PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Gyirmot SE vs Csakvar Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Gyirmot SE and Csakvar face a tightly contested match, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 37 % for Gyirmot, 29 % for a draw and 34 % for Csakvar. The average goal expectation is 2.5, with the most likely total of two goals at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14 % chance. Gyirmot, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded, while Csakvar, on the road, averages 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 with a 75.1 % probability and Over 1.5 with a 73.1 % probability. The model’s pick remains a Gyirmot victory, reflecting the narrow margin and balanced form: Gyirmot’s recent loss streak contrasts with Csakvar’s two consecutive defeats, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.

Results analysis

Gyirmot SE’s win over Csakvar 3-1 extended a mixed run, with the home side still coming off a defeat. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, at 37 % probability, proved correct, matching the actual result. The model’s suggested picks were mixed: Under 3.5, at 75.1 %, missed, while Over 1.5, at 73.1 %, hit. The expected total of 2.5 was surpassed, and the most likely score of 1-1 (27 %) did not materialise. Overall, the model’s call on the winner was accurate, but its over/under selections delivered one hit and one miss.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gyirmot SE win✓ Hit
36.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Csakvar win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D01L11D41W23L01L40W10W01LA·BUD14/04H·KIS20/04A·VAS27/04H·BUD04/05H·TAT11/05H·KOZ18/05H·AJK25/05H·SC 02/08A·MTE23/08H·CSA13/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.431.381.191.641.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.461.461.211.211.751.75
vs Weaker (4)1.751.252.501.001.001.50
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W22D61W22D12L21W02L01L10W10WA·AJK08/03H·SZE14/03H·KEC22/03A·BEK05/04H·KAR11/04A·TIS19/04H·KOZ26/04A·MEZ03/05H·SOR10/05A·SZE17/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.401.641.431.121.38
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.002.000.004.00
vs Similar (28)1.391.291.621.381.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Csakvar goals →
01234
09.2%8.5%6.0%2.5%0.8%
19.1%14%7.8%3.2%1.0%
26.7%8.3%5.1%2.1%0.6%
32.9%3.6%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Csakvar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
1.78
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kazincbarcikai
1.63
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
Csakvar
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.38
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.38
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Gyirmot SE is 0.16 points worse than Csakvar in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Diosgyori VTK
1.62
Kazincbarcikai
1.49
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Ajka
0.77
Gyirmot SE is 0.18 goals worse than Csakvar in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Diosgyori VTK
0.97
BVSC
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Szeged 2011
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Gyirmot SE is 0.02 goals worse than Csakvar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D11D21W21W00D20W00D00DA·BUD14/04H·KIS20/04A·VAS27/04H·BUD04/05H·TAT11/05H·KOZ18/05H·AJK25/05H·SC 02/08A·MTE23/08H·CSA13/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.620.690.641.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.620.850.570.640.671.08
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D21W20W11D00D00D01L10W00DA·AJK08/03H·SZE14/03H·KEC22/03A·BEK05/04H·KAR11/04A·TIS19/04H·KOZ26/04A·MEZ03/05H·SOR10/05A·SZE17/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.790.710.440.69
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.570.850.690.470.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D20W02L01L20W10W01LA·BUD14/04H·KIS20/04A·VAS27/04H·BUD04/05H·TAT11/05H·KOZ18/05H·AJK25/05H·SC 02/08A·MTE23/08H·CSA13/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.750.501.000.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.620.640.571.080.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.500.000.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D40W02L01L21W02L00D00D10WA·AJK08/03H·SZE14/03H·KEC22/03A·BEK05/04H·KAR11/04A·TIS19/04H·KOZ26/04A·MEZ03/05H·SOR10/05A·SZE17/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.860.710.690.69
vs Stronger (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.710.770.690.730.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (45)
€9m
KAZ (40)
€6m
FF (44)
€4m
KT (35)
€4m
MEZ (33)
€3m
S2 (34)
€3m
SS (37)
€3m
CSA (32)
€2m
AJK (41)
€2m
SOR (38)
€2m
BVS (36)
€2m
KF (39)
€2m
TF (33)
€2m
KS (32)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AJK (0)
€0m
BVS (0)
€0m
CSA (0)
€0m
DV (0)
€0m
FF (0)
€0m
KS (0)
€0m
KAZ (0)
€0m
KT (0)
€0m
KF (0)
€0m
MEZ (0)
€0m
SOR (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
TF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AJK (0)
€0m
BVS (0)
€0m
CSA (0)
€0m
DV (0)
€0m
FF (0)
€0m
KS (0)
€0m
KAZ (0)
€0m
KT (0)
€0m
KF (0)
€0m
MEZ (0)
€0m
SOR (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
TF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AJK (0)
€0m
BVS (0)
€0m
CSA (0)
€0m
DV (0)
€0m
FF (0)
€0m
KS (0)
€0m
KAZ (0)
€0m
KT (0)
€0m
KF (0)
€0m
MEZ (0)
€0m
SOR (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
TF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
5
GS wins
0
Draws
2
CSA wins

