This opponent (Ried) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.97
1.87
1.13
2.00
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
1.50
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.79
0.84
1.62
1.25
1.91
0.55
vs Weaker (9)
2.33
0.89
2.40
0.40
2.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gurten) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (34%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
95.5%
Under 1.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
85.4%
Under 2.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
73.6%
No
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
1-4
6.4%
2-3
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
2-4
4.5%
Gurten goals ↓
Ried goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.3%
2.5%
4.8%
5.3%
4.5%
1
0.8%
4.5%
6.8%
7.6%
6.4%
2
0.9%
2.9%
4.8%
5.4%
4.5%
3
0.4%
1.4%
2.3%
2.6%
2.1%
4
0.1%
0.5%
0.8%
0.9%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gurten goals (down), columns = Ried goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
TSV Hartberg
2.50
Red Bull Salzburg
2.50
Austria Vienna
2.40
Austria Klagenfurt
2.33
Wolfsberger AC
2.33
Stripfing
2.25
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.25
Lask Linz
2.20
WSG Wattens
2.00
SV Horn
2.00
Austria Lustenau
2.00
Rapid Vienna
2.00
FC BW Linz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
Sturm Graz
1.75
Fach-Donaufeld
1.50
SVG Reichenau
1.50
Wallern / Marienkirchen
1.50
Ried
1.50
Admira Wacker
1.50
SKU Amstetten
1.50
WSPG Wels
1.50
SKN ST. Polten
1.50
First Vienna
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.50
Grazer AK
1.33
Krems / Rehberg
1.00
Hohenems
1.00
Velden
1.00
Weiz
1.00
Dinamo Helfort
0.94
Hirschwang
0.94
Jennersdorf
0.94
Union Vöcklamarkt
0.94
Wolfsberg
0.94
Lauterach
0.94
Tillmitsch
0.94
Kalsdorf
0.94
Kuchl
0.94
Lendorf
0.94
Parndorf
0.94
Wiener SC
0.94
Retz
0.94
Wacker Innsbruck
0.94
Oedt
0.50
SV Lafnitz
0.50
Austria Salzburg
0.00
Oberwart
0.00
Wals-Grünau
0.00
Bischofshofen
0.00
Donau
0.00
Gurten
0.00
Wohnbau Dietach
0.00
Imst
0.00
Traiskirchen
0.00
Schwaz
0.00
Treibach
0.00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
0.00
Pinzgau Saalfelden
0.00
Röthis
0.00
Neusiedl
0.00
Dornbirn
0.00
SCR Altach
0.00
Floridsdorfer AC
0.00
Gurten is 1.50 points worse than Ried in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
6.00
Hohenems
4.00
Grazer AK
4.00
TSV Hartberg
3.83
Austria Klagenfurt
3.67
Red Bull Salzburg
3.50
Oedt
3.00
Admira Wacker
3.00
SV Kapfenberg
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
2.50
SKU Amstetten
2.50
Austria Vienna
2.40
WSG Wattens
2.33
FC BW Linz
2.33
Lask Linz
2.20
Krems / Rehberg
2.00
Wallern / Marienkirchen
2.00
Velden
2.00
Weiz
2.00
Rapid Vienna
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
Stripfing
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.75
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.75
SV Horn
1.67
Austria Lustenau
1.67
Dinamo Helfort
1.55
Hirschwang
1.55
Jennersdorf
1.55
Union Vöcklamarkt
1.55
Wolfsberg
1.55
Lauterach
1.55
Tillmitsch
1.55
Kalsdorf
1.55
Kuchl
1.55
Lendorf
1.55
Parndorf
1.55
Wiener SC
1.55
Retz
1.55
Wacker Innsbruck
1.55
Fach-Donaufeld
1.50
SKN ST. Polten
1.50
First Vienna
1.50
Austria Salzburg
1.00
Wals-Grünau
1.00
Bischofshofen
1.00
Traiskirchen
1.00
SVG Reichenau
1.00
Treibach
1.00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1.00
SV Lafnitz
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
WSPG Wels
1.00
Oberwart
0.00
Donau
0.00
Gurten
0.00
Wohnbau Dietach
0.00
Imst
0.00
Schwaz
0.00
Pinzgau Saalfelden
0.00
Röthis
0.00
Neusiedl
0.00
Dornbirn
0.00
SCR Altach
0.00
Gurten is 6.00 goals worse than Ried in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 6.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.25
Austria Klagenfurt
0.33
TSV Hartberg
0.33
Wolfsberger AC
0.50
WSPG Wels
0.50
Lask Linz
0.60
Austria Vienna
0.60
SV Horn
0.67
FC BW Linz
0.67
Voitsberg
0.67
Stripfing
0.75
Wallern / Marienkirchen
1.00
Rapid Vienna
1.00
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.00
Grazer AK
1.33
Fach-Donaufeld
1.50
Ried
1.50
Sturm Graz
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.50
WSG Wattens
1.67
Austria Lustenau
1.67
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Oberwart
2.00
Krems / Rehberg
2.00
Wals-Grünau
2.00
Wohnbau Dietach
2.00
Schwaz
2.00
Velden
2.00
Weiz
2.00
Neusiedl
2.00
SCR Altach
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
Admira Wacker
2.00
SKU Amstetten
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
Dinamo Helfort
2.85
Hirschwang
2.85
Jennersdorf
2.85
Union Vöcklamarkt
2.85
Wolfsberg
2.85
Lauterach
2.85
Tillmitsch
2.85
Kalsdorf
2.85
Kuchl
2.85
Lendorf
