Gyirmot SE vs Ajka Result & Analysis

Gyirmot SE are tipped to win, a 51% chance that outweighs the 27% draw and 22% away win odds. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, with a 26% probability that the match will see exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 12.9% chance, a figure that reflects the balanced scoring rates: Gyirmot averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.83 conceded at home against similarly matched opposition, while Ajka, on the road, averages only 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Recent form hints at a shift: Gyirmot have lost two straight games, whereas Ajka are riding a two-game winning streak. The model’s selections lean toward a high-scoring affair: Over 1.5 goals is favored at 75.6%, while Under 3.5 is also strong at 72.3%. These picks illustrate the expected offensive output, with no edge percentages to report.

Gyirmot SE’s run of two straight defeats left them looking fragile, yet the model still tipped a home win at 51%. The match finished 1-3 in favour of Ajka, so the model’s favourite was wrong. The pre-match odds had the home side at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%. The model’s other selections were Over 1.5 goals, hit at 75.6%, and Under 3.5 goals, missed at 72.3%. Ajka’s 3-goal haul matched the model’s expected total of 2.7, but the final score was 1-3, confirming the away victory.