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Grafičar vs Semendrija 1924 Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Grafičar
Grafičar
Vs
29%
27%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grafičar win✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D01L01L21W21W32W22D11D02LA·OFK02/03H·TEK06/03A·KOL11/03H·RAD16/03A·SEM26/03H·MLA30/03A·OFK03/04H·MAC07/04A·SLO13/04A·MAC21/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.431.731.470.931.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.001.471.381.620.671.33
vs Weaker (13)1.771.382.141.291.331.50
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L30W30W10W12L21W00D42W11D10WH·JED02/03A·RAD06/03H·DUB10/03A·RFK17/03H·GRA26/03A·OFK30/03H·TEK03/04A·KOL07/04H·RAD13/04H·RAD20/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.770.930.671.270.87
vs Stronger (2)1.501.501.002.002.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.070.710.930.571.210.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
Grafičar goals ↓
Semendrija 1924 goals →
01234
07.1%8.2%7.3%3.8%1.5%
16.3%13%9.2%4.8%1.9%
24.7%7.3%5.8%3.0%1.2%
32.0%3.1%2.4%1.3%0.5%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grafičar goals (down), columns = Semendrija 1924 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
Grafičar is 0.22 points worse than Semendrija 1924 in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.51).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
Grafičar is 0.30 goals better than Semendrija 1924 in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
Grafičar is 0.62 goals worse than Semendrija 1924 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 0.84).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D01L00D11D21W11D00D01LA·OFK02/03H·TEK06/03A·KOL11/03H·RAD16/03A·SEM26/03H·MLA30/03A·OFK03/04H·MAC07/04A·SLO13/04A·MAC21/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.800.800.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.590.880.880.110.33
vs Weaker (13)0.690.690.710.710.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W10W00D01L00D31W01L00DA·MET24/02H·JED02/03H·DUB10/03A·RFK17/03H·GRA26/03A·OFK30/03H·TEK03/04A·KOL07/04H·RAD13/04H·RAD20/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.500.310.710.50
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.610.320.470.200.770.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L01L00D21W10W11D11D11D01LA·OFK02/03H·TEK06/03A·KOL11/03H·RAD16/03A·SEM26/03H·MLA30/03A·OFK03/04H·MAC07/04A·SLO13/04A·MAC21/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.800.930.670.600.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.880.500.750.561.00
vs Weaker (13)1.080.691.430.570.670.83
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L20W00D12L20W00D11D10W10WA·MET24/02H·JED02/03H·DUB10/03A·RFK17/03H·GRA26/03A·OFK30/03H·TEK03/04A·KOL07/04H·RAD13/04H·RAD20/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.500.310.430.43
vs Stronger (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.430.390.530.330.310.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
Grafičar and Semendrija 1924 have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
Grafičar and Semendrija 1924 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
Grafičar and Semendrija 1924 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
Grafičar and Semendrija 1924 have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
GRA wins
0
Draws
1
S1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grafičar vs Semendrija 1924 · H/A from GRA
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs GRA1-2
09/10/23HGRA Vs Semendrija 19241-2

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/24AMacva Vs GRA2-0
13/04/24ASloboda Uzice Vs GRA1-1
07/04/24HGRA Vs Macva2-2
03/04/24AOFK Vršac Vs GRA2-3
30/03/24HGRA Vs Mladost Novi Sad2-1
26/03/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs GRA1-2
16/03/24HGRA Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica0-1
11/03/24AKolubara Vs GRA1-0
06/03/24HGRA Vs Tekstilac Odžaci2-2
02/03/24AOFK Beograd Vs GRA0-2

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/24HS1 Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica1-0
13/04/24HS1 Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica1-1
07/04/24AKolubara Vs S12-4
03/04/24HS1 Vs Tekstilac Odžaci0-0
30/03/24AOFK Beograd Vs S11-2
26/03/24HS1 Vs Grafičar1-2
17/03/24ARFK Novi Sad Vs S10-1
10/03/24HS1 Vs Dubočica3-0
06/03/24ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs S10-3
02/03/24HS1 Vs Jedinstvo Ub0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDL1.32
HomeWDLWD1.68
AwayLWWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.662.882.44
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.301.640.96
Conceded1.361.241.48
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards7.00-7.00
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.65
HomeWLDDW1.69
AwayDWWWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals1.871.622.13
Over 1.5 %61%56%67%
Over 2.5 %39%31%47%
Over 3.5 %3%0%7%
Scored1.131.001.27
Conceded0.740.620.87
BTTS48%38%60%
Clean Sheet45%56%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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