Head-to-head

Gyirmot SE vs Csakvar · H/A from GS
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25HGS Vs Csakvar0-1
23/02/25HGS Vs Csakvar0-4
11/08/24ACsakvar Vs GS1-2
21/04/24ACsakvar Vs GS0-2
22/10/23HGS Vs Csakvar2-1
12/03/23HGS Vs Csakvar2-1
11/09/22ACsakvar Vs GS1-2

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25HGS Vs Csakvar0-1
23/08/25AMTE 1904 Vs GS0-1
02/08/25HGS Vs SC Sopron4-0
25/05/25HGS Vs Ajka0-1
18/05/25HGS Vs Kozarmisleny FC2-3
11/05/25HGS Vs Tatabánya4-1
04/05/25HGS Vs Budafoki LC1-1
27/04/25AVasas Vs GS1-0
20/04/25HGS Vs Kisvarda FC1-1
14/04/25ABudapest Honved Vs GS2-1

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ASzeged 2011 Vs CSA0-1
10/05/26HCSA Vs Soroksar1-0
03/05/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs CSA1-0
26/04/26HCSA Vs Kozarmisleny FC0-2
19/04/26ATiszakecske FC Vs CSA1-2
11/04/26HCSA Vs Karcag SE1-2
05/04/26ABekescsaba 1912 Vs CSA2-2
22/03/26HCSA Vs Kecskeméti TE6-1
14/03/26HCSA Vs Szentlőrinc SE2-2
08/03/26AAjka Vs CSA1-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.24
HomeWLLWL1.36
AwayDDLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.982.763.20
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.521.481.56
Conceded1.461.281.64
BTTS66%56%76%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.44
HomeDWLLW1.45
AwayWDWLW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%41%39%
AVG goals2.863.052.71
Over 1.5 %78%86%71%
Over 2.5 %58%55%61%
Over 3.5 %38%36%39%
Scored1.401.501.32
Conceded1.461.551.39
BTTS56%64%50%
Clean Sheet24%18%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SoroksarSoroksar513
80%
2.6
114+7
3.0
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.20.8
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai511
60%
2.2
94+5
2.6
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.80.8
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.81.2
-
4Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE510
60%
2.0
98+1
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
5Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC59
40%
1.8
106+4
3.2
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.01.2
-
6AjkaAjka48
50%
2.0
73+4
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.80.8
-
7Karcag SEKarcag SE57
20%
1.4
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.01.4
-
8Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.51.2
-
9Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC56
40%
1.2
87+1
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.61.4
-
10Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory46
50%
1.5
33+0
1.5
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.80.8
-
11Szeged 2011Szeged 201144
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.0
-
12Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK44
25%
1.0
511-6
4.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.22.8
-
13CsakvarCsakvar53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.22.0
-
14Nagykanizsai ULENagykanizsai ULE53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
15BVSCBVSC41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
25%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.21.5
-
16Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC50
0%
0.0
312-9
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.62.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches