Hamburger SV face Bayern Munich on the Bundesliga stage, and the model points to an away win as the clear favourite. Bayern’s recent three-game winning streak and their average of 3.33 goals scored on the road, versus Hamburg’s 1.0 goals scored at home, underline the strength gap. Hamburg’s last five results (LDWWL) and a 0-2 loss to Dortmund add to the pressure. The model rates Bayern’s victory at 73%, with a 12% chance of a home win and a 16% chance of a draw. The expected total is 4.0 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-2, which carries an 8.6% probability. Hamburg’s home form shows 1.5 goals conceded per match against stronger opponents, while Bayern’s away form shows 1.08 goals conceded against weaker teams. The suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 7.5 (96.7%), Away +2 handicap (96.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (93.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (92.6%), Under 6.5 (92.1%), Over 1.5 (91.3%) and Draw or Away (89.6%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hamburger SV win
10.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München win
73.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hamburger SV
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.60
1.53
1.27
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.36
1.55
1.73
1.18
1.00
1.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.43
1.37
3.67
1.40
3.20
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.60
2.20
2.50
2.00
2.67
2.33
vs Weaker (25)
3.60
1.20
3.85
1.31
3.33
1.08
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.2%
Under 1.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.9%
Under 2.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
0-2
7.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
6.1%
1-1
6.1%
0-4
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
Hamburger SV goals ↓
Bayern München goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.2%
4.3%
7.2%
7.2%
5.3%
1
1.3%
6.1%
8.3%
8.2%
6.1%
2
1.1%
3.2%
4.7%
4.7%
3.5%
3
0.4%
1.2%
1.8%
1.8%
1.3%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamburger SV goals (down), columns = Bayern München goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
Hamburger SV is 1.50 points worse than Bayern München in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Hamburger SV is 2.41 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 3.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
Hamburger SV is 0.53 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Hamburger SV is 22.1 percentage points worse than Bayern München in terms of average possession (45% vs 67%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hamburger SV
For 3.2 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bayern München
For 6.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.8 · Total 17.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hamburger SV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.1
4.2
4.2
4.2
24.4
24.1
24.6
vs Stronger (10)
9.7
10.5
9.0
3.9
4.8
3.3
23.6
23.2
23.8
vs Similar (35)
9.1
9.2
9.1
4.1
3.9
4.3
24.9
25.5
24.4
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
7.7
10.0
5.0
4.7
5.5
23.0
19.7
28.0
% over line
41%
40%
43%
62%
62%
62%
71%
70%
71%
% under line
59%
60%
57%
38%
38%
38%
29%
30%
29%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
2.5
2.2
2.9
18.0
16.2
19.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.1
9.0
11.0
4.2
4.5
4.0
22.4
20.3
24.0
vs Weaker (41)
9.6
10.5
8.7
2.1
1.8
2.6
16.9
15.4
18.6
% over line
46%
56%
35%
32%
27%
38%
34%
17%
53%
% under line
54%
44%
65%
68%
73%
62%
66%
83%
47%
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hamburger SV or Draw
26.1%
Avg Implied -
11%
15%
74%
covers Hamburger SV + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV or Bayern München
83.9%
Avg Implied -
11%
15%
74%
covers Hamburger SV + Bayern München
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bayern München
90.0%
Avg Implied -
11%
15%
74%
covers Draw + Bayern München
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5
Over
61.5%
Under
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5
Over
24.8%
Under
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5
Over
93.4%
Under
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5
Over
75.6%
Under
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5
Over
51.3%
Under
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 3.5
Over
29.2%
Under
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hamburger SV, so a minus line means Hamburger SV give that many goals of a start and Bayern München receive them. At -1, Hamburger SV must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hamburger SV win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hamburger SV)
Hamburger SV -2
0.9%
Draw -2
2.5%
Bayern München +2
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hamburger SV)
Hamburger SV -1
3.4%
Draw -1
6.6%
Bayern München +1
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hamburger SV)
Hamburger SV +1
26.1%
Draw +1
20.0%
Bayern München -1
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hamburger SV)
Hamburger SV +2
46.1%
Draw +2
20.6%
Bayern München -2
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hamburger SV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.77
0.82
0.82
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.73
1.60
0.73
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.40
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.28
0.60
1.69
0.54
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hamburger SV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.80
0.53
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.77
0.91
0.36
0.73
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.63
2.07
0.67
2.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.60
0.80
1.50
0.00
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (25)
2.32
0.60
2.15
0.77
2.50
0.42
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
75.6%
-
-
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Home under 1.5 goals
75.2%
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Away win
73.9%
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Away under 3.5 goals
70.8%
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No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hamburger SV · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Vieira23%
Robert Glatzel20%
Luka Vušković20%
Albert Sambi Lokonga19%
Jean-Luc Dompé14%
Albert Grønbæk14%
Rayan Philippe13%
Bakery Jatta12%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer11%
Philip Otele11%
Yussuf Poulsen6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolás Capaldo4%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Miro Muheim0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Nicolai Remberg0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolás Capaldo38%
Nicolai Remberg38%
Philip Otele33%
Yussuf Poulsen25%
Daniel Elfadli23%
Miro Muheim23%
Aboubaka Soumahoro20%
Luka Vušković20%
Jonas Meffert17%
Jordan Torunarigha15%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit15%
Immanuel Pherai14%
Albert Sambi Lokonga12%
William Mikelbrencis12%
Fábio Vieira10%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes9%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili8%
Rayan Philippe7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer6%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Damion Downs0%
Otto Stange0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Grønbæk29%
Fábio Vieira16%
Miro Muheim16%
William Mikelbrencis15%
Nicolás Capaldo12%
Philip Otele11%
Robert Glatzel10%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit8%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolai Remberg6%
Warmed Omari5%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili4%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Rayan Philippe0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Luka Vušković0%
Otto Stange0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Vieira23%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer17%
Rayan Philippe10%
Miro Muheim10%
Jean-Luc Dompé10%
Nicolás Capaldo8%
Luka Vušković7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Robert Glatzel5%
Albert Sambi Lokonga4%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Philip Otele0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Fabio Baldé0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
Bayern München · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
Hamburger SV's squad is €959m less valuable than Bayern München's (€117m vs €1076m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
Hamburger SV's attack is €508m less valuable than Bayern München's (€46m vs €554m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
Hamburger SV's midfield is €153m less valuable than Bayern München's (€34m vs €187m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Hamburger SV's defence is €298m less valuable than Bayern München's (€37m vs €336m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
SV Elversberg
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart