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Gyirmot SE vs Csakvar Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 2-1
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Gyirmot SE and Csakvar face a tightly balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The odds sit at 41% for Gyirmot, 28% for a draw and 31% for Csakvar. The expected total is 2.7 goals, centring on a 2-goal game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Gyirmot, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Csakvar, away against a stronger opponent, averages 1.17 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with 76.7% and Under 3.5 with 71.0%. These picks stand alone, each with its own probability, and are not tied to the match result. The game remains uncertain, but the data lean towards a Gyirmot victory.

Results analysis

After a rough run of two straight defeats, Gyirmot SE’s recent form has finally turned, securing a win that extends their modest streak. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 41% probability and proved correct as Gyirmot triumphed 2-1 over Csakvar. The model’s selections also came through: Over 1.5, with a 76.7% chance, hit the target, while Under 3.5, at 71.0%, also succeeded. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short of the 2-1 outcome, but the overall forecast matched the reality, confirming the model’s accuracy for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gyirmot SE win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Csakvar win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D11D22D00D22D02L21W10W30WA·SOR06/08H·BUD13/08A·SZE16/08H·MTE19/08A·PÉC27/08H·KAZ03/09A·VAS24/09H·AJK27/09H·SIO01/10A·BVS08/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.601.071.071.27
vs Stronger (2)3.001.503.001.50--
vs Similar (24)1.171.291.361.091.001.46
vs Weaker (4)1.500.251.500.501.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W12L02L01L20W20W10W00D11D10WH·SZO06/08H·GYO13/08A·SOR16/08H·BUD19/08A·SZE27/08H·MTE03/09A·PÉC24/09H·KAZ27/09A·VAS01/10H·AJK08/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.301.001.181.081.46
vs Stronger (9)1.111.331.001.001.171.50
vs Similar (21)1.001.291.001.211.001.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Csakvar goals →
01234
07.8%7.0%5.1%2.1%0.7%
18.5%13%7.5%3.1%1.0%
27.2%8.9%5.6%2.3%0.7%
33.5%4.4%2.7%1.1%0.4%
41.3%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Csakvar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Gyirmot SE is 0.18 points better than Csakvar in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Gyirmot SE is 0.29 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Gyirmot SE and Csakvar are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W11D00D21W01L00D00D00DA·SOR06/08H·BUD13/08A·SZE16/08H·MTE19/08A·PÉC27/08H·KAZ03/09A·VAS24/09H·AJK27/09H·SIO01/10A·BVS08/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.800.600.400.60
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.501.00--
vs Similar (24)0.540.620.640.550.460.69
vs Weaker (4)0.500.251.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D00D00D10W00D00D00D10WH·SZO06/08H·GYO13/08A·SOR16/08H·BUD19/08A·SZE27/08H·MTE03/09A·PÉC24/09H·KAZ27/09A·VAS01/10H·AJK08/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.410.410.380.92
vs Stronger (9)0.561.000.330.670.671.17
vs Similar (21)0.330.480.430.360.140.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L11D00D01L01L21W10W30WA·SOR06/08H·BUD13/08A·SZE16/08H·MTE19/08A·PÉC27/08H·KAZ03/09A·VAS24/09H·AJK27/09H·SIO01/10A·BVS08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.800.470.670.67
vs Stronger (2)1.500.501.500.50--
vs Similar (24)0.620.670.730.550.540.77
vs Weaker (4)1.000.000.500.001.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D02L01L20W10W10W00D11D00DH·SZO06/08H·GYO13/08A·SOR16/08H·BUD19/08A·SZE27/08H·MTE03/09A·PÉC24/09H·KAZ27/09A·VAS01/10H·AJK08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.590.760.690.54
vs Stronger (9)0.560.330.670.330.500.33
vs Similar (21)0.670.810.570.860.860.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
GS wins
0
Draws
0
CSA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gyirmot SE vs Csakvar · H/A from GS
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23HGS Vs Csakvar2-1
11/09/22ACsakvar Vs GS1-2

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23ABVSC Vs GS0-3
01/10/23HGS Vs Siofok1-0
27/09/23HGS Vs Ajka2-1
24/09/23AVasas Vs GS2-0
03/09/23HGS Vs Kazincbarcikai2-2
27/08/23APécsi MFC Vs GS0-0
19/08/23HGS Vs MTE 19042-2
16/08/23ASzeged 2011 Vs GS1-1
13/08/23HGS Vs Budafoki LC1-1
06/08/23ASoroksar Vs GS1-0

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23HCSA Vs Ajka1-0
01/10/23AVasas Vs CSA1-1
27/09/23HCSA Vs Kazincbarcikai0-0
24/09/23APécsi MFC Vs CSA0-1
03/09/23HCSA Vs MTE 19042-0
27/08/23ASzeged 2011 Vs CSA0-2
19/08/23HCSA Vs Budafoki LC0-1
16/08/23ASoroksar Vs CSA2-0
13/08/23HCSA Vs Gyori ETO FC1-2
06/08/23HCSA Vs Szombathelyi Haladas4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.51
HomeDDDWW1.44
AwayLDDLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%40%42%
AVG goals2.692.882.50
Over 1.5 %73%80%67%
Over 2.5 %55%68%42%
Over 3.5 %31%36%25%
Scored1.491.641.33
Conceded1.201.241.17
BTTS57%64%50%
Clean Sheet31%28%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.20
HomeLLWDW1.27
AwayDLWWD1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%31%26%
AVG goals2.392.152.65
Over 1.5 %76%69%83%
Over 2.5 %41%38%43%
Over 3.5 %20%12%30%
Scored1.161.041.30
Conceded1.221.121.35
BTTS57%54%61%
Clean Sheet22%31%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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