under 2.5
Over
23.8%
@ 3.63-1.7%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.25+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.81
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
Under
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Göztepe over/under 3.5
Over
9.1%
@ 8.24-2.2%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.05+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Gaziantep FK over/under 0.5
Over
62.2%
@ 1.40-3.9%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.73+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Gaziantep FK over/under 1.5
Over
25.4%
@ 2.99-5.6%
Under
74.6%
@ 1.35+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
Betano
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Gaziantep FK over/under 2.5
Over
7.5%
@ 7.80-4.4%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.06+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
8.40
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Gaziantep FK over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
@ 17.25-3.8%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Göztepe, so a minus line means Göztepe give that many goals of a start and Gaziantep FK receive them. At -1, Göztepe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Göztepe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Göztepe)
Göztepe -2
12.9%
@ 6.69-0.5%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 5.31-0.3%
Gaziantep FK +2
70.5%
@ 1.29+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
5.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Away
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Göztepe)
Göztepe -1
29.5%
@ 3.21+1.7%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.64-1.2%
Gaziantep FK +1
47.1%
@ 1.87-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
2.95
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.55
Away
Unibet
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Göztepe)
Göztepe +1
79.4%
@ 1.23+6.2%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 5.50-3.3%
Gaziantep FK -1
7.6%
@ 8.58-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Away
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Handicap +2 (Göztepe)
Göztepe +2
92.4%
@ 1.06+5.2%
Draw +2
5.6%
@ 11.00-2.8%
Gaziantep FK -2
2.0%
@ 21.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
12.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
23.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Göztepe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.71
0.36
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.41
0.91
0.27
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gaziantep FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gaziantep FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.43
0.93
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.22
0.25
1.75
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.57
0.50
0.60
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.4%
@ 1.34-0.1%
Under 0.5
30.6%
@ 3.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
@ 2.57-3.6%
Under 1.5
67.5%
@ 1.45+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.67
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Under
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.39-3.3%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.45
Under
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.7%
@ 1.74+1.2%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.00-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Under
Unibet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.93
Göztepe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.0%
@ 4.85-4.1%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.15+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Göztepe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 10.50-5.2%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Gaziantep FK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.1%
@ 2.38-2.9%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.52+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Gaziantep FK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
@ 8.53-1.6%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.05+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Gaziantep FK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Göztepe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.64
0.64
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.43
1.00
1.50
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.55
0.64
0.55
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Gaziantep FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gaziantep FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.57
0.50
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.22
0.25
0.75
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.81
0.70
0.40
1.09
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.20+0.4%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 4.12-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.3%
@ 1.98-3.8%
Under 1.5
56.7%
@ 1.76+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 4.12-4.8%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.20+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Göztepe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.2%
@ 1.52-0.8%
Under
39.8%
@ 2.38+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Göztepe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.8%
@ 3.48-4.8%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.26+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Göztepe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.8%
@ 8.80-4.7%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Gaziantep FK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.8%
@ 2.02-1.2%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.72+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.66
Gaziantep FK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 6.25-3.4%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.55
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Gaziantep FK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 11.50-6.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+4.4%
Home +2 handicap
92.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+2.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+1.6%
Over 21.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.08
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+3.4%
Under 4.5
86.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+3.9%
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+4.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
+4.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+1.4%
Home or Draw
79.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+3.3%
Home +1 handicap
79.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+6.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
+4.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+0.4%
Over 1.5
77.8%
1.23
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+1.8%
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
1.29
Unibet
1.34
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
+5.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
76.2%
1.25
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+1.7%
Away under 1.5 goals
74.6%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
+5.6%
Home or Away
73.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
-1.2%
Away +2 handicap
70.5%
1.29
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
+0.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Göztepe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Efkan Bekiroğlu33%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
Alex Matos33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
André Henrique0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Matos67%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
André Henrique33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Henrique33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Henrique33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Gaziantep FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Deian Sorescu67%
Myenty Abena0%
Alexandru Maxim0%
Florin Ştefan0%
Luis Pérez0%
Kacper Kozłowski0%
Ulrich Meleke0%
Kacper Tobiasz0%
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Myenty Abena33%
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo33%
Alexandru Maxim0%
Florin Ştefan0%
Deian Sorescu0%
Luis Pérez0%
Kacper Kozłowski0%
Ulrich Meleke0%
Kacper Tobiasz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Myenty Abena0%
Alexandru Maxim0%
Florin Ştefan0%
Deian Sorescu0%
Luis Pérez0%
Kacper Kozłowski0%
Ulrich Meleke0%
Kacper Tobiasz0%
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ulrich Meleke33%
Myenty Abena0%
Alexandru Maxim0%
Florin Ştefan0%
Deian Sorescu0%
Luis Pérez0%
Kacper Kozłowski0%
Kacper Tobiasz0%
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Göztepe's squad is €34m more valuable than Gaziantep FK's (€61m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Göztepe's attack is €16m more valuable than Gaziantep FK's (€30m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Göztepe's midfield is €11m more valuable than Gaziantep FK's (€19m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Göztepe's defence is €6m more valuable than Gaziantep FK's (€12m vs €6m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Eyüpspor
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor