The model sees Spartakos Kitiou as the clear favourite, rating an away win at 62% against Halkanoras’ 18% home win chance and a 20% draw probability. The 3.7 expected total goals translate to an average of 3.7, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9.2% probability, reflecting Spartakos’ edge at home and Halkanoras’ recent unbeaten run. Halkanoras averages 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded at home against stronger opponents, while Spartakos scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 away against weaker sides. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Away +2 handicap (92.5%), Under 6.5 (91.6%), Away over 0.5 goals (91.3%), Over 1.5 (89.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.1%), and Under 5.5 (82.7%). The model’s selection of an away win aligns with Spartakos’ stronger away form and Halkanoras’ relative weakness at home.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Halkanoras win
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou win
57.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Halkanoras
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.23
2.07
1.20
1.53
1.27
vs Stronger (28)
1.86
1.18
2.14
1.14
1.57
1.21
vs Similar (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartakos Kitiou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.40
1.47
1.60
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.75
1.25
1.62
1.31
1.91
1.18
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.50
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.8%
Under 1.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.8%
Under 2.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.4%
Under 3.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.3%
No
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
Halkanoras goals ↓
Spartakos Kitiou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
5.6%
7.1%
5.3%
3.0%
1
2.9%
9.3%
9.4%
7.0%
3.9%
2
2.5%
5.6%
6.2%
4.6%
2.6%
3
1.1%
2.5%
2.7%
2.0%
1.1%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halkanoras goals (down), columns = Spartakos Kitiou goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Halkanoras is 0.21 points better than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.34).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Halkanoras is 0.17 goals better than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Halkanoras is 0.03 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Halkanoras or Draw
42.8%
Avg Implied -
21%
22%
57%
covers Halkanoras + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras or Spartakos Kitiou
78.3%
Avg Implied -
21%
22%
57%
covers Halkanoras + Spartakos Kitiou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Spartakos Kitiou
78.9%
Avg Implied -
21%
22%
57%
covers Draw + Spartakos Kitiou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5
Over
38.0%
Under
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5
Over
89.3%
Under
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5
Over
65.3%
Under
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 3.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Halkanoras, so a minus line means Halkanoras give that many goals of a start and Spartakos Kitiou receive them. At -1, Halkanoras must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Halkanoras win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras -2
3.0%
Draw -2
6.1%
Spartakos Kitiou +2
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras -1
9.1%
Draw -1
12.0%
Spartakos Kitiou +1
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras +1
42.8%
Draw +1
20.9%
Spartakos Kitiou -1
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Halkanoras)
Halkanoras +2
63.8%
Draw +2
17.3%
Spartakos Kitiou -2
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Halkanoras
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (28)
0.71
0.71
0.71
0.79
0.71
0.64
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartakos Kitiou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.54
0.77
0.69
1.18
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Halkanoras
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.33
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (28)
1.14
0.46
1.43
0.36
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartakos Kitiou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.87
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.71
0.85
0.62
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →