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H&W Welders vs Loughgall Result & Analysis

Date: 02/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Vs
18%
23%
59%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Loughgall
Loughgall
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

H&W Welders win✓ Hit
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Loughgall win✗ Miss
59.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L23L00D25L01L13L32W12L32W32WH·BAL28/10A·WAR05/11A·BAL08/11H·ARD12/11A·INS19/11H·ANN25/11A·DER03/12A·NEW16/12H·DER20/12A·DUN27/12
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.352.151.332.221.362.09
vs Stronger (12)1.082.171.332.670.831.67
vs Similar (5)2.202.403.002.002.002.50
vs Weaker (3)1.001.670.501.002.003.00
Clean sheet %15% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoughgallLoughgall

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L61W10W10W01L20W02L11D11D30WA·WAR22/10H·ARD29/10A·KNO05/11A·DUN08/11H·DUN12/11A·NEW19/11A·DER26/11H·BAL03/12A·INS10/12H·ANN26/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.050.502.360.361.670.67
vs Stronger (2)2.000.503.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (14)2.210.432.430.432.000.43
vs Weaker (4)1.500.752.000.330.002.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
H&W Welders goals ↓
Loughgall goals →
01234
05.7%8.5%9.6%6.4%3.3%
13.9%11%10.0%6.7%3.4%
22.5%5.1%5.2%3.5%1.8%
30.9%1.8%1.8%1.2%0.6%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = H&W Welders goals (down), columns = Loughgall goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Loughgall
2.03
Warrenpoint Town
1.87
Annagh United
1.55
Dundela
1.53
Ards
1.47
Ballyclare Comrades
1.45
H&W Welders
1.45
Ballinamallard United
1.37
Dergview
1.08
Newington Youth
1.05
Knockbreda
1.00
Institute
1.00
Ballymacash Rangers
0.50
H&W Welders is 0.58 points worse than Loughgall in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 2.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Loughgall
1.97
Ards
1.89
H&W Welders
1.82
Warrenpoint Town
1.76
Ballyclare Comrades
1.74
Newington Youth
1.61
Annagh United
1.53
Dundela
1.50
Dergview
1.34
Knockbreda
1.32
Ballinamallard United
1.32
Institute
1.32
Ballymacash Rangers
1.00
H&W Welders is 0.16 goals worse than Loughgall in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Loughgall
0.66
Annagh United
1.13
Warrenpoint Town
1.16
Dundela
1.53
Ballinamallard United
1.55
Institute
1.66
Ballyclare Comrades
1.66
H&W Welders
1.71
Dergview
1.79
Ards
1.97
Newington Youth
1.97
Ballymacash Rangers
2.00
Knockbreda
2.23
H&W Welders is 1.05 goals worse than Loughgall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 0.66).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L00D10W01L01L10W00D02L12LH·BAL28/10A·WAR05/11A·BAL08/11H·ARD12/11A·INS19/11H·ANN25/11A·DER03/12A·NEW16/12H·DER20/12A·DUN27/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.000.560.780.361.18
vs Stronger (12)0.420.920.670.830.171.00
vs Similar (5)0.601.400.002.000.751.25
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.500.000.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoughgallLoughgall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W00D01L10W01L11D00D20WA·WAR22/10H·ARD29/10A·KNO05/11A·DUN08/11H·DUN12/11A·NEW19/11A·DER26/11H·BAL03/12A·INS10/12H·ANN26/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.351.000.270.560.44
vs Stronger (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.210.860.290.710.14
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.000.330.002.00
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L21W00D15L00D12L22D12L30W20WH·BAL28/10A·WAR05/11A·BAL08/11H·ARD12/11A·INS19/11H·ANN25/11A·DER03/12A·NEW16/12H·DER20/12A·DUN27/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.150.781.441.000.91
vs Stronger (12)0.671.250.671.830.670.67
vs Similar (5)1.601.003.000.001.251.25
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoughgallLoughgall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D51W00D10W00D10W01L00D11D10WA·WAR22/10H·ARD29/10A·KNO05/11A·DUN08/11H·DUN12/11A·NEW19/11A·DER26/11H·BAL03/12A·INS10/12H·ANN26/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.151.360.091.110.22
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (14)1.430.211.570.141.290.29
vs Weaker (4)0.750.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %85% (+61pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
H&W Welders and Loughgall have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
H&W Welders and Loughgall have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
H&W Welders and Loughgall have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
HW wins
0
Draws
1
LOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

H&W Welders vs Loughgall · H/A from HW
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/22ALoughgall Vs HW4-0

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/12/22ADundela Vs HW2-3
20/12/22HHW Vs Dergview3-2
16/12/22ANewington Youth Vs HW2-1
03/12/22ADergview Vs HW2-3
25/11/22HHW Vs Annagh United1-3
19/11/22AInstitute Vs HW1-0
12/11/22HHW Vs Ards2-5
08/11/22ABallyclare Comrades Vs HW0-0
05/11/22AWarrenpoint Town Vs HW3-2
28/10/22HHW Vs Ballyclare Comrades0-5

LoughgallLoughgall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/22HLOU Vs Annagh United3-0
10/12/22AInstitute Vs LOU1-1
03/12/22HLOU Vs Ballinamallard United1-1
26/11/22ADergview Vs LOU2-0
19/11/22ANewington Youth Vs LOU0-2
12/11/22HLOU Vs Dundela0-1
08/11/22ADundela Vs LOU0-1
05/11/22AKnockbreda Vs LOU0-1
29/10/22HLOU Vs Ards6-1
22/10/22AWarrenpoint Town Vs LOU2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW0.85
HomeLLLLW0.78
AwayDLWLW0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%22%27%
AVG goals3.503.563.45
Over 1.5 %80%78%82%
Over 2.5 %70%56%82%
Over 3.5 %50%56%45%
Scored1.351.331.36
Conceded2.152.222.09
BTTS50%44%55%
Clean Sheet15%11%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Loughgall
Loughgall
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW2.25
HomeWWLDW2.55
AwayWWWLD1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%82%56%
AVG goals2.552.732.33
Over 1.5 %75%73%78%
Over 2.5 %40%55%22%
Over 3.5 %20%18%22%
Scored2.052.361.67
Conceded0.500.360.67
BTTS25%27%22%
Clean Sheet60%64%56%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LoughgallLoughgall3877
61%
2.0
7525+50
2.6
71%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
2Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3871
55%
1.9
6744+23
2.9
84%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3859
45%
1.6
5843+15
2.7
84%
63%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
4DundelaDundela3858
47%
1.5
5758-1
3.0
74%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
5ArdsArds3856
45%
1.5
7275-3
3.9
89%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.0
-
6H&W WeldersH&W Welders3855
45%
1.4
6965+4
3.5
79%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades3855
37%
1.4
6663+3
3.4
84%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3852
37%
1.4
5059-9
2.9
84%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
9DergviewDergview3841
29%
1.1
5168-17
3.1
82%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
10Newington YouthNewington Youth3840
29%
1.1
6175-14
3.6
89%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11KnockbredaKnockbreda4040
25%
1.0
5389-36
3.5
85%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.2
-
12InstituteInstitute3838
26%
1.0
5063-13
3.0
82%
45%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
13Ballymacash RangersBallymacash Rangers21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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