The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected 3.9 goals, most likely totaling three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 8.5% chance. Halkanoras, at home, averages one goal scored and two conceded against similar opponents, while Doxa, on the road, averages two goals scored and one conceded. The model favours an away win, with a 41% probability, followed by a 37% home win and a 23% draw. The suggested selections are Under 7.5 (95.5%), Over 1.5 (90.8%), Under 6.5 (90.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (87.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (86.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (85.8%), Home over 0.5 goals (85.1%), and Under 5.5 (80.1%). Halkanoras have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, ending a 0-0 draw with Iraklis Yerolakkou, while Doxa have struggled after two straight defeats, losing 0-3 to Ayia Napa.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Halkanoras win
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Doxa win
40.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Halkanoras
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.23
2.07
1.20
1.53
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
1.86
1.18
2.14
1.14
1.57
1.21
vs Similar (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
0.75
1.00
1.79
1.36
vs Stronger (23)
1.30
1.13
0.82
0.82
1.75
1.42
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.29
0.60
1.40
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.3%
Under 1.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.6%
Under 2.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.8%
Under 3.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
72.0%
No
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
Halkanoras goals ↓
Doxa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
3.8%
4.4%
2.8%
1.3%
1
3.6%
9.3%
8.0%
5.0%
2.4%
2
4.0%
7.6%
7.2%
4.6%
2.2%
3
2.4%
4.6%
4.4%
2.8%
1.3%
4
1.1%
2.1%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halkanoras goals (down), columns = Doxa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Halkanoras is 0.10 points better than Doxa in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Halkanoras is 0.45 goals better than Doxa in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Halkanoras is 0.07 goals worse than Doxa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Halkanoras or Draw
60.0%
Avg Implied -
37%
23%
40%
covers Halkanoras + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras or Doxa
76.8%
Avg Implied -
37%
23%
40%
covers Halkanoras + Doxa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Doxa
63.3%
Avg Implied -
37%
23%
40%
covers Draw + Doxa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5
Over
54.1%
Under
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 3.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5
Over
85.0%
Under
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5
Over
56.5%
Under
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5
Over
29.5%
Under
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 3.5
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Halkanoras, so a minus line means Halkanoras give that many goals of a start and Doxa receive them. At -1, Halkanoras must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Halkanoras win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras -2
8.5%
Draw -2
11.2%
Doxa +2
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras -1
19.6%
Draw -1
17.1%
Doxa +1
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras +1
60.0%
Draw +1
17.9%
Doxa -1
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras +2
77.9%
Draw +2
12.2%
Doxa -2
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Halkanoras
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (28)
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.79
0.71
0.64
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.38
0.50
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.70
0.27
0.45
0.58
0.92
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Halkanoras
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.33
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (28)
1.14
0.46
1.43
0.36
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.38
0.50
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (23)
0.87
0.43
0.55
0.36
1.17
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.71
0.00
0.80
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Doxa · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola Trujić50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Trujić75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Duško Trajčevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola Trujić0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Trujić50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
Halkanoras and Doxa have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Halkanoras and Doxa have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Enosis
Ayia Napa
Digenis Morphou
Spartakos Kitiou
Ethnikos Achna
Anagennisi Deryneia
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Polemidion
APEA
ASIL Lysi
Akritas
Ermis
PAEEK
MEAP Nisou