Gyirmot SE are favoured to win this NB II clash, with a 42% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 31% chance of a Karcag SE victory. The model expects a total of 2.9 goals, most likely a 2-goal game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.8% probability. Gyirmot’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Karcag’s away form averages 1.17 scored and 1.25 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.4%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.0%) and Under 5.5 (93.0%). Gyirmot’s recent five matches contain two straight defeats, while Karcag has begun with a two-game winning run.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyirmot SE win
41.6%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.91
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Dafabet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.39
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.40
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.38
Karcag SE win
31.2%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.52
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyirmot SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.47
1.41
1.08
1.54
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.46
1.62
1.31
1.09
1.64
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karcag SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.47
1.31
1.56
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.44
1.27
1.60
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.9%
@ 1.23+5.5%
Under 1.5
21.1%
@ 3.40-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.80+2.8%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.91-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Unibet
1.79
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.9%
@ 2.86+0.3%
Under 3.5
68.1%
@ 1.32-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Betano
2.72
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
58.6%
@ 1.64+3.2%
No
41.4%
@ 2.04-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
No
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.04
Betano
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.19+6.1%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.12+3.8%
1-0
7.7%@ 7.40+2.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 11.44+4.0%
0-0
6.9%@ 11.31+3.2%
2-0
6.9%@ 9.03+2.2%
0-1
6.4%@ 10.81+2.5%
2-2
5.9%@ 12.75+2.6%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Karcag SE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.4%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.7%
13%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.0%
5.9%
2.6%
0.8%
3
3.5%
4.6%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Karcag SE goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Gyirmot SE and Karcag SE are level in average points per game (both 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Gyirmot SE is 0.17 goals worse than Karcag SE in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Gyirmot SE is 0.67 goals worse than Karcag SE in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gyirmot SE or Draw
68.8%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.23
Edge
-5.9%
42%
27%
31%
covers Gyirmot SE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Gyirmot SE or Karcag SE
72.8%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.4%
42%
27%
31%
covers Gyirmot SE + Karcag SE
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Karcag SE
58.4%
Avg Implied 52.1% · @ 1.75
Edge
+6.3%
42%
27%
31%
covers Draw + Karcag SE
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5
Over
78.6%
@ 1.15-0.5%
Under
21.4%
@ 4.35+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.35
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5
Over
45.6%
@ 1.90-3.0%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.79+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5
Over
20.2%
@ 3.80-3.7%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.19+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Gyirmot SE over/under 3.5
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5
Over
73.0%
@ 1.38+6.3%
Under
27.0%
@ 2.75-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
Under
1xBet
2.79
Betano
2.72
Karcag SE over/under 1.5
Over
37.7%
@ 2.80+5.0%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.36-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Karcag SE over/under 2.5
Over
14.5%
@ 7.00+1.6%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.04-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Karcag SE over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gyirmot SE, so a minus line means Gyirmot SE give that many goals of a start and Karcag SE receive them. At -1, Gyirmot SE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gyirmot SE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE -2
8.5%
@ 7.10-4.0%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 5.65-2.8%
Karcag SE +2
78.7%
@ 1.23+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Away
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE -1
21.3%
@ 3.46-4.3%
Draw -1
20.3%
@ 3.71-3.6%
Karcag SE +1
58.4%
@ 1.75+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Away
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.70
Handicap +1 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE +1
68.8%
@ 1.22-2.6%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 5.15+0.2%
Karcag SE -1
14.1%
@ 7.40+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Marathonbet
7.40
Handicap +2 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE +2
85.9%
Draw +2
9.3%
Karcag SE -2
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.76
0.82
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.67
0.92
0.69
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
1.20
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karcag SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.31
0.62
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.37
0.59
0.33
0.67
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.32+2.3%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 2.99-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 2.56-0.3%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.42+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Betano
2.52
Under
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 6.35-1.3%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.08+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
5.70
Under
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.6%
@ 1.80+0.9%
Under
48.4%
@ 1.86-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Under
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.1%
@ 5.15-3.5%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.0%
@ 2.30+3.1%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.52-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.6%
@ 8.20-0.5%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.02+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.59
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.69
0.62
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Karcag SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
1.00
0.94
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.85
0.93
0.93
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.20+4.1%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 4.00-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.8%
@ 1.96-1.2%
Under 1.5
54.2%
@ 1.74+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.4%
@ 3.90-4.1%
Under 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.20+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.3%
@ 1.56-2.1%
Under
42.7%
@ 2.28+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.28
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.5%
@ 3.63-6.7%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.22+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.3%
@ 1.92+5.3%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.76-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.5%
@ 5.80-1.3%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.08+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-
+0.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.08
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-
+1.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+3.5%
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.08
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-
+1.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
-1.6%
Under 4.5
84.0%
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-
+0.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.22
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-
+6.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
79.8%
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-
-
+3.7%
Over 1.5
78.9%
1.23
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
+5.5%
Away +2 handicap
78.7%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.6%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
-
-0.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
+6.3%
Home or Away
72.8%
1.25
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
-0.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.32
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
-
-
+2.3%
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Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →