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Grorud vs Asane Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Grorud
Grorud
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grorud win✓ Hit
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrorudGrorud

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-712L11D05L21W07L04L11D42W20W03LA·BRY14/08H·SKE22/08A·STA29/08H·RAN05/09A·BRA12/09H·STA18/09H·RAU03/10A·SAN10/10H·SOG16/10A·MJO22/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.341.001.931.132.73
vs Stronger (14)0.932.860.862.571.003.14
vs Similar (15)1.201.871.141.291.252.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L31W42W02L33D12L04L10W14L12LA·SKE14/08H·MJO22/08A·STJ27/08H·BRA03/09A·RAN11/09H·KON17/09A·STA03/10H·RAU10/10A·STA16/10H·BRY22/10
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.412.211.472.071.362.36
vs Stronger (12)1.082.751.003.171.172.33
vs Similar (17)1.651.821.781.331.502.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Grorud) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.8%
No
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
Grorud goals ↓
Asane goals →
01234
04.8%5.2%5.0%2.7%1.1%
15.2%11%8.3%4.5%1.8%
25.1%8.4%6.8%3.7%1.5%
32.8%4.6%3.7%2.0%0.8%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grorud goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Grorud is 0.40 points worse than Asane in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Grorud is 0.27 goals worse than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Grorud is 0.07 goals worse than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (2.30 vs 2.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrorudGrorud

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W10W01L00D06L02L11D11D10W01LA·BRY14/08H·SKE22/08A·STA29/08H·RAN05/09A·BRA12/09H·STA18/09H·RAU03/10A·SAN10/10H·SOG16/10A·MJO22/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.930.430.710.531.13
vs Stronger (14)0.641.140.291.001.001.29
vs Similar (15)0.330.730.570.430.121.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D01L21W00D02L10W01L01LA·SKE14/08H·MJO22/08A·STJ27/08H·BRA03/09A·RAN11/09H·KON17/09A·STA03/10H·RAU10/10A·STA16/10H·BRY22/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.661.030.600.930.711.14
vs Stronger (12)0.501.170.331.330.671.00
vs Similar (17)0.760.940.780.670.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Grorud) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grorud over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrorudGrorud

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L04L21W01L02L00D31W10W02LA·BRY14/08H·SKE22/08A·STA29/08H·RAN05/09A·BRA12/09H·STA18/09H·RAU03/10A·SAN10/10H·SOG16/10A·MJO22/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.410.571.210.601.60
vs Stronger (14)0.291.710.571.570.001.86
vs Similar (15)0.871.130.570.861.121.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AsaneAsane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W31W01L12L12L02L00D13L11DA·SKE14/08H·MJO22/08A·STJ27/08H·BRA03/09A·RAN11/09H·KON17/09A·STA03/10H·RAU10/10A·STA16/10H·BRY22/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.761.170.871.130.641.21
vs Stronger (12)0.581.580.671.830.501.33
vs Similar (17)0.880.881.000.670.751.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grorud) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grorud over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grorud over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GRO wins
0
Draws
1
ASA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grorud vs Asane · H/A from GRO
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/22AAsane Vs GRO3-2

GrorudGrorud

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22AMjondalen Vs GRO3-0
16/10/22HGRO Vs Sogndal2-0
10/10/22ASandnes ULF Vs GRO2-4
03/10/22HGRO Vs Raufoss1-1
18/09/22HGRO Vs Stabaek0-4
12/09/22ABrann Vs GRO7-0
05/09/22HGRO Vs Ranheim2-1
29/08/22AStart Vs GRO5-0
22/08/22HGRO Vs Skeid1-1
14/08/22ABryne Vs GRO2-1

AsaneAsane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22HASA Vs Bryne1-2
16/10/22AStart Vs ASA4-1
10/10/22HASA Vs Raufoss1-0
03/10/22AStabaek Vs ASA4-0
17/09/22HASA Vs Kongsvinger1-2
11/09/22ARanheim Vs ASA3-3
03/09/22HASA Vs Brann0-2
27/08/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs ASA2-4
22/08/22HASA Vs Mjondalen3-1
14/08/22ASkeid Vs ASA2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grorud
Grorud
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL0.59
HomeDWLDW0.71
AwayLLLWL0.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%14%7%
AVG goals3.412.933.87
Over 1.5 %93%93%93%
Over 2.5 %72%64%80%
Over 3.5 %48%36%60%
Scored1.071.001.13
Conceded2.341.932.73
BTTS66%64%67%
Clean Sheet3%7%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Asane
Asane
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.10
HomeWLLWL1.33
AwayLWDLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%14%
AVG goals3.623.533.71
Over 1.5 %93%93%93%
Over 2.5 %69%73%64%
Over 3.5 %48%40%57%
Scored1.411.471.36
Conceded2.212.072.36
BTTS72%73%71%
Clean Sheet3%7%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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