Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje Result & Analysis

Grbalj are favoured to win this home fixture against Mladost Lješkopolje, with a 47% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% chance. Grbalj, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, while Mladost Lješkopolje, on the road against a weaker side, average 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.0%) and Under 5.5 (93.6%).

The 0-0 draw shocked the pre-match favourite, as Grbalj’s home win prediction at 47% fell flat. The match finished as a stalemate, extending Grbalj’s recent form of DWDLD and keeping Mladost Lješkopolje unbeaten in their last five with a DWWWD streak. The model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.5%, and Under 5.5 at 93.7%. The low-scoring affair confirmed the model’s heavy lean toward a quiet match.