Gyori ETO FC’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.64 goals per game against weaker opposition, while Budapest Honved’s away form has been porous, allowing 2.5 goals on average to stronger teams. The model projects a tight affair, with a 49% chance of a home win, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of an away victory, making a home win the favoured result. The expected total is 2.1 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Gyori, with a 15.6% probability. The model’s selection list includes an Under 3.5 with an 84.7% chance, a hit. Gyori’s home scoring average of 1.93 and conceding 0.64 against weaker sides contrast sharply with Budapest’s away scoring of 0.5 and conceding 2.5 to stronger opponents. The recent form notes that Gyori is coming off a draw, while Budapest arrives after a win, adding a slight edge to the home side.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Gyori ETO FC, did not deliver, as Budapest Honved snatched a 1-0 away win. Gyori, coming off a draw, had a 49% chance of victory, but the model’s call was wrong. The model predicted a home win with a 49% probability, yet the actual result was an away win. The suggested pick, Under 3.5 goals, hit with an 84.7% probability. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away triumph. Gyori’s home form had been DWDDL, while Budapest Honved’s away form was WLDDD, both reflecting recent struggles and a single win respectively. The match ended with a narrow 1-0 scoreline, matching the model’s most likely total of 2 goals.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyori ETO FC win✗ Miss
49.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved win✓ Hit
19.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.17
1.80
0.67
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
3.25
0.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.65
0.85
1.93
0.64
1.33
1.08
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.27
1.27
1.27
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (27)
1.00
1.19
1.21
1.29
0.77
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.1%
Under 1.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.8%
Under 2.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 3.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.4%
No
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.6%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
0-1 ✓
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
Gyori ETO FC goals ↓
Budapest Honved goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
8.2%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.6%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
8.2%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
4.9%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyori ETO FC goals (down), columns = Budapest Honved goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Gyori ETO FC is 0.74 points better than Budapest Honved in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Gyori ETO FC is 0.76 goals better than Budapest Honved in terms of goals scored per game (1.91 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Gyori ETO FC is 0.03 goals worse than Budapest Honved in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.67
0.27
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.73
0.35
0.71
0.21
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.41
0.43
0.43
0.46
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.13
0.40
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
2.25
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.92
0.50
1.21
0.43
0.58
0.58
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.80
0.87
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.78
0.79
0.86
0.31
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gyori ETO FC · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Željko Gavrić50%
Viktor Đukanović20%
Norbert Urblík20%
Marcell Huszár20%
Nfansu Njie20%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miljan Krpić40%
Norbert Urblík40%
Márton Szép40%
Claudiu Bumba20%
Viktor Đukanović20%
Samuel Petráš0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Željko Gavrić0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Štefulj40%
Željko Gavrić25%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Viktor Đukanović0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Norbert Urblík0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Nfansu Njie0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Željko Gavrić25%
Viktor Đukanović20%
Nfansu Njie20%
Samuel Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Miljan Krpić0%
Norbert Urblík0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Ádám Umathum0%
Ádám Décsy0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Budapest Honved · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Csontos50%
Ádam Szamosi50%
Ákos Baki33%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ádam Somogyi25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deian Boldor50%
Szilveszter Hangya25%
Dominik Csontos25%
Kevin Kállai25%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Tamás Somogyi0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Csontos50%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádam Szamosi50%
Deian Boldor25%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Dominik Csontos0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Gyori ETO FC's squad is €11m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€16m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Gyori ETO FC's attack is €6m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€7m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Gyori ETO FC's midfield is €3m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Gyori ETO FC's defence is €3m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€5m vs €3m).
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Nyiregyhaza
Vasas
Szeged 2011
Kozarmisleny FC
Gyirmot SE
Soroksar
Kazincbarcikai
Budafoki LC
Ajka
Csakvar
Szombathelyi Haladas
BVSC
Pécsi MFC
Tiszakecske FC
Siofok
MTE 1904