This match between Haka and JIPPO promises to be a closely contested affair, with both teams having shown varying levels of form in recent weeks. Haka is on a three-game winning run, having beaten JIPPO 3-0 in their last encounter, while JIPPO is looking to bounce back from a defeat.
The probabilities suggest a finely balanced match, with Haka favourite to win at home with a 41% chance, JIPPO with a 31% chance of an away win, and a 27% chance of a draw. The model's selection is a home win, while the expected total goals is 2.8. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 13% probability.
Haka has shown a tendency to concede heavily at home, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 3 in their recent matches against stronger opponents. JIPPO, on the other hand, has been more defensive-minded away from home, scoring an average of 1.14 goals and conceding 1 in their recent matches against weaker opponents.
The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection, which has a high probability of 78.1% and an edge of 5%. The home win percentage is 41%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 31%.
Results analysis
The win extends Haka's 3-game winning run, with a convincing 3-0 scoreline over JIPPO. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct as the actual result. With a pre-match probability of 41%, the model's call was a calculated one. The model's selection largely came in, with the Over 1.5 goal line hitting with an 78.1% probability. The model's other selection, the most likely total goals of 2, missed with a 25% probability. The most likely scores of 1-1, 2-1, and 1-0 were also not the outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Haka win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.03
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.10
Dafabet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
SBO
2.05
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.28
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.48
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.32
JIPPO win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.28
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.45
Dafabet
3.40
1xBet
3.31
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Haka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.63
1.85
1.69
1.88
1.59
vs Stronger (6)
2.50
1.50
2.67
1.00
2.33
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.71
1.25
2.12
1.77
1.46
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.33
3.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.10
1.62
1.25
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.00
1.20
1.10
1.15
0.92
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
1.43
2.33
1.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Haka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
@ 1.26+5.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
@ 3.41-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.42
Pinnacle
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.87+3.3%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.85-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
BetVictor
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Betfair
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
@ 3.15+1.5%
Under 3.5
69.2%
@ 1.30-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.44
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Under
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
@ 1.70+3.5%
No
42.3%
@ 2.01-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Unibet
1.68
No
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 5.89+5.7%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.69+3.3%
1-0
8.0%@ 7.02+1.9%
1-2
7.7%@ 10.17+3.4%
0-0
7.3%@ 9.88+2.9%
2-0
6.9%@ 9.29+2.3%
0-1
6.7%@ 9.44+2.1%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.10+2.2%
Haka goals ↓
JIPPO goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
6.7%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.0%
13%
7.7%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
8.9%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.5%
4.5%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Haka goals (down), columns = JIPPO goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
Haka is 0.38 points better than JIPPO in terms of average points per game (2.38 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
Haka is 1.00 goals better than JIPPO in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
Haka is 0.12 goals worse than JIPPO in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Haka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.69
0.54
0.76
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.62
0.38
0.62
0.77
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.69
0.69
0.79
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.35
0.50
0.50
0.77
0.23
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Haka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Haka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Haka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.93
1.15
1.15
1.12
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
0.67
1.33
0.67
1.67
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.95
1.10
0.88
1.50
1.00
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.94
0.56
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.65
0.70
0.60
0.38
0.69
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.57
1.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Haka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Haka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.1%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
+5.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Haka · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kalle Multanen20%
Simon Lindholm18%
Jordan Iain Houston12%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva11%
Abraham Okyere11%
James Akintunde10%
Eetu Mömmö10%
Elías Romero0%
Juan Lescano0%
Mikael Almén0%
Arlind Sejdiu0%
Riku Selander0%
Niklas Friberg0%
Anton Lepola0%
Lucas Falcao0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas0%
Liam Hughes0%
Oskari Sallinen0%
Roni Hudd0%
Michael Boamah0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elías Romero67%
Riku Selander43%
Lucas Falcao40%
Simon Lindholm36%
Jordan Iain Houston25%
Niklas Friberg22%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas20%
Eetu Mömmö20%
Mikael Almén17%
Abraham Okyere11%
Arlind Sejdiu10%
Oskari Sallinen9%
James Akintunde0%
Juan Lescano0%
Anton Lepola0%
Kalle Multanen0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Liam Hughes0%
Roni Hudd0%
Michael Boamah0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Mömmö30%
Michael Boamah20%
Arlind Sejdiu10%
James Akintunde0%
Elías Romero0%
Juan Lescano0%
Mikael Almén0%
Riku Selander0%
Niklas Friberg0%
Anton Lepola0%
Simon Lindholm0%
Kalle Multanen0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Lucas Falcao0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Jordan Iain Houston0%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas0%
Liam Hughes0%
Oskari Sallinen0%
Roni Hudd0%
Abraham Okyere0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva22%
Kalle Multanen20%
Lucas Falcao20%
Abraham Okyere11%
James Akintunde0%
Elías Romero0%
Juan Lescano0%
Mikael Almén0%
Arlind Sejdiu0%
Riku Selander0%
Niklas Friberg0%
Anton Lepola0%
Simon Lindholm0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Jordan Iain Houston0%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas0%
Liam Hughes0%
Eetu Mömmö0%
Oskari Sallinen0%
Roni Hudd0%
Michael Boamah0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
Haka and JIPPO have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Haka and JIPPO have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
Haka and JIPPO have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
Haka and JIPPO have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PK-35
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
EIF
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa