Gyirmot SE are tipped to edge Nagykanizsai ULE in a match that the model favours a home win. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 carrying a 12.9% chance. Gyirmot’s home form shows 1.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded against similar opposition, while Nagykanizsai, on the road, averages 1.8 goals for and just 1.0 against. The probabilities for the match result are 43% home win, 27% draw and 30% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8%), Home +2 handicap (86.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.7%) and Under 4.5 (84.7%). Gyirmot’s recent five-match run of LLWDW, following two straight defeats, and Nagykanizsai’s LLLLW after four losses add context to the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyirmot SE win
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE win
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyirmot SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.47
1.41
1.08
1.54
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.46
1.62
1.31
1.09
1.64
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nagykanizsai ULE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.17
1.67
1.83
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.44
1.25
2.00
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
Gyirmot SE goals ↓
Nagykanizsai ULE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.4%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.2%
13%
7.4%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.3%
9.1%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.7%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyirmot SE goals (down), columns = Nagykanizsai ULE goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Gyirmot SE is 1.17 points better than Nagykanizsai ULE in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Gyirmot SE is 1.00 goals better than Nagykanizsai ULE in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Gyirmot SE is 0.33 goals worse than Nagykanizsai ULE in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gyirmot SE or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Gyirmot SE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE or Nagykanizsai ULE
72.7%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Gyirmot SE + Nagykanizsai ULE
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nagykanizsai ULE
57.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Draw + Nagykanizsai ULE
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5
Over
45.9%
Under
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5
Over
35.7%
Under
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gyirmot SE, so a minus line means Gyirmot SE give that many goals of a start and Nagykanizsai ULE receive them. At -1, Gyirmot SE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gyirmot SE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE -2
8.9%
Draw -2
13.3%
Nagykanizsai ULE +2
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE -1
22.2%
Draw -1
20.8%
Nagykanizsai ULE +1
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE +1
70.3%
Draw +1
16.6%
Nagykanizsai ULE -1
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gyirmot SE)
Gyirmot SE +2
86.9%
Draw +2
8.7%
Nagykanizsai ULE -2
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.76
0.82
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.67
0.92
0.69
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
1.20
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nagykanizsai ULE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.92
0.83
1.17
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyirmot SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.59
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.69
0.62
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nagykanizsai ULE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.42
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →