Gyirmot SE is coming off a draw in their last outing, a 2-2 result against Kazincbarcikai, and will look to build on that performance against Kozarmisleny FC. The model predicts a home win, with a 51% probability, making it the favourite match result. The expected total goals is 3.1, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.4%.
Gyirmot SE has averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded at home, while Kozarmisleny FC has averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away against similar opponents. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with an 82.7% probability and a 9% edge, indicating a strong chance of this outcome occurring. The model also suggests a Home win with a 51% probability, a Draw with a 25% probability, and an Away win with a 24% probability. The home win percentage is 51%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 24%.
Results analysis
The win extends Gyirmot SE's run, as they notched a 2-1 victory over Kozarmisleny FC. The final score reflected the model's prediction of a home win, which was correct given the pre-match probability of 51%. The model's selection, a home win, proved to be the favoured result. In terms of the model's suggested picks, Over 1.5 goals was the only selection, with a probability of 82.7% and it hit, while the model's call for a home win was correct.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyirmot SE winâś“ Hit
51.4%
Avg Implied 44.9% · @ 2.00
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.11
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Drawâś— Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Kozarmisleny FC winâś— Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.12
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.26
Superbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyirmot SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.43
1.47
1.18
1.38
1.77
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.41
1.48
1.50
1.19
1.27
1.91
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.33
1.33
1.07
1.27
1.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
3.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
6.00
vs Similar (27)
1.44
1.11
1.54
0.92
1.36
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.22+9.1%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 3.38-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Superbet
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.74+7.7%
Under 2.5
40.0%
@ 1.91-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Under
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
@ 2.78+5.5%
Under 3.5
62.3%
@ 1.32-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.00
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
@ 1.61+5.3%
No
39.0%
@ 2.03-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
BetVictor
1.47
No
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.02
Betano
1.98
BetVictor
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 6.38+4.8%
2-1 âś“
9.7%@ 7.90+4.4%
2-0
7.9%@ 9.65+3.5%
1-0
7.4%@ 7.85+2.0%
1-2
6.4%@ 10.23+2.3%
3-1
6.1%@ 14.08+3.1%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.62+2.4%
0-0
5.5%@ 10.79+1.6%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
4.5%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.4%
11%
6.4%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.9%
6.1%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.3%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).
Gyirmot SE is 0.08 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.65
0.71
0.46
1.08
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.85
0.69
0.69
0.55
1.09
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.62
0.46
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.82
0.47
0.92
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.63
0.81
0.50
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.80
0.47
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.63
0.92
0.46
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.22
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+9.1%
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →