Gyirmot SE are the clear favourites, the model rating a 64% chance of a home win, 21% for a draw and 14% for a Csakvar victory. The prediction stems from Gyirmot’s solid home form - scoring an average of one goal and conceding 1.75 against weaker opposition - while Csakvar, playing away against stronger teams, averages only 0.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. The expected total goals hover at 3.1, with the most likely total of two goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Gyirmot, carrying a 10.5% probability. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Under 6.5 (96.0%), Home +2 handicap (95.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.0%), Under 5.5 (90.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (88.6%) and Home or Draw (85.7%). Gyirmot’s recent five-game run of LLWDW, after two straight defeats, and Csakvar’s LLLWL streak, after three straight defeats, reinforce the home side’s advantage in this cup clash.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyirmot SE win
64.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Csakvar win
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyirmot SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.47
1.41
1.08
1.54
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.46
1.62
1.31
1.09
1.64
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Csakvar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.77
1.53
1.60
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
3.00
3.00
2.67
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (25)
1.16
1.52
1.17
1.33
1.15
1.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Csakvar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
3.1%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.1%
9.7%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
10%
9.8%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.4%
7.3%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
4
4.1%
4.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Csakvar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tarpa
2.33
Iváncsa
2.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.33
Ferencvarosi TC
2.33
III. Kerületi TUE
2.25
Majosi
2.25
Tiszafuredi VSE
2.25
Mezőörs
2.25
Diosgyori VTK
2.25
Soroksar
2.25
Budapest Honved
2.20
Gyori ETO FC
2.20
Kaposvar
2.00
Móri SE
2.00
Cigand SE
2.00
Salgótarjáni BTC
2.00
Ózd Sajóvölgye
2.00
Gyulai Termál
2.00
ESMTK
2.00
Veszprém
2.00
Pécsi MFC
2.00
Siofok
2.00
Komárom
2.00
PTE-PEAC
2.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.00
MTK Budapest
2.00
Vasas
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Fehérvár FC
2.00
BVSC
2.00
Karcag SE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
2.00
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Debreceni VSC
2.00
Paks
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.75
DEAC
1.60
Mátészalka
1.50
Sárbogárd
1.50
Építők
1.50
Kapuvari SE
1.50
BKV Előre
1.50
Bicskei
1.50
Pénzügyőr
1.50
Haladás VSE
1.50
Sárisápi Bányász
1.50
Sándorfalva
1.50
Sényő Carnifex
1.50
FC Hatvan
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
1.50
Szeged 2011
1.50
Bőny
1.50
Tatabánya
1.33
Gödöllő
1.33
Érdi VSE
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Csakvar
1.33
Balatoni Vasas
1.01
Nagykozar KSE
1.01
Magnetic Andráshida TE
1.01
Sopron
1.01
Ujdombrad SE
1.01
Csór
1.01
Albidok
1.01
Csepel UFC
1.01
Nagybátony
1.01
Hartai
1.01
Emodi
1.01
Mezőcsát
1.01
Ugod
1.01
Ibrány SE
1.01
Szabadkikötő
1.01
Algyő SK
1.01
Hévíz
1.01
Ikarus BSE
1.01
Felsőpakony
1.01
Lebeny SE
1.01
Edelény
1.01
Balatonfüredi
1.00
Villány
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Ujpest
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Csepel
0.50
Bekescsaba 1912
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE
0.00
Körmendi
0.00
TFSE Budapest
0.00
Bajai
0.00
Tiszaújváros
0.00
Karancslapujtő
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Kisvarda FC
0.00
Puskas Academy
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Jánoshalmi
0.00
Gyirmot SE is 0.67 points better than Csakvar in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Siofok
5.67
Bicskei
5.00
Ferencvarosi TC
5.00
Pécsi MFC
4.67
MTK Budapest
4.33
Haladás VSE
4.00
Dunaharaszti MTK
4.00
Paks
3.67
ESMTK
3.60
Gyori ETO FC
3.40
Zalaegerszegi TE
3.33
Tiszafuredi VSE
3.25
DEAC
3.20
Kaposvar
3.00
Tarpa
3.00
Móri SE
3.00
Sárisápi Bányász
3.00
Karcag SE
3.00
Diosgyori VTK
2.75
Veszprém
2.67
Komárom
2.67
PTE-PEAC
2.67
Vasas
2.67
Nagykanizsai ULE
2.67
III. Kerületi TUE
2.50
Ózd Sajóvölgye
2.50
FC Hatvan
2.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
2.33
Gyulai Termál
2.33
Érdi VSE
2.33
Majosi
2.25
Balatonfüredi
2.00
Mátészalka
2.00
Sárbogárd
2.00
Kapuvari SE
2.00
Sándorfalva
2.00
Ujpest
2.00
BVSC
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Dabas
2.00
Budapest Honved
1.80
Kecskeméti TE
1.75
Tatabánya
1.67
Gödöllő
1.67
Szolnoki MAV FC
1.67
Dorogi FC
1.67
Iváncsa
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Balatoni Vasas
1.55
Nagykozar KSE
1.55
Magnetic Andráshida TE
1.55
Sopron
1.55
Ujdombrad SE
1.55
Csór
1.55
Albidok
1.55
Csepel UFC
1.55
Nagybátony
1.55
Hartai
1.55
Emodi
1.55
Mezőcsát
1.55
Ugod
1.55
Ibrány SE
1.55
Szabadkikötő
1.55
Algyő SK
1.55
Hévíz
1.55
Ikarus BSE
1.55
Felsőpakony
1.55
Lebeny SE
1.55
Edelény
1.55
BKV Előre
1.50
Pénzügyőr
1.50
Sényő Carnifex
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.50
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Bőny
1.50
Fehérvár FC
1.33
Mezőörs
1.25
Cigand SE
1.00
Építők
1.00
Tiszaújváros
1.00
Villány
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Ajka
1.00
Kozarmisleny FC
1.00
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Soroksar
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Puskas Academy
1.00
Csepel
0.50
Kazincbarcikai
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE
0.00
Körmendi
0.00
TFSE Budapest
0.00
Bajai
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Karancslapujtő
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Nyiregyhaza
0.00
Jánoshalmi
0.00
Gyirmot SE is 0.67 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cigand SE
0.00
Nyiregyhaza
0.00
BVSC
0.00
DEAC
0.20
Soroksar
0.25
Iváncsa
0.33
Gyirmot SE
0.33
Ferencvarosi TC
0.33
ESMTK
0.40
Mátészalka
0.50
Kapuvari SE
0.50
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Tiszakecske FC
0.50
Debreceni VSC
0.50
Budapest Honved
0.60
Gyori ETO FC
0.60
Gyulai Termál
0.67
Veszprém
0.67
Ajka
0.67
Fehérvár FC
0.67
III. Kerületi TUE
0.75
Kaposvar
1.00
Tarpa
1.00
Majosi
1.00
Villány
1.00
Ózd Sajóvölgye
1.00
Sárisápi Bányász
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Sándorfalva
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Dorogi FC
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.25
Mezőörs
1.25
Kecskeméti TE
1.25
Kazincbarcikai
1.25
Tatabánya
1.33
Gödöllő
1.33
MTK Budapest
1.33
Építők
1.50
Bicskei
1.50
Pénzügyőr
1.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
1.67
Szolnoki MAV FC
1.67
Érdi VSE
1.67
Balatonfüredi
2.00
Móri SE
2.00
Csepel
2.00
Haladás VSE
2.00
Komárom
2.00
PTE-PEAC
2.00
Sényő Carnifex
2.00
FC Hatvan
2.00
Bekescsaba 1912
2.00
Ujpest
2.00
Karcag SE
2.00
Csakvar
2.00
Bőny
2.00
BKV Előre
2.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
2.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
2.50
Balatoni Vasas
2.52
Nagykozar KSE
2.52
Magnetic Andráshida TE
2.52
Sopron
2.52
Ujdombrad SE
2.52
Csór
2.52
Albidok
2.52
Csepel UFC
2.52
Nagybátony
2.52
Hartai
2.52
Emodi
2.52
Mezőcsát
2.52
Ugod
2.52
Ibrány SE
2.52
Szabadkikötő
2.52
Algyő SK
2.52
Hévíz
2.52
Ikarus BSE
2.52
Felsőpakony
2.52
Lebeny SE
2.52
Edelény
2.52
Paks
2.67
Szentlőrinc SE
3.00
TFSE Budapest
3.00
Tiszaújváros
3.00
Siofok
3.00
Karancslapujtő
3.00
Kisvarda FC
3.00
Dabas
3.00
Sárbogárd
3.50
Szegedi VSE
4.00
Puskas Academy
4.00
Jánoshalmi
4.00
Körmendi
5.00
Bajai
5.00
Gyirmot SE is 1.67 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.33 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gyirmot SE or Draw
85.5%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Gyirmot SE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE or Csakvar
79.2%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Gyirmot SE + Csakvar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Csakvar
35.3%
Avg Implied -
65%
21%
14%
covers Draw + Csakvar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5
Over
89.2%
Under
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 3.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5
Over
62.5%
Under
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5
Over
25.7%
Under
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gyirmot SE, so a minus line means Gyirmot SE give that many goals of a start and Csakvar receive them. At -1, Gyirmot SE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gyirmot SE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE -2
22.8%
Draw -2
19.6%
Csakvar +2
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE -1
42.4%
Draw -1
22.3%
Csakvar +1
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE +1
85.5%
Draw +1
9.3%
Csakvar -1
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE +2
94.8%
Draw +2
3.8%
Csakvar -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.76
0.82
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.67
0.92
0.69
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
1.20
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Csakvar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.68
0.75
0.58
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.59
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.69
0.62
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Csakvar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.84
0.42
0.75
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →