Ham-Kam are tipped to win as the model favours a home victory, with a 48 % chance of triumph, 28 % for a draw and 24 % for a Kristiansund win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.1 % probability. Ham-Kam’s home form shows they average 2.22 goals for and only one conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Kristiansund, playing away, struggle to find the net, scoring just 0.67 and conceding 1.67 on average. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.5 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5 % with a 6 % edge), Under 5.5 (93.4 % with a 3 % edge) and Home +2 handicap (93.1 % with a 5 % edge). Both sides come off defeats, but Ham-Kam’s stronger home record gives them the edge in this encounter.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Ham-Kam, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that surprised the model’s 49% home-win pick. The upset came after both sides entered the game coming off a 2-2 draw, with Ham-Kam’s recent form noted as “coming off a draw.” The model’s selection of a home win was incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.7%, Under 5.5 hit at 93.5%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.4%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no number was repeated.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ham-Kam win✗ Miss
49.4%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.87
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.73
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.91
Bet365
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
Kristiansund BK win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.74
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.19
Unibet
3.95
1xBet
3.87
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ham-Kam
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.53
2.07
1.29
1.56
1.75
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
2.42
1.67
2.00
0.33
2.83
vs Similar (17)
2.18
1.00
2.38
0.75
2.00
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kristiansund BK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.80
1.47
1.53
0.67
2.07
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
2.31
1.57
2.00
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (17)
1.00
1.41
1.38
1.12
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
@ 1.18-2.9%
Under 1.5
23.8%
@ 4.45+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.82
Superbet
4.60
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.61-7.7%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 2.25+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.5%
@ 2.50-8.8%
Under 3.5
71.5%
@ 1.49+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.59
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.55-5.9%
No
46.2%
@ 2.30+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
No
William Hil
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 7.00+6.5%
1-0
9.8%@ 8.66+4.7%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.74+3.7%
2-0
9.0%@ 9.83+4.4%
0-0
7.9%@ 13.04+4.5%
1-2
6.2%@ 11.35+2.3%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.47+2.4%
3-1
5.2%@ 12.47+1.6%
Ham-Kam goals ↓
Kristiansund BK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.0%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.8%
13%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.6%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.9%
5.2%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ham-Kam goals (down), columns = Kristiansund BK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Ham-Kam is 0.39 points better than Kristiansund BK in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Ham-Kam is 0.50 goals better than Kristiansund BK in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Ham-Kam is 0.17 goals worse than Kristiansund BK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Ham-Kam is 4.8 percentage points better than Kristiansund BK in terms of average possession (48% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ham-Kam
For 3.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kristiansund BK
For 4.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ham-Kam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.1
9.8
2.5
2.2
2.7
23.5
23.2
23.7
vs Stronger (18)
10.7
11.0
10.4
2.3
1.6
3.2
22.2
22.0
22.5
vs Similar (30)
10.3
11.2
9.5
2.7
2.7
2.7
24.2
24.2
24.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
57%
57%
30%
23%
36%
57%
62%
52%
% under line
43%
43%
43%
70%
77%
64%
43%
38%
48%
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kristiansund BK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
3.3
4.4
2.4
21.9
22.0
21.8
vs Stronger (22)
10.5
10.4
10.7
3.4
4.5
2.5
21.4
20.8
22.0
vs Similar (27)
10.0
9.8
10.2
3.3
4.3
2.5
22.4
23.1
21.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
59%
62%
44%
68%
25%
49%
50%
48%
% under line
40%
41%
38%
56%
32%
75%
51%
50%
52%
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valerenga
12.0
Aalesund
11.8
Viking
11.8
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.3
Rosenborg
11.2
Brann
11.0
Sandefjord
10.9
Bodo/Glimt
10.8
Lillestrom
10.5
Ham-Kam
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.2
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
10.0
Start
8.9
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Tromso
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Molde
4.2
Viking
4.2
Brann
4.2
Lillestrom
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
3.9
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.4
Tromso
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.2
Viking
24.7
Rosenborg
24.5
Valerenga
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Brann
23.9
Start
23.6
Molde
23.3
Ham-Kam
23.1
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
21.9
KFUM Oslo
21.7
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
21.1
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.0%
@ 1.55+4.3%
Under 9.5
36.0%
@ 2.30-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.48
Under
Marathonbet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Unibet
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.4%
Under 21.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ham-Kam or Draw✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
+6.6%
49%
27%
24%
covers Ham-Kam + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Ham-Kam or Kristiansund BK✗ Miss
75.2%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.2%
49%
27%
24%
covers Ham-Kam + Kristiansund BK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Kristiansund BK✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.88
Edge
-6.4%
49%
27%
24%
covers Draw + Kristiansund BK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
Betfair
1.91
SBO
1.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.1%
@ 1.13+1.9%
Under
15.9%
@ 5.23-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.45
BetVictor
5.25
Superbet
5.25
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.8%
@ 1.71+0.2%
Under
45.2%
@ 2.06-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
@ 3.23-0.8%
Under
72.1%
@ 1.31+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.36
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Ham-Kam over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 6.90-2.0%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.07+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.0%
@ 1.33-7.8%
Under
38.0%
@ 3.07+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.13
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.2%
@ 2.65-10.1%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.44+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.85
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.71
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.63
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 6.41-7.1%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.09+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Kristiansund BK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 15.92-4.3%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ham-Kam, so a minus line means Ham-Kam give that many goals of a start and Kristiansund BK receive them. At -1, Ham-Kam must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ham-Kam win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ham-Kam)Actual: Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam -2
15.6%
@ 6.32+1.4%
Draw -2
17.8%
@ 5.31+0.8%
Kristiansund BK +2
66.6%
@ 1.31-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Away
Superbet
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Ham-Kam)Actual: Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam -1
33.4%
@ 3.08+4.4%
Draw -1
23.3%
@ 3.76-0.4%
Kristiansund BK +1
43.3%
@ 1.89-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.15
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
Unibet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Ham-Kam)Actual: Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam +1
81.5%
@ 1.25+9.4%
Draw +1
11.8%
@ 5.48-4.6%
Kristiansund BK -1
6.7%
@ 7.82-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.20
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Ham-Kam)Actual: Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam +2
93.3%
@ 1.07+6.4%
Draw +2
4.9%
@ 11.00-3.5%
Kristiansund BK -2
1.8%
@ 20.00-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ham-Kam
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.29
0.36
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.92
1.00
0.67
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (17)
1.00
0.35
1.50
0.12
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kristiansund BK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.77
0.40
0.60
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
1.23
0.29
1.14
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.41
0.50
0.12
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.1%
@ 1.28-2.6%
Under 0.5
29.9%
@ 3.41+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.32-6.9%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.55+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.32
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 5.33-6.0%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.12+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.66-3.3%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.11+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 4.26-4.7%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.18+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 10.75-5.5%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.5%
@ 2.21-7.5%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.60+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 7.28-5.1%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.06+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 21.17-3.5%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ham-Kam
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.97
0.79
0.93
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.50
0.67
1.33
0.17
1.67
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.65
0.88
0.62
1.44
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kristiansund BK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kristiansund BK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
1.07
0.93
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
1.08
1.29
0.86
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.00
0.88
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ham-Kam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.17-0.6%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 4.67+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.4%
@ 1.84-2.0%
Under 1.5
51.6%
@ 1.88+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.63-4.0%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.25+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ham-Kam over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.5%
@ 1.47+1.3%
Under
35.5%
@ 2.52-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Ham-Kam over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
25.6%
@ 3.20-3.4%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.30+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Ham-Kam over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 7.90-5.1%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.05+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Kristiansund BK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.5%
@ 1.85-7.7%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.86+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Kristiansund BK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
10.0%
@ 5.29-7.4%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.12+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Kristiansund BK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 13.92-4.9%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.04
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.7%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.1%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.5%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.17
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.2%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.2%
1.24
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-0.2%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.2%
1.31
Superbet
1.41
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.8%
1.44
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
+10.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.30
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
72.1%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Unibet
1.32
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.5%
1.49
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
+8.8%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.28
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-2.6%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ham-Kam
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mame Alassane Niang45%
Danilo Al-Saed25%
Henrik Udahl22%
Blerton Isufi20%
Martin Gjone20%
Aksel Baran Potur18%
Markus Johnsgard12%
Loris Mettler12%
Anders Trondsen7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Ethan Amundsen-Day6%
Luc Mares0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Gard Simenstad0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Viðar Ari Jónsson0%
David Benjamin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Blerton Isufi40%
Anton Ekeroth33%
Gard Simenstad25%
Ian Hoffmann22%
David Benjamin17%
Anders Trondsen14%
Ilir Kukleci14%
Luc Mares11%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl11%
Viðar Ari Jónsson8%
William Osnes-Ringen8%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Martin Gjone7%
Markus Johnsgard6%
Ethan Amundsen-Day6%
Aksel Baran Potur6%
Fredrik Sjolstad6%
Marcus Sandberg6%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Loris Mettler0%
Mame Alassane Niang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick Metcalfe27%
Loris Mettler25%
Martin Gjone20%
Anton Ekeroth17%
Viðar Ari Jónsson17%
David Benjamin17%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl11%
Snorre Strand Nilsen7%
Markus Johnsgard6%
Aksel Baran Potur6%
Anders Trondsen0%
Luc Mares0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Gard Simenstad0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Henrik Udahl0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Ethan Amundsen-Day0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Mame Alassane Niang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrik Udahl28%
Markus Johnsgard12%
Aksel Baran Potur12%
Mame Alassane Niang9%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Martin Gjone7%
Anders Trondsen0%
Luc Mares0%
Fredrik Sjolstad0%
Marcus Sandberg0%
Snorre Strand Nilsen0%
Gard Simenstad0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Ian Hoffmann0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Anton Ekeroth0%
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl0%
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad0%
Loris Mettler0%
Ethan Amundsen-Day0%
William Osnes-Ringen0%
Blerton Isufi0%
Viðar Ari Jónsson0%
David Benjamin0%
Kristiansund BK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leander Alvheim41%
Sander Svendsen25%
Sander Hestetun Kilen12%
Promise Meliga12%
Mustapha Isah8%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen7%
Wilfred George Igor6%
Adrian Kurd Rønning6%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Michael Lansing0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Jesper Isaksen0%
Syver Skundberg Skeide0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anders Børset0%
Frederik Flex0%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon0%
Julius Mar Juliusson0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Haakon Haugen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Heine Gikling Bruseth33%
Niklas Odegard33%
Anders Børset33%
Wilfred George Igor24%
Julius Mar Juliusson24%
Mustapha Isah23%
Frederik Flex20%
Leander Alvheim18%
Michael Lansing17%
Adrian Kurd Rønning17%
Syver Skundberg Skeide15%
Jesper Isaksen14%
Sander Hestetun Kilen12%
Promise Meliga12%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon11%
Adrian Sæther8%
Haakon Haugen7%
Dan Peter Ulvestad6%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Sander Svendsen0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sander Svendsen25%
Alexander Munksgaard13%
Heine Gikling Bruseth13%
Sander Hestetun Kilen12%
Syver Skundberg Skeide8%
Mustapha Isah8%
Adrian Kurd Rønning6%
Michael Lansing0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Jesper Isaksen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anders Børset0%
Wilfred George Igor0%
Frederik Flex0%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon0%
Julius Mar Juliusson0%
Leander Alvheim0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Promise Meliga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leander Alvheim24%
Adrian Kurd Rønning22%
Mustapha Isah15%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Michael Lansing0%
Sander Svendsen0%
Dan Peter Ulvestad0%
Max Normann Williamsen0%
Jesper Isaksen0%
Tobias Hammer Svendsen0%
Syver Skundberg Skeide0%
Heine Gikling Bruseth0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anders Børset0%
Sander Hestetun Kilen0%
Wilfred George Igor0%
Frederik Flex0%
Hrannar Snær Magnússon0%
Julius Mar Juliusson0%
Adrian Sæther0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Haakon Haugen0%
Promise Meliga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Ham-Kam's squad is €2m less valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€10m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Ham-Kam's attack is €1m less valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€4m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Ham-Kam's midfield is €1m less valuable than Kristiansund BK's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Ham-Kam and Kristiansund BK have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
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