Haka’s recent run of four victories after a narrow loss sets a positive tone, while Klubi-04’s two-game winning streak keeps them sharp. The model rates Haka as the clear favourite, assigning a 65% chance to a home win, 21% for a draw and 14% for an away win. The expected total goals hover at 3.2, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for Haka, a 10.2% probability. Haka’s home form shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opposition, whereas Klubi-04’s away form averages 3.5 scored and 3.0 conceded against stronger teams. The suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 95.4%, Home +2 handicap at 95.1%, Away under 2.5 goals at 92.6%, Home over 0.5 goals at 89.5%, Under 5.5 at 89.3% and Home or Draw at 86.0%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Haka win
65.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 win
13.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Haka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.60
1.50
1.58
1.89
1.61
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
1.80
1.00
1.50
2.33
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.62
1.25
1.75
1.77
1.54
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
1.25
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.77
1.62
1.94
1.43
1.57
vs Stronger (7)
2.14
3.00
1.60
3.00
3.50
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.32
1.40
1.30
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Haka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.4%
Under 2.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.2%
Under 3.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
Haka goals ↓
Klubi-04 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
3.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
1
8.2%
9.6%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
2
10%
9.8%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
7.7%
7.4%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.3%
4.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Haka goals (down), columns = Klubi-04 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
Haka is 1.15 points better than Klubi-04 in terms of average points per game (2.38 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
Haka is 0.83 goals better than Klubi-04 in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
Haka is 0.67 goals better than Klubi-04 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Haka or Draw
86.1%
Avg Implied -
66%
20%
14%
covers Haka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Haka or Klubi-04
79.5%
Avg Implied -
66%
20%
14%
covers Haka + Klubi-04
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Klubi-04
34.4%
Avg Implied -
66%
20%
14%
covers Draw + Klubi-04
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Haka over/under 0.5
Over
89.5%
Under
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 1.5
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 2.5
Over
39.2%
Under
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 3.5
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5
Over
25.1%
Under
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Haka, so a minus line means Haka give that many goals of a start and Klubi-04 receive them. At -1, Haka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Haka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Haka)
Haka -2
23.6%
Draw -2
19.9%
Klubi-04 +2
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Haka)
Haka -1
43.4%
Draw -1
22.2%
Klubi-04 +1
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Haka)
Haka +1
86.1%
Draw +1
9.0%
Klubi-04 -1
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Haka)
Haka +2
95.1%
Draw +2
3.6%
Klubi-04 -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Haka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.75
0.50
0.78
0.78
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.57
0.62
0.50
0.77
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.88
0.88
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.00
1.20
0.80
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.73
0.40
0.70
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Haka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Haka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Haka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.93
0.75
1.08
1.11
0.83
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
0.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.05
0.62
1.25
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.75
1.06
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.00
0.40
2.20
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.59
1.00
0.60
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Haka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Haka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Haka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Haka · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kalle Multanen20%
Simon Lindholm18%
Jordan Iain Houston12%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva11%
Abraham Okyere11%
James Akintunde10%
Eetu Mömmö10%
Elías Romero0%
Juan Lescano0%
Mikael Almén0%
Arlind Sejdiu0%
Riku Selander0%
Niklas Friberg0%
Anton Lepola0%
Lucas Falcao0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas0%
Liam Hughes0%
Oskari Sallinen0%
Roni Hudd0%
Michael Boamah0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elías Romero67%
Riku Selander43%
Lucas Falcao40%
Simon Lindholm36%
Jordan Iain Houston25%
Niklas Friberg22%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas20%
Eetu Mömmö20%
Mikael Almén17%
Abraham Okyere11%
Arlind Sejdiu10%
Oskari Sallinen9%
James Akintunde0%
Juan Lescano0%
Anton Lepola0%
Kalle Multanen0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Liam Hughes0%
Roni Hudd0%
Michael Boamah0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Mömmö30%
Michael Boamah20%
Arlind Sejdiu10%
James Akintunde0%
Elías Romero0%
Juan Lescano0%
Mikael Almén0%
Riku Selander0%
Niklas Friberg0%
Anton Lepola0%
Simon Lindholm0%
Kalle Multanen0%
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva0%
Lucas Falcao0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Jordan Iain Houston0%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas0%
Liam Hughes0%
Oskari Sallinen0%
Roni Hudd0%
Abraham Okyere0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Pierre Da Sylva22%
Kalle Multanen20%
Lucas Falcao20%
Abraham Okyere11%
James Akintunde0%
Elías Romero0%
Juan Lescano0%
Mikael Almén0%
Arlind Sejdiu0%
Riku Selander0%
Niklas Friberg0%
Anton Lepola0%
Simon Lindholm0%
Djair Parfitt-Williams0%
Jordan Iain Houston0%
Nicolas Gianini Dantas0%
Liam Hughes0%
Eetu Mömmö0%
Oskari Sallinen0%
Roni Hudd0%
Michael Boamah0%
Nikolas Talo0%
Valentin Purosalo0%
Danila Bulgakov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
Haka and Klubi-04 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
Haka and Klubi-04 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
Haka and Klubi-04 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
Haka and Klubi-04 have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PK-35
JIPPO
Kooteepee
EIF
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa