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Gudja United vs Fgura United Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 12:00
Gudja United
Gudja United
Vs
15%
19%
66%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fgura United
Fgura United
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Gudja United’s recent 2-game winning streak has not shaken the model’s view that Fgura United will prevail at home. The model rates an away win at 66% versus Gudja’s 15% home win and 19% draw, making the away victory the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 1-2 for Fgura at 9.3%. Gudja, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.15 conceded, while Fgura, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 7.5 (96.6%), Away +2 handicap (94.1%), Under 6.5 (92.0%), Away over 0.5 goals (91.9%), Over 1.5 (88.9%), Home under 2.5 goals (88.7%) and Draw or Away (84.9%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gudja United win
15.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fgura United win
66.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L00D03L12L33D30W12L20W32WA·PIE31/01H·SWI08/02H·MGA14/02H·ZUR21/02A·SAN28/02A·MAR08/03H·MTA15/03H·ZEB04/04A·MGA12/04A·VIT18/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.271.001.191.791.36
vs Stronger (27)1.411.261.001.151.791.36
vs Similar (3)1.001.331.001.33--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L42W12L13L20W12L23L04L10W11DH·SIR01/02A·MGA07/02A·SWI15/02A·BIR22/02H·ST.01/03H·BAL10/03A·SIR15/03H·PIE04/04A·MEL11/04A·SWI19/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.602.141.642.061.56
vs Stronger (25)1.961.722.001.751.921.69
vs Similar (1)4.001.00--4.001.00
vs Weaker (4)2.501.003.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gudja United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
6.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-4
4.9%
Gudja United goals ↓
Fgura United goals →
01234
03.3%5.6%8.0%6.7%4.2%
12.2%8.1%9.3%7.8%4.9%
21.7%4.3%5.4%4.5%2.9%
30.7%1.7%2.1%1.8%1.1%
40.2%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gudja United goals (down), columns = Fgura United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tarxien Rainbows
2.82
Naxxar Lions
2.73
Swieqi United
2.14
Melita
1.67
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Sirens
1.59
Mgarr United
1.50
Fgura United
1.45
Gudja United
1.45
Victoria Hotspurs
1.40
Attard
1.40
Santa Lucía
1.36
Zurrieq
1.23
St. Andrews
1.23
Vittoriosa Stars
0.95
Zebbug Rangers
0.91
Gudja United and Fgura United are level in average points per game (both 1.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tarxien Rainbows
3.33
Naxxar Lions
3.23
Sirens
2.27
Swieqi United
2.23
Pietà Hotspurs
1.91
Fgura United
1.86
Mgarr United
1.86
Melita
1.86
Santa Lucía
1.82
Victoria Hotspurs
1.65
Attard
1.65
Zurrieq
1.64
Gudja United
1.32
St. Andrews
1.18
Vittoriosa Stars
1.18
Zebbug Rangers
1.05
Gudja United is 0.55 goals worse than Fgura United in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tarxien Rainbows
0.82
Naxxar Lions
0.85
Gudja United
1.14
Swieqi United
1.18
Melita
1.33
Santa Lucía
1.41
Mgarr United
1.50
Sirens
1.50
Vittoriosa Stars
1.50
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Victoria Hotspurs
1.65
Attard
1.65
Fgura United
1.68
Zurrieq
1.73
St. Andrews
1.73
Zebbug Rangers
2.05
Gudja United is 0.55 goals better than Fgura United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gudja United or Draw
34.0%
Avg Implied -
15%
19%
66%
covers Gudja United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gudja United or Fgura United
81.1%
Avg Implied -
15%
19%
66%
covers Gudja United + Fgura United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Fgura United
84.9%
Avg Implied -
15%
19%
66%
covers Draw + Fgura United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gudja United over/under 0.5
Over
68.8%
Under
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 1.5
Over
32.5%
Under
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 0.5
Over
91.9%
Under
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5
Over
71.6%
Under
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 3.5
Over
24.6%
Under
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Gudja United, so a minus line means Gudja United give that many goals of a start and Fgura United receive them. At -1, Gudja United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gudja United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gudja United)
Gudja United -2
1.8%
Draw -2
4.1%
Fgura United +2
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gudja United)
Gudja United -1
5.9%
Draw -1
9.2%
Fgura United +1
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gudja United)
Gudja United +1
34.0%
Draw +1
20.7%
Fgura United -1
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gudja United)
Gudja United +2
54.7%
Draw +2
19.2%
Fgura United -2
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D01L10W22D20W11D10W20WA·PIE31/01H·SWI08/02H·MGA14/02H·ZUR21/02A·SAN28/02A·MAR08/03H·MTA15/03H·ZEB04/04A·MGA12/04A·VIT18/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.310.690.930.64
vs Stronger (27)0.630.670.310.690.930.64
vs Similar (3)0.330.670.330.67--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W02L00D02L01L00D10W01LH·SIR01/02A·MGA07/02A·SWI15/02A·BIR22/02H·ST.01/03H·BAL10/03A·SIR15/03H·PIE04/04A·MEL11/04A·SWI19/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.640.710.940.50
vs Stronger (25)0.680.680.670.750.690.62
vs Similar (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Weaker (4)1.250.250.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gudja United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gudja United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D02L02L11D10W01L10W12LA·PIE31/01H·SWI08/02H·MGA14/02H·ZUR21/02A·SAN28/02A·MAR08/03H·MTA15/03H·ZEB04/04A·MGA12/04A·VIT18/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.690.500.860.71
vs Stronger (27)0.780.590.690.460.860.71
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.670.67--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L32W02L11D20W10W22D04L00D10WH·SIR01/02A·MGA07/02A·SWI15/02A·BIR22/02H·ST.01/03H·BAL10/03A·SIR15/03H·PIE04/04A·MEL11/04A·SWI19/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.001.500.931.121.06
vs Stronger (25)1.281.041.331.001.231.08
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (4)1.250.752.500.500.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Gudja United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gudja United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Under 7.596.6%-------
Away +2 handicap94.1%-------
Under 6.592.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals91.9%-------
Over 1.588.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals88.7%-------
Draw or Away84.9%-------
Away +1 handicap84.9%-------
Under 5.583.3%-------
Home or Away81.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals75.4%-------
Away over 1.5 goals71.6%-------
Over 2.571.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (16)
€1m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
Gudja United and Fgura United have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (4)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Gudja United and Fgura United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (5)
€0m
TR (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Gudja United and Fgura United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NL (7)
€1m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
GU wins
1
Draws
1
FU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gudja United vs Fgura United · H/A from GU
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/26AFgura United Vs GU1-1
22/02/25HGU Vs Fgura United2-3
24/11/24AFgura United Vs GU1-2

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26AVittoriosa Stars Vs GU2-3
12/04/26AMgarr United Vs GU0-2
04/04/26HGU Vs Zebbug Rangers1-2
15/03/26HGU Vs Mtarfa3-0
08/03/26AMarsa Vs GU3-3
28/02/26ASanta Lucía Vs GU2-1
21/02/26HGU Vs Zurrieq0-3
14/02/26HGU Vs Mgarr United0-0
08/02/26HGU Vs Swieqi United0-2
31/01/26APietà Hotspurs Vs GU1-1

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26ASwieqi United Vs FU1-1
11/04/26AMelita Vs FU0-1
04/04/26HFU Vs Pietà Hotspurs0-4
15/03/26ASirens Vs FU3-2
10/03/26HFU Vs Balzan FC1-2
01/03/26HFU Vs St. Andrews2-0
22/02/26ABirzebbuga Vs FU3-1
15/02/26ASwieqi United Vs FU2-1
07/02/26AMgarr United Vs FU2-4
01/02/26HFU Vs Sirens1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gudja United
Gudja United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.18
HomeLDLWL1.04
AwayDLDWW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.862.882.84
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.261.201.32
Conceded1.601.681.52
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Fgura United
Fgura United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.52
HomeDLWLL1.08
AwayLLLWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%29%58%
AVG goals3.003.172.85
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.681.711.65
Conceded1.321.461.19
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet28%21%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AttardAttard00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
2SirensSirens00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
3Mgarr UnitedMgarr United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
5ZurrieqZurrieq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
7St. AndrewsSt. Andrews00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
9MelitaMelita00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
11Santa LucíaSanta Lucía00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
12Fgura UnitedFgura United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
13Gudja UnitedGudja United00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
14Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Victoria HotspursVictoria Hotspurs00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Malta: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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