2.85
Parndorf
2.85
Wiener SC
2.85
Retz
2.85
Wacker Innsbruck
2.85
Donau
3.00
Gurten
3.00
Imst
3.00
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
3.00
Oedt
3.50
Traiskirchen
4.00
Hohenems
4.00
SV Lafnitz
4.00
SVG Reichenau
5.00
Treibach
6.00
Pinzgau Saalfelden
6.00
Dornbirn
6.00
Bischofshofen
11.00
Röthis
11.00
Gurten is 1.50 goals worse than Ried in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gurten or Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
12%
14%
74%
covers Gurten + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gurten or Ried✓ Hit
86.0%
Avg Implied -
12%
14%
74%
covers Gurten + Ried
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ried✓ Hit
87.9%
Avg Implied -
12%
14%
74%
covers Draw + Ried
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gurten over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.9%
Under
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.5%
Under
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.5%
Under
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
84.7%
Under
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
43.0%
Under
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gurten, so a minus line means Gurten give that many goals of a start and Ried receive them. At -1, Gurten must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gurten win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gurten)Actual: Ried
Gurten -2
1.7%
Draw -2
3.3%
Ried +2
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gurten)Actual: Ried
Gurten -1
5.0%
Draw -1
7.1%
Ried +1
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gurten)Actual: Draw
Gurten +1
26.1%
Draw +1
17.3%
Ried -1
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gurten)Actual: Gurten
Gurten +2
43.4%
Draw +2
18.5%
Ried -2
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gurten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
0.93
0.60
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.32
1.00
0.50
0.55
0.18
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.44
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Gurten) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gurten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gurten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ried) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ried
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.50
0.93
0.53
1.33
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.53
0.62
0.75
1.36
0.36
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.44
1.60
0.20
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Gurten) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gurten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gurten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ried over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away over 0.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away win
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ried
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kingstone Mutandwa34%
Mark Große15%
Peter Kiedl15%
Ante Bajić13%
Antonio Van Wyk10%
Philipp Pomer9%
Nikki Havenaar9%
Oliver Steurer6%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Joris Boguo4%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Jonas Mayer0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Yussef Nasrawe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Bajić32%
Christopher Wernitznig20%
Nicolas Bajlicz20%
Peter Kiedl20%
Philipp Pomer19%
Kingstone Mutandwa19%
Martin Rasner19%
Michael Sollbauer18%
Joris Boguo16%
Mark Große15%
Jonas Mayer14%
Saliou Sané12%
Yussef Nasrawe12%
Nikki Havenaar12%
Oliver Steurer11%
Andreas Leitner9%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Yusuf Maart3%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Antonio Van Wyk0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ante Bajić16%
Philipp Pomer12%
Antonio Van Wyk10%
Peter Kiedl10%
Mark Große8%
Kingstone Mutandwa6%
Yussef Nasrawe6%
Nikki Havenaar6%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Jonas Mayer3%
Michael Sollbauer3%
Andreas Leitner3%
Oliver Steurer3%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kingstone Mutandwa38%
Mark Große15%
Antonio Van Wyk7%
Ante Bajić6%
Yussef Nasrawe6%
Peter Kiedl5%
Fabian Rossdorfer4%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Christopher Wernitznig0%
Martin Rasner0%
Andreas Leitner0%
Jonathan Scherzer0%
Oliver Steurer0%
Saliou Sané0%
Nikki Havenaar0%
Yusuf Maart0%
Philipp Pomer0%
Dominik Kirnbauer0%
Ekain Azkune0%
Jonas Mayer0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Evan Eghosa0%
Joris Boguo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →