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Grafičar vs Indjija Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Grafičar
Grafičar
Vs
46%
25%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Indjija
Indjija
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grafičar win✗ Miss
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Indjija win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W30W10W31W51W11D20W21W24L12LH·LOZ06/08A·RAD14/08H·IMT20/08A·ŽEL27/08H·FK 31/08A·PRO05/09H·FK 10/09A·JED17/09H·SLO29/09A·RAD03/10
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.451.183.001.202.001.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.331.003.000.502.001.25
vs Weaker (5)2.601.403.001.672.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Indjija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IndjijaIndjija

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W31W00D00D41W32W23L11D21WA·RAD13/08H·MAC20/08A·LOZ26/08H·RAD31/08A·IMT05/09H·ŽEL12/09A·FK 18/09H·PRO24/09A·FK 28/09H·JED02/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.751.081.861.141.601.00
vs Stronger (1)4.001.004.001.00--
vs Similar (11)1.551.091.501.171.601.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
Grafičar goals ↓
Indjija goals →
01234
05.1%4.6%3.9%1.8%0.6%
16.3%11%7.1%3.3%1.2%
26.6%9.3%6.5%3.0%1.1%
34.0%5.6%3.9%1.8%0.6%
41.8%2.5%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grafičar goals (down), columns = Indjija goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
Grafičar is 0.16 points better than Indjija in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.46).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Grafičar is 0.51 goals better than Indjija in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
Grafičar is 0.30 goals worse than Indjija in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.95).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W20W20W00D20W11D12L00DH·LOZ06/08A·RAD14/08H·IMT20/08A·ŽEL27/08H·FK 31/08A·PRO05/09H·FK 10/09A·JED17/09H·SLO29/09A·RAD03/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.180.361.600.400.830.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.330.331.500.001.250.50
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.670.670.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Indjija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IndjijaIndjija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W21W00D00D20W11D10W11D20WA·RAD13/08H·MAC20/08A·LOZ26/08H·RAD31/08A·IMT05/09H·ŽEL12/09A·FK 18/09H·PRO24/09A·FK 28/09H·JED02/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.421.430.290.800.60
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (11)1.090.451.330.330.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indjija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indjija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indjija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W30W00D11D31W11D00D10W12L12LH·LOZ06/08A·RAD14/08H·IMT20/08A·ŽEL27/08H·FK 31/08A·PRO05/09H·FK 10/09A·JED17/09H·SLO29/09A·RAD03/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.821.400.801.170.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.671.500.500.750.75
vs Weaker (5)1.601.001.331.002.001.00
Clean sheet %36% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Indjija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IndjijaIndjija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W00D00D21W21W13L00D01LA·RAD13/08H·MAC20/08A·LOZ26/08H·RAD31/08A·IMT05/09H·ŽEL12/09A·FK 18/09H·PRO24/09A·FK 28/09H·JED02/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.670.430.860.800.40
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (11)0.450.640.170.830.800.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indjija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indjija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Indjija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GRA wins
0
Draws
0
IND wins

Head-to-head

Grafičar vs Indjija · H/A from GRA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/22ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs GRA2-1
29/09/22HGRA Vs Sloboda Uzice2-4
17/09/22AJedinstvo Ub Vs GRA1-2
10/09/22HGRA Vs FK Trayal2-0
05/09/22AProleter Novi SAD Vs GRA1-1
31/08/22HGRA Vs FK Zlatibor5-1
27/08/22AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs GRA1-3
20/08/22HGRA Vs IMT Novi Beograd1-0
14/08/22ARAD Vs GRA0-3
06/08/22HGRA Vs Loznica5-1

IndjijaIndjija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22HIND Vs Jedinstvo Ub2-1
28/09/22AFK Trayal Vs IND1-1
24/09/22HIND Vs Proleter Novi SAD2-3
18/09/22AFK Zlatibor Vs IND2-3
12/09/22HIND Vs Železničar Pančevo4-1
05/09/22AIMT Novi Beograd Vs IND0-0
31/08/22HIND Vs RAD0-0
26/08/22ALoznica Vs IND1-3
20/08/22HIND Vs Macva3-0
13/08/22ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs IND1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL2.09
HomeWWWWL2.40
AwayWWDWL1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%80%50%
AVG goals3.644.203.17
Over 1.5 %91%80%100%
Over 2.5 %73%60%83%
Over 3.5 %45%60%33%
Scored2.453.002.00
Conceded1.181.201.17
BTTS73%60%83%
Clean Sheet27%40%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Indjija
Indjija
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.67
HomeWDWLW1.57
AwayDWDWD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%40%
AVG goals2.833.002.60
Over 1.5 %75%71%80%
Over 2.5 %58%71%40%
Over 3.5 %42%43%40%
Scored1.751.861.60
Conceded1.081.141.00
BTTS67%57%80%
Clean Sheet25%29%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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