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Halkanoras vs Iraklis Yerolakkou Result & Analysis

Date: 22/11/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-1
Halkanoras
Halkanoras
Vs
43%
28%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Halkanoras are tipped to win, with the model assigning a 43% chance to a home victory, 28% to a draw and 29% to an away win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% probability. Halkanoras, playing at home against a stronger opponent, have averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.23 conceded, while Iraklis Yerolakkou, on the road against a weaker side, have yet to score in recent matches and concede an average of one goal. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 76.5% and Under 3.5 goals at 71.2%. The home win probability stands at 43%, the draw at 28% and the away win at 29%. The recent form notes that Halkanoras remain unbeaten in their last five matches, having drawn 0-0 with Iraklis Yerolakkou, while Iraklis Yerolakkou come off a 0-0 draw with Halkanoras. This suggests a tightly contested game that could finish 1-1, matching the model’s most likely score.

Results analysis

The surprise came early as the pre-match favourite, Halkanoras, failed to secure the win, ending with a 1-1 draw. The model had tipped a home win at 43% probability, but the result was a draw, so the pick was wrong. The match finished 1-1, a score that matched the most likely 2-goal total (26% chance). The model’s selections Over 1.5 (76.5%) and Under 3.5 (71.2%) both hit, confirming the expected goal range. Halkanoras remained unbeaten in their last five, while Iraklis Yerolakkou returned from a draw, yet neither side could break the deadlock.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halkanoras win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HalkanorasHalkanoras

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W70W21W04L23L02L42W01L10W12LH·MEA12/04A·PEY26/04H·OMO14/09A·PAE20/09H·SPA27/09A·KAR04/10H·ETH18/10A·NEA25/10H·APE01/11A·DOX08/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.701.931.401.272.00
vs Stronger (23)1.651.571.851.231.402.00
vs Similar (7)1.432.142.502.501.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D12L01L24L11D21W11DH·ETH13/09A·NEA20/09H·APE28/09A·DOX04/10H·AYI18/10H·DIG25/10A·AHI01/11H·MEA09/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.381.001.800.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.831.000.751.251.000.50
vs Weaker (2)1.002.502.004.000.001.00
Clean sheet %12% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
Halkanoras goals ↓
Iraklis Yerolakkou goals →
01234
07.9%6.8%4.8%1.9%0.6%
18.8%13%7.3%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.1%5.5%2.2%0.7%
33.8%4.6%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.4%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halkanoras goals (down), columns = Iraklis Yerolakkou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Halkanoras is 0.28 points better than Iraklis Yerolakkou in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.28).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Halkanoras is 0.69 goals better than Iraklis Yerolakkou in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 0.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Halkanoras is 0.24 goals worse than Iraklis Yerolakkou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HalkanorasHalkanoras

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W10W02L12L01L12L01L10W02LH·MEA12/04A·PEY26/04H·OMO14/09A·PAE20/09H·SPA27/09A·KAR04/10H·ETH18/10A·NEA25/10H·APE01/11A·DOX08/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.730.530.600.93
vs Stronger (23)0.650.700.690.540.600.90
vs Similar (7)0.710.861.000.500.601.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D00D13L00D11D10WH·ETH13/09A·NEA20/09H·APE28/09A·DOX04/10H·AYI18/10H·DIG25/10A·AHI01/11H·MEA09/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.750.601.000.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.500.500.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HalkanorasHalkanoras

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D02L11D01L30W00D00D10WH·MEA12/04A·PEY26/04H·OMO14/09A·PAE20/09H·SPA27/09A·KAR04/10H·ETH18/10A·NEA25/10H·APE01/11A·DOX08/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.971.200.870.671.07
vs Stronger (23)1.000.871.150.690.801.10
vs Similar (7)0.711.291.502.000.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L01L11D11D10W01LH·ETH13/09A·NEA20/09H·APE28/09A·DOX04/10H·AYI18/10H·DIG25/10A·AHI01/11H·MEA09/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.620.400.800.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.330.500.250.750.500.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HAL wins
0
Draws
0
IY wins

Head-to-head

Halkanoras vs Iraklis Yerolakkou · H/A from HAL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

HalkanorasHalkanoras

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ADoxa Vs HAL2-1
01/11/25HHAL Vs APEA1-0
25/10/25ANea Salamis Vs HAL1-0
18/10/25HHAL Vs Ethnikos Latsion4-2
04/10/25AKarmiotissa Vs HAL2-0
27/09/25HHAL Vs Spartakos Kitiou2-3
20/09/25APAEEK Vs HAL4-0
14/09/25HHAL Vs Omonia 29is Maiou2-1
26/04/25APeyia Vs HAL0-7
12/04/25HHAL Vs MEAP Nisou2-0

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25HIY Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
01/11/25AAhironas / Onisilos Vs IY1-2
25/10/25HIY Vs Digenis Morphou1-1
18/10/25HIY Vs Ayia Napa2-4
04/10/25ADoxa Vs IY1-0
28/09/25HIY Vs APEA1-2
20/09/25ANea Salamis Vs IY0-0
13/09/25HIY Vs Ethnikos Latsion0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Halkanoras
Halkanoras
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.24
HomeWWLWW1.89
AwayWLLLL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%61%16%
AVG goals3.413.563.26
Over 1.5 %84%78%89%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %43%50%37%
Scored1.622.001.26
Conceded1.781.562.00
BTTS68%72%63%
Clean Sheet11%11%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD0.75
HomeLLLDD0.40
AwayDLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%0%33%
AVG goals2.252.801.33
Over 1.5 %62%80%33%
Over 2.5 %38%40%33%
Over 3.5 %12%20%0%
Scored0.881.000.67
Conceded1.381.800.67
BTTS62%80%33%
Clean Sheet12%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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