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Gudja United vs Swieqi United Result & Analysis

Date: 08/02/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Gudja United
Gudja United
Vs
44%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gudja United win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United win✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D01L12L10W10W30W11D10W11DH·MAR26/10A·MEL01/11H·ST.23/11A·BIR29/11H·VIT09/12H·ZUR13/12A·MTA20/12A·FGU11/01H·SIR17/01A·PIE31/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.381.251.431.43
vs Stronger (27)1.441.371.431.291.461.46
vs Similar (3)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-832W04L31W31W12L11D31W15L31W80WH·VIT25/10A·BAL02/11H·ZEB23/11A·SAN29/11H·MAR10/12A·SIR14/12H·PIE21/12A·MGA10/01H·ZUR18/01H·MTA31/01
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.432.471.131.201.73
vs Stronger (20)1.351.751.501.121.252.17
vs Similar (5)3.200.604.331.001.500.00
vs Weaker (5)2.401.003.001.250.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gudja United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
Gudja United goals ↓
Swieqi United goals →
01234
09.1%7.4%4.8%1.8%0.5%
110%14%6.9%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.0%5.0%1.8%0.5%
33.9%4.3%2.4%0.9%0.2%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gudja United goals (down), columns = Swieqi United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Balzan FC
2.18
Swieqi United
2.14
Birzebbuga
2.04
Melita
1.67
Sirens
1.59
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Mgarr United
1.50
Fgura United
1.45
Gudja United
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.36
Zurrieq
1.23
St. Andrews
1.23
Vittoriosa Stars
0.95
Zebbug Rangers
0.91
Marsa
0.86
Mtarfa
0.18
Gudja United is 0.68 points worse than Swieqi United in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirens
2.27
Balzan FC
2.27
Swieqi United
2.23
Birzebbuga
2.09
Pietà Hotspurs
1.91
Fgura United
1.86
Mgarr United
1.86
Melita
1.86
Santa Lucía
1.82
Zurrieq
1.64
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.32
St. Andrews
1.18
Vittoriosa Stars
1.18
Zebbug Rangers
1.05
Mtarfa
0.45
Gudja United is 0.91 goals worse than Swieqi United in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Balzan FC
0.95
Gudja United
1.14
Swieqi United
1.18
Birzebbuga
1.22
Melita
1.33
Santa Lucía
1.41
Sirens
1.50
Mgarr United
1.50
Vittoriosa Stars
1.50
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Fgura United
1.68
Zurrieq
1.73
St. Andrews
1.73
Marsa
1.73
Zebbug Rangers
2.05
Mtarfa
4.27
Gudja United is 0.05 goals better than Swieqi United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D11D00D00D20W11D00D01LH·MAR26/10A·MEL01/11H·ST.23/11A·BIR29/11H·VIT09/12H·ZUR13/12A·MTA20/12A·FGU11/01H·SIR17/01A·PIE31/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.310.620.640.71
vs Stronger (27)0.520.670.360.640.690.69
vs Similar (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L10W20W11D00D10W02L20W20WH·VIT25/10A·BAL02/11H·ZEB23/11A·SAN29/11H·MAR10/12A·SIR14/12H·PIE21/12A·MGA10/01H·ZUR18/01H·MTA31/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.571.070.470.670.67
vs Stronger (20)0.650.700.620.500.670.83
vs Similar (5)1.400.401.670.671.000.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.500.250.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Gudja United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gudja United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L01L10W10W10W00D10W10WH·MAR26/10A·MEL01/11H·ST.23/11A·BIR29/11H·VIT09/12H·ZUR13/12A·MTA20/12A·FGU11/01H·SIR17/01A·PIE31/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.060.620.790.71
vs Stronger (27)0.930.701.070.640.770.77
vs Similar (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W03L21W11D01L11D21W13L11D60WH·VIT25/10A·BAL02/11H·ZEB23/11A·SAN29/11H·MAR10/12A·SIR14/12H·PIE21/12A·MGA10/01H·ZUR18/01H·MTA31/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.871.400.670.531.07
vs Stronger (20)0.701.050.880.620.581.33
vs Similar (5)1.800.202.670.330.500.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.801.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gudja United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gudja United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gudja United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (14)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
Gudja United and Swieqi United have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (4)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Gudja United and Swieqi United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (6)
€2m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Gudja United and Swieqi United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (4)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GU wins
1
Draws
0
SU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gudja United vs Swieqi United · H/A from GU
DateH/AGameScore
18/01/25HGU Vs Swieqi United0-0

Gudja UnitedGudja United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26APietà Hotspurs Vs GU1-1
17/01/26HGU Vs Sirens1-0
11/01/26AFgura United Vs GU1-1
20/12/25AMtarfa Vs GU0-3
13/12/25HGU Vs Zurrieq1-0
09/12/25HGU Vs Vittoriosa Stars1-0
29/11/25ABirzebbuga Vs GU2-1
23/11/25HGU Vs St. Andrews0-1
01/11/25AMelita Vs GU2-2
26/10/25HGU Vs Marsa1-1

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26HSU Vs Mtarfa8-0
18/01/26HSU Vs Zurrieq3-1
10/01/26AMgarr United Vs SU5-1
21/12/25HSU Vs Pietà Hotspurs3-1
14/12/25ASirens Vs SU1-1
10/12/25HSU Vs Marsa1-2
29/11/25ASanta Lucía Vs SU1-3
23/11/25HSU Vs Zebbug Rangers3-1
02/11/25ABalzan FC Vs SU4-0
25/10/25HSU Vs Vittoriosa Stars3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gudja United
Gudja United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD0.96
HomeDLWWW0.88
AwayDLWDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.903.042.76
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.862.001.72
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.70
HomeWLWWW1.83
AwayWLWDL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals3.023.172.88
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.722.041.42
Conceded1.301.121.46
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Balzan FCBalzan FC2248
68%
2.2
5021+29
3.2
86%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.0
-
2Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2247
64%
2.1
4926+23
3.4
91%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3BirzebbugaBirzebbuga2347
61%
2.0
4828+20
3.3
78%
65%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1212.11.2
-
4SirensSirens2235
50%
1.6
5033+17
3.8
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.5
-
5MelitaMelita2135
52%
1.7
3928+11
3.2
81%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
6Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
4234+8
3.5
82%
64%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
7Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2233
41%
1.5
4133+8
3.4
82%
55%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
8Fgura UnitedFgura United2232
45%
1.5
4137+4
3.5
86%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
9Gudja UnitedGudja United2232
36%
1.5
2925+4
2.5
73%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
10Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2230
32%
1.4
4031+9
3.2
82%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
11ZurrieqZurrieq2227
36%
1.2
3638-2
3.4
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
12St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2227
36%
1.2
2638-12
2.9
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
13Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars2221
23%
1.0
2633-7
2.7
68%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2220
23%
0.9
2345-22
3.1
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
15MarsaMarsa2219
18%
0.9
3238-6
3.2
82%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
16MtarfaMtarfa224
5%
0.2
1094-84
4.7
95%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.3
-
Malta: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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