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Grafičar vs Metalac GM Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Grafičar
Grafičar
Vs
57%
25%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Metalac GM
Metalac GM
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grafičar win✓ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM win✗ Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L02L12L11D20W42W12L01L10WA·IMT19/11H·ŽEL25/02H·PRO06/03A·FK 12/03A·FK 16/03H·JED19/03H·OFK23/03A·SLO27/03H·RAD01/04A·IND08/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.252.291.211.571.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.531.201.621.001.431.43
vs Weaker (13)2.381.313.171.501.711.14
Clean sheet %21% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalac GM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D10W11D12L10W00D10W11D01LA·RAD19/11H·MAC25/02H·RAD05/03A·LOZ08/03A·IMT12/03H·ŽEL19/03A·FK 23/03H·PRO27/03A·FK 01/04H·JED08/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.891.111.140.710.641.50
vs Stronger (5)1.002.201.001.671.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.870.871.180.450.581.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
2-0 ✓
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.0%
Grafičar goals ↓
Metalac GM goals →
01234
07.7%4.9%2.7%0.8%0.2%
111%12%5.0%1.5%0.3%
211%9.8%4.5%1.4%0.3%
36.5%5.9%2.7%0.8%0.2%
42.9%2.7%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grafičar goals (down), columns = Metalac GM goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
Grafičar is 0.32 points better than Metalac GM in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Grafičar is 0.62 goals better than Metalac GM in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
Grafičar is 0.11 goals worse than Metalac GM in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L02L11D10W20W20W00D00D00DA·IMT19/11H·ŽEL25/02H·PRO06/03A·FK 12/03A·FK 16/03H·JED19/03H·OFK23/03A·SLO27/03H·RAD01/04A·IND08/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.210.570.640.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.870.730.880.620.860.86
vs Weaker (13)1.000.381.670.500.430.29
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalac GM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W00D02L00D00D10W10W00DA·RAD19/11H·MAC25/02H·RAD05/03A·LOZ08/03A·IMT12/03H·ŽEL19/03A·FK 23/03H·PRO27/03A·FK 01/04H·JED08/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.540.640.290.290.79
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.331.000.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.350.730.090.250.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %61% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L01L00D22D12L01L10WA·IMT19/11H·ŽEL25/02H·PRO06/03A·FK 12/03A·FK 16/03H·JED19/03H·OFK23/03A·SLO27/03H·RAD01/04A·IND08/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.681.070.640.930.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.470.750.380.570.57
vs Weaker (13)1.380.921.501.001.290.86
Clean sheet %46% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalac GM) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L00D11D10W10W00D00D01L01LA·RAD19/11H·MAC25/02H·RAD05/03A·LOZ08/03A·IMT12/03H·ŽEL19/03A·FK 23/03H·PRO27/03A·FK 01/04H·JED08/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.500.430.360.71
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.670.670.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.390.520.450.360.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
GRA wins
0
Draws
0
MG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grafičar vs Metalac GM · H/A from GRA
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22AMetalac GM Vs GRA1-3

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23AIndjija Vs GRA0-1
01/04/23HGRA Vs Radnički Novi Beograd0-1
27/03/23ASloboda Uzice Vs GRA2-1
23/03/23HGRA Vs OFK Vršac4-2
19/03/23HGRA Vs Jedinstvo Ub2-0
16/03/23AFK Zlatibor Vs GRA1-1
12/03/23AFK Trayal Vs GRA2-1
06/03/23HGRA Vs Proleter Novi SAD0-2
25/02/23HGRA Vs Železničar Pančevo0-1
19/11/22AIMT Novi Beograd Vs GRA3-0

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23HMG Vs Jedinstvo Ub0-1
01/04/23AFK Trayal Vs MG1-1
27/03/23HMG Vs Proleter Novi SAD1-0
23/03/23AFK Zlatibor Vs MG0-0
19/03/23HMG Vs Železničar Pančevo1-0
12/03/23AIMT Novi Beograd Vs MG2-1
08/03/23ALoznica Vs MG1-1
05/03/23HMG Vs RAD1-0
25/02/23HMG Vs Macva1-1
19/11/22ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs MG2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.68
HomeLLWWL1.86
AwayLLDLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%57%43%
AVG goals3.183.502.86
Over 1.5 %86%79%93%
Over 2.5 %61%50%71%
Over 3.5 %32%43%21%
Scored1.932.291.57
Conceded1.251.211.29
BTTS64%57%71%
Clean Sheet21%21%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Metalac GM
Metalac GM
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.14
HomeDWWWL1.71
AwayLDLDD0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%50%7%
AVG goals2.001.862.14
Over 1.5 %57%50%64%
Over 2.5 %29%21%36%
Over 3.5 %18%14%21%
Scored0.891.140.64
Conceded1.110.711.50
BTTS43%36%50%
Clean Sheet36%50%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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