The clash between Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC is a tight one, with no clear favourite. The model favours an away win, giving Wolfsberger a 38% chance, Grazer a 34% chance and a draw 28%. The average goal tally is 2.7, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability. Grazer, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Wolfsberger, on the road, averages only 0.5 scored and 1.88 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99%) and Under 6.5 (97.1%) with edges of 2% and 4% respectively, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.3% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.3% with a 3% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (92.6%). All figures are presented as percentages, with each selection noted exactly once.
Results analysis
In a surprising turn, the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the pre-match favourite, Wolfsberger AC, unable to secure a win. The model had picked an away win with a 38% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result of a stalemate. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Under 6.5 at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 92.6%. The game saw both sides come off recent draws, with Grazer AK’s last five results being DLLWL and Wolfsberger AC’s last five DLDWW.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Grazer AK win✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.79
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.95
10Bet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.82
Pinnacle
2.81
Draw✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.49
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.65
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Wolfsberger AC win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.34
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.48
Bet365
2.45
Dafabet
2.42
Betano
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Grazer AK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.40
1.85
1.08
1.12
1.65
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.57
1.00
1.50
0.60
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.09
2.00
1.00
1.09
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.40
1.14
0.86
1.38
1.88
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.40
1.00
1.33
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.88
1.38
1.25
0.88
0.50
1.88
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
1.44
1.00
0.33
2.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.4%
@ 1.21+1.6%
Under 1.5
21.6%
@ 4.01-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.14
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.72-1.1%
Under 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.07+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
@ 2.78-2.3%
Under 3.5
68.8%
@ 1.40+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.08
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
@ 1.58-0.4%
No
41.8%
@ 2.24+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
No
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.40+6.0%
1-2
8.6%@ 8.42+3.2%
2-1
8.1%@ 9.61+3.4%
0-1
7.5%@ 8.72+2.3%
0-0 ✓
7.2%@ 11.63+3.3%
1-0
7.0%@ 9.96+2.5%
0-2
6.3%@ 11.38+2.3%
2-2
5.9%@ 11.28+1.9%
Grazer AK goals ↓
Wolfsberger AC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
7.5%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
1
7.0%
13%
8.6%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.6%
8.1%
5.9%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.6%
3.7%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grazer AK goals (down), columns = Wolfsberger AC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Grazer AK is 0.20 points worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Grazer AK is 0.80 goals worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of goals scored per game (0.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Grazer AK is 1.40 goals worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.60 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Grazer AK is 8.2 percentage points better than Wolfsberger AC in terms of average possession (50% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grazer AK
For 4.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolfsberger AC
For 4.2 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.4 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
9.0
4.2
5.0
3.5
23.1
23.2
23.1
vs Stronger (14)
10.4
10.7
10.2
4.4
5.2
3.8
22.6
22.2
22.9
vs Similar (34)
8.5
8.6
8.4
4.4
4.9
3.8
23.4
23.6
23.2
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
42%
35%
48%
60%
78%
44%
67%
70%
64%
% under line
58%
65%
52%
40%
22%
56%
33%
30%
36%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.4
3.7
3.5
3.8
23.1
22.9
23.3
vs Stronger (9)
9.7
8.7
10.7
4.7
4.2
5.2
21.2
22.3
20.0
vs Similar (29)
9.5
9.8
9.2
3.9
3.4
4.5
23.5
23.3
23.8
vs Weaker (12)
9.6
9.8
9.4
2.3
3.2
1.9
23.1
21.8
24.2
% over line
48%
48%
48%
56%
50%
62%
60%
57%
62%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
44%
50%
38%
40%
43%
38%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.3
WSG Wattens
10.0
Sturm Graz
9.9
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.6
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
SCR Altach
9.1
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.1
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.7
Grazer AK
4.6
Ried
4.6
Wolfsberger AC
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.6
Austria Vienna
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.3
Rapid Vienna
4.1
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
Lask Linz
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
24.0
Sturm Graz
23.8
Austria Lustenau
23.3
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Vienna
23.1
SCR Altach
23.1
Wolfsberger AC
22.9
Ried
22.5
WSG Wattens
22.5
TSV Hartberg
21.8
Lask Linz
20.9
Red Bull Salzburg
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.9%
@ 1.95+0.1%
Under 9.5
52.1%
@ 1.78-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.8%
Under 21.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Grazer AK or Draw✓ Hit
68.6%
Avg Implied 59.6% · @ 1.56
Edge
+9.0%
35%
28%
38%
covers Grazer AK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Grazer AK or Wolfsberger AC✗ Miss
73.1%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.4%
35%
28%
38%
covers Grazer AK + Wolfsberger AC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Draw or Wolfsberger AC✓ Hit
58.3%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.39
Edge
-8.6%
35%
28%
38%
covers Draw + Wolfsberger AC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.1%
@ 1.26+5.9%
Under
20.9%
@ 3.46-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.67
Marathonbet
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Grazer AK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.4%
@ 2.33+6.4%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.56-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Grazer AK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.8%
@ 5.39+3.5%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.12-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Grazer AK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 12.75-0.0%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.7%
@ 1.21-2.8%
Under
26.3%
@ 3.94+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Pinnacle
4.03
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.5%
@ 2.07-6.6%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.70+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
2.11
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Unibet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.37-6.1%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.18+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.55
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Wolfsberger AC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 10.07-4.7%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.70
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Grazer AK, so a minus line means Grazer AK give that many goals of a start and Wolfsberger AC receive them. At -1, Grazer AK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Grazer AK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Grazer AK)Actual: Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK -2
8.7%
@ 12.67+1.5%
Draw -2
12.9%
@ 7.73+1.1%
Wolfsberger AC +2
78.5%
@ 1.12-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Away
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Grazer AK)Actual: Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK -1
21.5%
@ 5.71+5.8%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 4.61+0.7%
Wolfsberger AC +1
58.3%
@ 1.39-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Away
Marathonbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Grazer AK)Actual: Grazer AK
Grazer AK +1
68.6%
@ 1.56+11.4%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.08-4.8%
Wolfsberger AC -1
14.3%
@ 4.27-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
10Bet
4.00
Handicap +2 (Grazer AK)Actual: Grazer AK
Grazer AK +2
85.7%
@ 1.18+11.0%
Draw +2
9.3%
@ 5.91-5.6%
Wolfsberger AC -2
5.0%
@ 8.42-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.80
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.92
0.46
0.29
0.94
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.60
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.91
0.27
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.40
0.33
0.33
2.00
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.38
0.62
0.25
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.78
0.67
0.33
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.32+0.1%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 3.15-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.7%
@ 2.51-2.3%
Under 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.47+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 6.14-2.2%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.09+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 2.03-0.7%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.71+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.41-1.7%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.85
Marathonbet
6.70
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 18.25-3.2%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 1.90-1.7%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.82+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Under
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 5.59-4.5%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.11+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.85
Betano
5.50
Superbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Under
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 15.17-3.7%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.92
0.62
0.82
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.59
1.09
0.73
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.57
0.57
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
1.00
0.62
0.62
0.25
1.38
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.19+0.1%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 4.18-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 1.94-1.8%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.79+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.87
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.7%
@ 3.96-4.7%
Under 2.5
81.3%
@ 1.21+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Superbet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.6%
@ 1.73-0.0%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.00+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 4.57-1.8%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.16+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 11.83-3.5%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.8%
@ 1.62-3.3%
Under
46.2%
@ 2.16+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.9%
@ 4.00-4.3%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.20+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 10.38-5.9%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.11
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.7%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.2%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.3%
1.21
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.2%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.26
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
78.5%
1.12
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.10
-
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.4%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.7%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-2.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.1%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-0.4%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.32
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+0.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donovan Pines20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Peter Michorl0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Peter Michorl60%
Donovan Pines60%
Leon Klassen40%
Yannick Oberleitner33%
Tobias Koch25%
Anderson25%
Daniel Maderner20%
Beres Owusu20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Cican Stanković0%
Tobias Koch0%
Anderson0%
Leon Klassen0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Matthias Gragger0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Ismaël Guerti0%
Alexander Hofleitner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ismaël Guerti33%
Anderson25%
Matthias Gragger25%
Peter Michorl20%
Leon Klassen20%
Alexander Hofleitner20%
Cican Stanković0%
Christian Lichtenberger0%
Tobias Koch0%
Donovan Pines0%
Daniel Maderner0%
Mark Große0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Anthony Smits0%
Wolfsberger AC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
G. Vrioni60%
F. Wohlmuth20%
A. Schwarz20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Sulzner40%
Otar Mamageishvili40%
T. Schriebl33%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate33%
Nicolas Wimmer25%
Marco Schabauer25%
R. Behounek20%
R. Renner20%
F. Wohlmuth20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
M. Pink0%
G. Vrioni0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Donis Avdijaj60%
F. Wohlmuth20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
G. Vrioni0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
G. Vrioni20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
F. Wohlmuth0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Grazer AK's squad is €3m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€9m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Grazer AK's attack is €1m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Grazer AK's midfield is €2m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC have a similar defence value (both €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Austria Lustenau
Ried
SCR Altach
Austria Vienna