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Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919 Prediction & Stats

Date: 16/09/2026
Time: 16:00
Grafičar
Grafičar
Vs
69%
21%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
OFK Bor 1919
OFK Bor 1919
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Grafićar are the clear favourites, the model rating them at 72 % for a home win and picking that outcome as the most likely. Their recent 1-2 loss to Naftagas is already a low-point start, yet their home form against weaker opponents shows 1.75 goals scored and only 0.88 conceded, a stark contrast to OFK Bor 1919’s away record of 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the single most likely scoreline 2-0, a 14.5 % chance. The match is projected to finish 2-0, a decisive home victory. Home win probability 72 %, draw 20 %, away win 9 %. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals 99.6 %, Under 7.5 99.3 %, Home +2 handicap 97.8 %, Under 6.5 97.7 %, Away under 2.5 goals 97.5 %, Under 5.5 93.8 %, Home or Draw 91.4 %, and Home +1 handicap 91.4 %. These picks reflect the strong home advantage and the away side’s defensive frailty.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grafičar win
68.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 win
10.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W20W30W13L01L12L10W22D12L14LH·DUB11/05A·KAB17/05H·FK 24/05A·FAP29/05A·NAP02/08H·SEM09/08A·FK 14/08H·LOZ19/08A·NAF24/08H·DUB31/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.001.501.000.571.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.930.931.380.880.331.00
vs Weaker (16)1.191.061.621.120.751.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Bor 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L14L22D00D21WA·FK 01/08H·NAP08/08A·SEM15/08H·FK 19/08A·LOZ23/08H·NAF30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.831.331.330.332.33
vs Stronger (5)0.602.001.001.500.332.33
vs Similar (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.8%
Grafičar goals ↓
OFK Bor 1919 goals →
01234
06.8%3.4%1.5%0.4%0.1%
112%9.9%3.2%0.8%0.1%
213%9.5%3.4%0.8%0.1%
39.2%6.6%2.4%0.6%0.1%
44.8%3.5%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grafičar goals (down), columns = OFK Bor 1919 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Cacak
2.50
TSC Backa Topola
2.00
OFK Vršac
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
Javor
1.83
Napredak
1.67
Dubočica
1.67
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.50
Loznica
1.17
FK Vozdovac
1.17
Teleoptik
0.83
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
Naftagas
0.67
Jedinstvo Ub
0.67
Metalac GM
0.67
Grafičar
0.67
Grafičar is 0.17 points worse than OFK Bor 1919 in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Javor
2.50
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.33
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
1.83
TSC Backa Topola
1.67
OFK Vršac
1.50
Dubočica
1.50
Teleoptik
1.33
Loznica
1.33
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Napredak
1.00
Metalac GM
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Grafičar is 0.17 goals better than OFK Bor 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
OFK Vršac
1.00
Javor
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.17
Loznica
1.17
Napredak
1.17
Dubočica
1.17
Borac Cacak
1.17
Naftagas
1.50
Jedinstvo Ub
1.83
OFK Bor 1919
1.83
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.83
Metalac GM
1.83
Grafičar
1.83
Teleoptik
2.17
Grafičar and OFK Bor 1919 are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Grafičar or Draw
89.3%
Avg Implied -
69%
21%
11%
covers Grafičar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grafičar or OFK Bor 1919
79.2%
Avg Implied -
69%
21%
11%
covers Grafičar + OFK Bor 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or OFK Bor 1919
31.4%
Avg Implied -
69%
21%
11%
covers Draw + OFK Bor 1919
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Grafičar over/under 0.5
Over
87.8%
Under
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5
Over
62.1%
Under
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 3.5
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 0.5
Over
51.3%
Under
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 1.5
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 2.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Grafičar, so a minus line means Grafičar give that many goals of a start and OFK Bor 1919 receive them. At -1, Grafičar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Grafičar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Grafičar)
Grafičar -2
23.6%
Draw -2
21.2%
OFK Bor 1919 +2
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Grafičar)
Grafičar -1
44.8%
Draw -1
23.8%
OFK Bor 1919 +1
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Grafičar)
Grafičar +1
89.3%
Draw +1
7.5%
OFK Bor 1919 -1
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Grafičar)
Grafičar +2
96.9%
Draw +2
2.5%
OFK Bor 1919 -2
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W10W01L00D00D00D01L10W01LH·DUB11/05A·KAB17/05H·FK 24/05A·FAP29/05A·NAP02/08H·SEM09/08A·FK 14/08H·LOZ19/08A·NAF24/08H·DUB31/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.370.560.380.210.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.360.290.500.120.170.50
vs Weaker (16)0.440.440.620.620.250.25
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Bor 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D04L11D00D10WA·FK 01/08H·NAP08/08A·SEM15/08H·FK 19/08A·LOZ23/08H·NAF30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.670.330.001.67
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.500.500.001.67
vs Similar (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W20W12L01L12L10W21W02L13LH·DUB11/05A·KAB17/05H·FK 24/05A·FAP29/05A·NAP02/08H·SEM09/08A·FK 14/08H·LOZ19/08A·NAF24/08H·DUB31/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.940.620.360.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.640.880.750.170.50
vs Weaker (16)0.750.621.000.500.500.75
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Bor 1919) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W11D00D11DA·FK 01/08H·NAP08/08A·SEM15/08H·FK 19/08A·LOZ23/08H·NAF30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.671.000.330.67
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.501.000.330.67
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Bor 1919 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.4%-------
Under 7.599.1%-------
Under 6.597.5%-------
Home +2 handicap96.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals96.3%-------
Under 5.593.3%-------
Home or Draw89.3%-------
Home +1 handicap89.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals87.8%-------
Under 4.584.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.8%-------
Away under 1.5 goals83.7%-------
Home or Away79.2%-------
Over 1.578.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (24)
€10m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
OB1 (17)
€2m
DUB (17)
€1m
TEL (7)
€1m
Grafičar's squad is €2m more valuable than OFK Bor 1919's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (9)
€5m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
OB1 (6)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Grafičar and OFK Bor 1919 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
OB1 (3)
€0m
TEL (1)
€0m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Grafičar and OFK Bor 1919 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAP (12)
€5m
TBT (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OB1 (8)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Grafičar's defence is €1m more valuable than OFK Bor 1919's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GRA wins
0
Draws
0
OB1 wins

Head-to-head

Grafičar vs OFK Bor 1919 · H/A from GRA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HGRA Vs Dubočica1-4
24/08/26ANaftagas Vs GRA2-1
19/08/26HGRA Vs Loznica2-2
14/08/26AFK Vozdovac Vs GRA0-1
09/08/26HGRA Vs Semendrija 19241-2
02/08/26ANapredak Vs GRA1-0
29/05/26AFAP Vs GRA3-1
24/05/26HGRA Vs FK Trayal3-0
17/05/26AKabel Novi Sad Vs GRA0-2
11/05/26HGRA Vs Dubočica3-1

OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HOB1 Vs Naftagas2-1
23/08/26ALoznica Vs OB10-0
19/08/26HOB1 Vs FK Vozdovac2-2
15/08/26ASemendrija 1924 Vs OB14-1
08/08/26HOB1 Vs Napredak0-1
01/08/26AFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Vs OB13-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.24
HomeWWLDL1.36
AwayWLLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.282.641.92
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %44%56%32%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.101.440.76
Conceded1.181.201.16
BTTS46%60%32%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners---
Cards---
OFK Bor 1919
OFK Bor 1919
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW0.83
HomeLDW1.33
AwayLLD0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%33%0%
AVG goals2.672.672.67
Over 1.5 %67%67%67%
Over 2.5 %67%67%67%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored0.831.330.33
Conceded1.831.332.33
BTTS50%67%33%
Clean Sheet17%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac CacakBorac Cacak615
83%
2.5
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.01.2
-
2Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924612
50%
2.0
116+5
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.0
-
3TSC Backa TopolaTSC Backa Topola612
50%
2.0
107+3
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5141.71.2
-
4OFK VršacOFK Vršac612
67%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.51.0
-
5JavorJavor611
50%
1.8
156+9
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2132.51.0
-
6DubočicaDubočica610
50%
1.7
97+2
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.2
-
7NapredakNapredak610
50%
1.7
67-1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2151.01.2
-
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV69
33%
1.5
1411+3
4.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.8
-
9LoznicaLoznica67
17%
1.2
87+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.2
-
10FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac67
33%
1.2
56-1
1.8
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.0
-
11TeleoptikTeleoptik65
17%
0.8
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.2
-
12OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 191965
17%
0.8
511-6
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.8
-
13NaftagasNaftagas64
17%
0.7
69-3
2.5
67%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
14Metalac GMMetalac GM64
17%
0.7
611-5
2.8
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
15Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub64
17%
0.7
611-5
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.8
-
16GrafičarGrafičar64
17%
0.7
611-5
2.8
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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