The encounter between Halkanoras and Iraklis Yerolakkou is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 29 % and 41 % respectively, while a draw carries 30 %. The average goal expectation is 2.4, with the most likely total of two goals at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2 % chance, reflecting the tight nature of the match. Halkanoras, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, whereas Iraklis Yerolakkou, on the road against a weaker side, scores only 0.25 and concedes 1.25 on average. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7 %), Under 5.5 (96.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.4 %), Home under 2.5 goals (90.8 %), Under 4.5 (90.6 %) and Away +2 handicap (88.6 %). Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and the edge percentage is omitted where not provided.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Halkanoras win
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou win
41.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Halkanoras
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.23
2.07
1.20
1.53
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
1.86
1.18
2.14
1.14
1.57
1.21
vs Similar (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
1.33
1.27
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.91
1.38
1.15
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
28% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.7%
Under 2.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
Halkanoras goals ↓
Iraklis Yerolakkou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
11%
8.1%
3.6%
1.2%
1
8.4%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.2%
6.8%
4.5%
2.0%
0.7%
3
1.8%
2.4%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halkanoras goals (down), columns = Iraklis Yerolakkou goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Halkanoras is 0.28 points better than Iraklis Yerolakkou in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Halkanoras is 0.69 goals better than Iraklis Yerolakkou in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Halkanoras is 0.24 goals worse than Iraklis Yerolakkou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Halkanoras or Draw
58.5%
Avg Implied -
28%
30%
41%
covers Halkanoras + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras or Iraklis Yerolakkou
70.0%
Avg Implied -
28%
30%
41%
covers Halkanoras + Iraklis Yerolakkou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Iraklis Yerolakkou
71.5%
Avg Implied -
28%
30%
41%
covers Draw + Iraklis Yerolakkou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5
Over
65.3%
Under
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5
Over
28.6%
Under
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5
Over
73.5%
Under
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5
Over
38.3%
Under
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Halkanoras, so a minus line means Halkanoras give that many goals of a start and Iraklis Yerolakkou receive them. At -1, Halkanoras must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Halkanoras win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras -2
3.3%
Draw -2
8.0%
Iraklis Yerolakkou +2
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras -1
11.4%
Draw -1
17.1%
Iraklis Yerolakkou +1
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras +1
58.5%
Draw +1
21.8%
Iraklis Yerolakkou -1
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras +2
80.3%
Draw +2
12.6%
Iraklis Yerolakkou -2
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Halkanoras
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (28)
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.79
0.71
0.64
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.59
0.53
0.87
0.29
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.57
0.54
0.77
0.30
0.30
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.50
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.5%
Under 0.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.3%
Under 1.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.0%
Under 2.5
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.8%
Under
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Halkanoras
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.33
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (28)
1.14
0.46
1.43
0.36
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.45
0.80
0.40
0.21
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.35
0.85
0.38
0.30
0.30
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
59% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.4%
Under 0.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.0%
Under 1.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.5%
Under 2.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.5%
Under
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.2%
Under
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.2%
Under
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →