This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.57
1.20
1.73
0.73
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.60
0.67
1.33
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.48
1.00
1.60
0.73
1.36
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
2.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.4%
Under 2.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
15.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.3%
Grazer AK goals ↓
Ried goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.8%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
1
15%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.7%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
6.0%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grazer AK goals (down), columns = Ried goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Grazer AK
2.30
Ried
1.97
First Vienna
1.70
Leoben
1.70
Floridsdorfer AC
1.63
FC Liefering
1.57
Admira Wacker
1.57
SV Horn
1.37
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.30
SV Lafnitz
1.23
SV Kapfenberg
1.17
Stripfing
1.17
Dornbirn
1.10
Sturm Graz II
0.77
SKU Amstetten
0.53
Grazer AK is 0.33 points better than Ried in terms of average points per game (2.30 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
2.23
Grazer AK
1.90
First Vienna
1.73
FC Liefering
1.70
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Leoben
1.57
SKN ST. Polten
1.53
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.40
Admira Wacker
1.40
Stripfing
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Sturm Graz II
1.30
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Dornbirn
1.07
SKU Amstetten
1.00
Grazer AK is 0.33 goals worse than Ried in terms of goals scored per game (1.90 vs 2.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.73
Grazer AK
0.90
Admira Wacker
1.03
Leoben
1.03
Floridsdorfer AC
1.10
First Vienna
1.30
FC Liefering
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.50
SV Horn
1.60
Dornbirn
1.70
SKN ST. Polten
1.73
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SV Lafnitz
1.90
Stripfing
1.93
SKU Amstetten
2.03
Sturm Graz II
2.23
Grazer AK is 0.17 goals worse than Ried in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 0.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
SKN ST. Polten
55%
Floridsdorfer AC
54%
Leoben
51%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
50%
Admira Wacker
50%
SV Horn
49%
SV Lafnitz
48%
SKU Amstetten
48%
Grazer AK
48%
SV Kapfenberg
45%
Dornbirn
43%
Grazer AK is 7.8 percentage points worse than Ried in terms of average possession (48% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grazer AK
For 6.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ried
For 5.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
9.4
9.4
9.4
2.8
3.0
2.6
26.8
27.5
25.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.6
9.2
7.8
2.3
2.8
1.8
28.1
29.2
26.5
vs Weaker (11)
10.8
9.8
11.8
3.9
3.6
4.2
24.5
24.0
25.0
% over line
55%
42%
70%
37%
41%
33%
82%
83%
80%
% under line
45%
58%
30%
63%
59%
67%
18%
17%
20%
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
10.6
10.8
10.4
4.0
4.3
3.7
24.5
25.7
23.2
vs Stronger (8)
10.9
9.5
12.2
4.8
5.8
3.8
24.9
26.0
23.8
vs Similar (23)
10.4
10.5
10.2
3.8
4.0
3.6
24.1
25.2
23.0
vs Weaker (6)
11.2
13.7
8.7
3.7
3.3
4.0
25.2
27.0
23.3
% over line
63%
61%
65%
49%
61%
37%
77%
89%
65%
% under line
37%
39%
35%
51%
39%
63%
23%
11%
35%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
12.1
Dornbirn
11.2
Ried
10.6
Floridsdorfer AC
10.5
Admira Wacker
10.3
FC Liefering
10.2
SKU Amstetten
10.2
SV Kapfenberg
9.9
SV Lafnitz
9.5
Grazer AK
9.4
SV Horn
9.4
SKN ST. Polten
9.2
Leoben
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
5.8
SV Horn
5.2
Dornbirn
5.0
SV Lafnitz
5.0
Admira Wacker
4.8
Floridsdorfer AC
4.6
Grazer AK
4.5
Ried
4.2
FC Liefering
4.1
SKN ST. Polten
4.0
First Vienna
4.0
SKU Amstetten
3.5
Leoben
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Floridsdorfer AC
29.0
SV Horn
28.3
Dornbirn
27.4
First Vienna
27.2
SV Lafnitz
26.8
SV Kapfenberg
26.8
Grazer AK
26.8
Admira Wacker
26.8
FC Liefering
26.6
SKU Amstetten
24.8
Ried
24.5
Leoben
23.0
SKN ST. Polten
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.7%
Under 3.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.5%
Under 21.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.87
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.53
0.60
0.50
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.45
1.40
0.00
0.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.57
0.80
0.50
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.00
0.20
1.13
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.37
0.80
0.10
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.64
1.40
0.40
1.33
0.83
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.47
1.07
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.90
0.20
1.10
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grazer AK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donovan Pines20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Peter Michorl0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Peter Michorl60%
Donovan Pines60%
Leon Klassen40%
Yannick Oberleitner33%
Tobias Koch25%
Anderson25%
Daniel Maderner20%
Beres Owusu20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Cican Stanković0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Alexander Hofleitner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismaël Guerti33%
Anderson25%
Matthias Gragger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Leon Klassen20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Tobias Koch0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ried · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niama Pape Sissoko40%
Jussef Nasrawe25%
Stefan Schwab20%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi20%
Evan Eghosa20%
Ante Bajić0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Lukas Malicsek0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Joris Boguo0%
Tino Kusanović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Malicsek40%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi40%
Niama Pape Sissoko40%
Joris Boguo33%
Tino Kusanović33%
Tobias Lund Jensen25%
Martin Rasner20%
Stefan Schwab0%
Ante Bajić0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Jussef Nasrawe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ante Bajić40%
Jussef Nasrawe25%
Stefan Schwab20%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Lukas Malicsek0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Niama Pape Sissoko0%
Joris Boguo0%
Tino Kusanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi20%
Niama Pape Sissoko20%
Stefan Schwab0%
Ante Bajić0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Lukas Malicsek0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Tobias Lund Jensen0%
Oliver Sorg0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
Tino Kusanović0%
Jussef Nasrawe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Grazer AK's squad is €2m more valuable than Ried's (€9m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Grazer AK and Ried have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
Grazer AK's midfield is €1m less valuable than Ried's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Grazer AK's defence is €3m more valuable than Ried's (€6m vs €3m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
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Leoben
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
FC Liefering
Admira Wacker
SV Horn
SKN ST. Polten
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
SV Lafnitz
SV Kapfenberg
Stripfing
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SKU Amstetten