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Gyirmot SE vs Csakvar Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Vs
39%
28%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Gyirmot SE’s recent slump - two straight defeats before a 2-4 loss to Mezokovesd-zsory - has left the home side looking fragile, yet the model still favours a home win. The odds are finely balanced: a 39% chance for Gyirmot, 28% for a draw, and 33% for Csakvar. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.4% probability, but the model’s pick remains a home win. The average goal total sits at 2.7, with the most probable total being two goals, a 26% chance. Gyirmot’s home form shows they average four goals scored and none conceded against weaker opposition, while Csakvar, playing away against stronger teams, averages 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. The suggested selections include Over 1.5 with a 76.8% probability and Under 3.5 with a 70.9% probability. The final score of 2-1 confirms the model’s prediction of a home victory.

Results analysis

The Gyirmot SE win extends their recent form, breaking a string of two defeats. The model had picked a home win with a 39% probability, and that call proved correct as Gyirmot edged Csakvar 2-1. The final score matched the most likely 2-goal outcome, and the 1-1 draw and 2-1 win were both in the model’s top probabilities. The model’s selections also hit: Over 1.5 goals, with a 76.8% chance, and Under 3.5 goals, at 70.9%, both came through. The match delivered on the predicted result and the key market picks, confirming the model’s accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gyirmot SE win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Csakvar win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L25L00D11D11D21W21W20W13LH·KAZ13/11H·SZE26/11A·MTK04/12A·SZE11/12H·DOR29/01A·BEK05/02H·BUD12/02A·MTE19/02H·KOZ26/02A·DIO06/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.621.191.691.311.541.08
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.571.431.501.421.671.44
vs Weaker (4)1.750.254.000.001.000.33
Clean sheet %31% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W11D02L02L00D11D11D11D13LA·SZE13/11A·NYI27/11H·GYO04/12H·SZO11/12A·SIO29/01H·SOR05/02A·TIS12/02H·AJK19/02A·PÉC26/02H·KAZ05/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.151.190.921.151.381.23
vs Stronger (7)1.431.140.501.502.670.67
vs Similar (19)1.051.211.111.001.001.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %19% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%015%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1 ✓
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Csakvar goals →
01234
07.8%7.3%5.6%2.4%0.8%
18.1%13%7.9%3.4%1.1%
26.6%8.6%5.6%2.4%0.8%
33.1%4.1%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Csakvar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
2.29
BVSC
2.00
MTK Budapest
1.95
Ajka
1.79
Szeged 2011
1.68
Soroksar
1.61
Gyirmot SE
1.58
Pécsi MFC
1.53
Iváncsa
1.50
Siofok
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.34
Budafoki LC
1.32
Gyori ETO FC
1.21
MTE 1904
1.21
Tiszakecske FC
1.21
Kazincbarcikai
1.18
Csakvar
1.11
Nyiregyhaza
1.05
Kozarmisleny FC
1.02
Szentlőrinc SE
1.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.97
Dorogi FC
0.82
Veszprém
0.50
Gyirmot SE is 0.47 points better than Csakvar in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
MTK Budapest
2.26
Diosgyori VTK
2.08
Gyirmot SE
1.55
Soroksar
1.50
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.42
Ajka
1.42
Szeged 2011
1.32
Bekescsaba 1912
1.24
Siofok
1.18
Nyiregyhaza
1.18
Csakvar
1.16
Kozarmisleny FC
1.15
Szentlőrinc SE
1.12
Budafoki LC
1.11
Kazincbarcikai
1.08
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
0.97
MTE 1904
0.95
Dorogi FC
0.84
Iváncsa
0.50
Veszprém
0.00
Gyirmot SE is 0.39 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Veszprém
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Pécsi MFC
0.82
Diosgyori VTK
0.95
Ajka
0.97
Szeged 2011
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.11
Budafoki LC
1.13
MTE 1904
1.16
Gyirmot SE
1.21
Soroksar
1.26
MTK Budapest
1.26
Csakvar
1.32
Tiszakecske FC
1.32
Siofok
1.34
Nyiregyhaza
1.38
Kazincbarcikai
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.47
Bekescsaba 1912
1.47
Iváncsa
1.50
Szentlőrinc SE
1.50
Dorogi FC
1.61
Kozarmisleny FC
1.68
Gyirmot SE is 0.11 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L23L00D01L01L20W20W10W01LH·KAZ13/11H·SZE26/11A·MTK04/12A·SZE11/12H·DOR29/01A·BEK05/02H·BUD12/02A·MTE19/02H·KOZ26/02A·DIO06/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.581.310.540.770.62
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.050.671.170.580.890.78
vs Weaker (4)1.250.253.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %58% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D01L02L00D00D01L11D02LA·SZE13/11A·NYI27/11H·GYO04/12H·SZO11/12A·SIO29/01H·SOR05/02A·TIS12/02H·AJK19/02A·PÉC26/02H·KAZ05/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.690.230.690.690.69
vs Stronger (7)1.000.710.251.002.000.33
vs Similar (19)0.260.680.220.560.300.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L00D10W10W01L01L10W12LH·KAZ13/11H·SZE26/11A·MTK04/12A·SZE11/12H·DOR29/01A·BEK05/02H·BUD12/02A·MTE19/02H·KOZ26/02A·DIO06/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.620.380.770.770.46
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.520.760.330.830.780.67
vs Weaker (4)0.500.001.000.000.330.00
Clean sheet %54% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W11D01L00D00D11D10W00D11DA·SZE13/11A·NYI27/11H·GYO04/12H·SZO11/12A·SIO29/01H·SOR05/02A·TIS12/02H·AJK19/02A·PÉC26/02H·KAZ05/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.500.690.460.690.54
vs Stronger (7)0.430.430.250.500.670.33
vs Similar (19)0.790.530.890.440.700.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
MB (23)
€11m
NYI (29)
€7m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
MB (9)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
GS wins
0
Draws
0
CSA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gyirmot SE vs Csakvar · H/A from GS
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22ACsakvar Vs GS1-2

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/03/23ADiosgyori VTK Vs GS3-1
26/02/23HGS Vs Kozarmisleny FC2-0
19/02/23AMTE 1904 Vs GS1-2
12/02/23HGS Vs Budafoki LC2-1
05/02/23ABekescsaba 1912 Vs GS1-1
29/01/23HGS Vs Dorogi FC1-1
11/12/22ASzentlőrinc SE Vs GS0-0
04/12/22AMTK Budapest Vs GS5-2
26/11/22HGS Vs Szeged 20110-1
13/11/22HGS Vs Kazincbarcikai3-0

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23HCSA Vs Kazincbarcikai1-3
26/02/23APécsi MFC Vs CSA1-1
19/02/23HCSA Vs Ajka1-1
12/02/23ATiszakecske FC Vs CSA1-1
05/02/23HCSA Vs Soroksar0-0
29/01/23ASiofok Vs CSA2-0
11/12/22HCSA Vs Szombathelyi Haladas0-2
04/12/22HCSA Vs Gyori ETO FC1-1
27/11/22ANyiregyhaza Vs CSA0-3
13/11/22ASzeged 2011 Vs CSA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.62
HomeWLDWW1.31
AwayLDDWL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%38%54%
AVG goals2.813.002.62
Over 1.5 %77%85%69%
Over 2.5 %58%69%46%
Over 3.5 %35%38%31%
Scored1.621.691.54
Conceded1.191.311.08
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet31%23%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.23
HomeDLDDL1.31
AwayLWLDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%31%23%
AVG goals2.352.082.62
Over 1.5 %81%77%85%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %19%8%31%
Scored1.150.921.38
Conceded1.191.151.23
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet19%31%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3887
74%
2.3
7936+43
3.0
82%
66%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3874
58%
1.9
8648+38
3.5
84%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2452.31.3
-
3AjkaAjka3868
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.4
66%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113864
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
66%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.0
-
5SoroksarSoroksar3861
42%
1.6
5748+9
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3860
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
74%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3858
37%
1.5
3831+7
1.8
50%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8SiofokSiofok3856
39%
1.5
4551-6
2.5
68%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3851
37%
1.3
5456-2
2.9
79%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3850
34%
1.3
4243-1
2.2
66%
53%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
11Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3846
29%
1.2
3742-5
2.1
68%
29%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.01.1
-
12MTE 1904MTE 19043846
32%
1.2
3644-8
2.1
58%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
13Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3846
34%
1.2
3850-12
2.3
61%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
14KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3845
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
15CsakvarCsakvar3842
24%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
16NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza4042
25%
1.1
4755-8
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.21.4
-
17Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC4041
28%
1.0
4667-21
2.8
72%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
18Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE4040
22%
1.0
4560-15
2.6
85%
48%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.5
-
19Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123837
21%
1.0
4756-9
2.7
71%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
20Dorogi FCDorogi FC3831
18%
0.8
3261-29
2.4
68%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
21BVSCBVSC24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.5
-
22IváncsaIváncsa23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
23VeszprémVeszprém21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Hungary: NB II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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