Grafičar vs Dubočica Result & Analysis

Grafićar are the favourites to win at home, with a 51% chance of lifting the trophy, a 28% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of a Dubočica victory. The model expects 2.5 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Grafićar’s home form against weaker opposition sees them scoring an average of one goal and conceding 0.86, while Dubočica, playing away against stronger sides, averages one goal scored and two conceded. The model’s selections include an Under 3.5 with a 74.9% probability and an Over 1.5 with 73.3%. Grafićar’s recent run of LLDWL, after two straight defeats, and Dubočica’s WLLWD, coming off a win, add intrigue. The expected outcome remains a home win, with the match likely to finish 1-1.

The win extends Grafićar’s run, ending a two-match losing streak to finish the game 3-1. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 51% probability, and this call proved correct. The suggested picks were mixed: Under 3.5, with a 74.9% chance, missed as the match produced four goals, while Over 1.5, at 73.3%, hit, as the total exceeded one and a half. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (13.1%) and the 2-0 (9.9%) were not achieved, but the final result matched the model’s overall prediction. The model’s selections performed well overall, with a decisive home victory and a successful over-goals pick.