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H&W Welders vs Institute Result & Analysis

Date: 23/03/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Vs
44%
25%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Institute
Institute
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

H&W Welders win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Institute win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W41W12L04L31W50W12L10W34L31WH·DUN27/12A·BAL01/01H·POR13/01A·BAL20/01H·NEW27/01A·DER03/02H·BAN17/02A·ARD24/02A·ANN02/03H·DUN09/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.602.191.381.791.86
vs Stronger (20)1.851.452.101.301.601.60
vs Similar (7)2.431.712.001.403.502.50
vs Weaker (3)2.002.334.002.001.002.50
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W00D20W22D00D24L20W30W12LH·DER30/12A·DUN09/01A·ANN13/01H·BAL20/01A·ARD27/01A·BAL10/02H·DUN17/02H·NEW24/02A·KNO09/03H·POR16/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.171.601.131.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.701.301.731.271.671.33
vs Weaker (10)1.400.901.250.751.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.4%
No
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
H&W Welders goals ↓
Institute goals →
01234
04.6%4.5%4.2%2.1%0.8%
15.5%11%7.5%3.8%1.5%
25.8%8.9%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.5%5.4%4.1%2.1%0.8%
41.6%2.4%1.8%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = H&W Welders goals (down), columns = Institute goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Portadown
1.87
Institute
1.82
Annagh United
1.79
Bangor
1.79
Dundela
1.76
Ballyclare Comrades
1.61
H&W Welders
1.47
Newington Youth
1.37
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Armagh City
1.00
Ards
0.97
Dergview
0.72
Knockbreda
0.47
H&W Welders is 0.34 points worse than Institute in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.82).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.03
Dundela
1.95
Portadown
1.95
Ballyclare Comrades
1.92
H&W Welders
1.84
Newington Youth
1.71
Annagh United
1.61
Ards
1.58
Institute
1.58
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Dergview
1.07
Armagh City
1.00
Knockbreda
0.89
H&W Welders is 0.26 goals better than Institute in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.58).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Armagh City
1.00
Institute
1.13
Bangor
1.16
Annagh United
1.32
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Portadown
1.39
Dundela
1.58
Ballyclare Comrades
1.58
H&W Welders
1.66
Newington Youth
1.79
Ards
1.82
Dergview
2.02
Knockbreda
2.63
H&W Welders is 0.53 goals worse than Institute in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.13).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W01L02L31W10W11D00D21W01LH·DUN27/12A·BAL01/01H·POR13/01A·BAL20/01H·NEW27/01A·DER03/02H·BAN17/02A·ARD24/02A·ANN02/03H·DUN09/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.900.690.810.931.00
vs Stronger (20)0.900.900.800.901.000.90
vs Similar (7)0.570.860.600.600.501.50
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InstituteInstitute

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W01L00D21W10W10W10WH·DER30/12A·DUN09/01A·ANN13/01H·BAL20/01A·ARD27/01A·BAL10/02H·DUN17/02H·NEW24/02A·KNO09/03H·POR16/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.800.400.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.600.550.730.450.440.67
vs Weaker (10)0.800.201.000.250.670.17
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D11D02L00D40W01L10W13L30WH·DUN27/12A·BAL01/01H·POR13/01A·BAL20/01H·NEW27/01A·DER03/02H·BAN17/02A·ARD24/02A·ANN02/03H·DUN09/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.701.500.560.860.86
vs Stronger (20)0.950.551.300.400.600.70
vs Similar (7)1.860.861.400.803.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.331.334.001.000.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Institute) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InstituteInstitute

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D10W21W00D03L10W20W02LH·DER30/12A·DUN09/01A·ANN13/01H·BAL20/01A·ARD27/01A·BAL10/02H·DUN17/02H·NEW24/02A·KNO09/03H·POR16/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.730.800.731.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.100.751.000.821.220.67
vs Weaker (10)0.600.700.250.500.830.83
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Institute over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POR (6)
€1m
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
POR (3)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
HW wins
0
Draws
2
INS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

H&W Welders vs Institute · H/A from HW
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23HHW Vs Institute4-1
09/09/23AInstitute Vs HW2-1
11/04/23HHW Vs Institute3-1
18/03/23AInstitute Vs HW0-1
19/11/22AInstitute Vs HW1-0
03/09/22HHW Vs Institute5-0

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HHW Vs Dundela3-1
02/03/24AAnnagh United Vs HW4-3
24/02/24AArds Vs HW0-1
17/02/24HHW Vs Bangor1-2
03/02/24ADergview Vs HW0-5
27/01/24HHW Vs Newington Youth3-1
20/01/24ABallinamallard United Vs HW4-0
13/01/24HHW Vs Portadown1-2
01/01/24ABallyclare Comrades Vs HW1-4
27/12/23HHW Vs Dundela2-1

InstituteInstitute

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/24HINS Vs Portadown1-2
09/03/24AKnockbreda Vs INS0-3
24/02/24HINS Vs Newington Youth2-0
17/02/24HINS Vs Dundela2-4
10/02/24ABallinamallard United Vs INS0-0
27/01/24AArds Vs INS2-2
20/01/24HINS Vs Ballyclare Comrades2-0
13/01/24AAnnagh United Vs INS0-0
09/01/24ADundela Vs INS1-2
30/12/23HINS Vs Dergview0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.86
HomeWLWLW2.29
AwayWLWWL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%71%41%
AVG goals3.643.823.41
Over 1.5 %86%86%86%
Over 2.5 %76%82%68%
Over 3.5 %48%54%41%
Scored2.162.541.68
Conceded1.481.291.73
BTTS70%75%64%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Institute
Institute
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.36
HomeDWLWL1.52
AwayWDDDW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.862.483.24
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.401.321.48
Conceded1.461.161.76
BTTS58%44%72%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PortadownPortadown3871
58%
1.9
7453+21
3.3
87%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.4
-
2InstituteInstitute3869
53%
1.8
6043+17
2.7
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
3BangorBangor3868
53%
1.8
7744+33
3.2
87%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.01.2
-
4Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3868
53%
1.8
6150+11
2.9
74%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
5DundelaDundela3867
55%
1.8
7460+14
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades3861
47%
1.6
7360+13
3.5
89%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
7H&W WeldersH&W Welders3856
45%
1.5
7063+7
3.5
89%
76%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Newington YouthNewington Youth3852
42%
1.4
6568-3
3.5
97%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3851
39%
1.3
5151+0
2.7
71%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10ArdsArds3837
24%
1.0
6069-9
3.4
84%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
11DergviewDergview4029
15%
0.7
4381-38
3.1
85%
57%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12KnockbredaKnockbreda3818
13%
0.5
34100-66
3.5
95%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
13Armagh CityArmagh City22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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