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Grafičar vs FK Trayal Result & Analysis

Date: 18/12/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Grafičar
Grafičar
Vs
54%
27%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Trayal
FK Trayal
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grafičar win✗ Miss
54.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal win✓ Hit
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L22D13L20W13L00D03L11D11DH·RAD06/10A·FK 13/10H·ZEM19/10A·JAV26/10H·IND04/11A·MLA11/11A·SLO16/11A·SLO30/11H·DUB08/12A·SEM14/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.401.641.001.191.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.211.471.601.100.781.89
vs Weaker (11)1.731.271.750.751.711.57
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trayal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D40W30W02L12L40W00D02L03LA·OFK04/10H·SLO13/10A·DUB21/10H·SEM26/10A·MAC03/11H·RAD11/11H·BOR17/11H·RAD01/12A·FK 08/12H·ZEM14/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.331.331.200.671.47
vs Stronger (1)2.004.002.004.00--
vs Similar (29)0.971.241.291.000.671.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
Grafičar goals ↓
FK Trayal goals →
01234
09.2%5.9%3.1%0.9%0.2%
112%13%5.1%1.5%0.3%
211%9.5%4.2%1.2%0.3%
35.9%5.2%2.3%0.7%0.1%
42.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grafičar goals (down), columns = FK Trayal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
Grafičar is 0.19 points better than FK Trayal in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
Grafičar is 0.19 goals better than FK Trayal in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
Grafičar is 0.14 goals worse than FK Trayal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D01L00D12L00D01L10W01LH·RAD06/10A·FK 13/10H·ZEM19/10A·JAV26/10H·IND04/11A·MLA11/11A·SLO16/11A·SLO30/11H·DUB08/12A·SEM14/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.860.640.560.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.840.600.900.330.78
vs Weaker (11)1.090.271.500.000.860.43
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trayal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D02L10W10W00D01L00DA·OFK04/10H·SLO13/10A·DUB21/10H·SEM26/10A·MAC03/11H·RAD11/11H·BOR17/11H·RAD01/12A·FK 08/12H·ZEM14/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.400.470.330.73
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (29)0.340.520.360.290.330.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D12L20W01L00D02L01L10WH·RAD06/10A·FK 13/10H·ZEM19/10A·JAV26/10H·IND04/11A·MLA11/11A·SLO16/11A·SLO30/11H·DUB08/12A·SEM14/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.790.360.621.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.740.631.000.200.441.11
vs Weaker (11)0.641.000.250.750.861.14
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trayal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W30W30W00D02L30W00D01L03LA·OFK04/10H·SLO13/10A·DUB21/10H·SEM26/10A·MAC03/11H·RAD11/11H·BOR17/11H·RAD01/12A·FK 08/12H·ZEM14/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.930.730.330.73
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.620.720.930.710.330.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
GRA wins
0
Draws
1
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grafičar vs FK Trayal · H/A from GRA
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24AFK Trayal Vs GRA2-4
12/03/23AFK Trayal Vs GRA2-1
10/09/22HGRA Vs FK Trayal2-0

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs GRA1-1
08/12/24HGRA Vs Dubočica1-1
30/11/24ASloven Ruma Vs GRA3-0
16/11/24ASloboda Uzice Vs GRA0-0
11/11/24AMladost Novi Sad Vs GRA3-1
04/11/24HGRA Vs Indjija2-0
26/10/24AJavor Vs GRA3-1
19/10/24HGRA Vs Zemun2-2
13/10/24AFK Vozdovac Vs GRA2-1
06/10/24HGRA Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica0-0

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/24HFT Vs Zemun0-3
08/12/24AFK Vozdovac Vs FT2-0
01/12/24HFT Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica0-0
17/11/24HFT Vs Borac Cacak4-0
11/11/24HFT Vs Radnik Surdulica1-2
03/11/24AMacva Vs FT2-0
26/10/24HFT Vs Semendrija 19243-0
21/10/24ADubočica Vs FT0-4
13/10/24HFT Vs Sloven Ruma1-1
04/10/24AOFK Vršac Vs FT2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDD1.32
HomeDDDWD1.76
AwayLLDLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.782.882.68
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.341.641.04
Conceded1.441.241.64
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Trayal
FK Trayal
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.04
HomeWLWDL1.50
AwayDLWLL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%12%
AVG goals2.262.422.08
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %42%50%33%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored0.981.310.62
Conceded1.281.121.46
BTTS42%50%33%
Clean Sheet24%35%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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