This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.18
1.64
0.93
1.86
1.43
1.43
vs Stronger (20)
1.10
1.70
1.00
2.00
1.20
1.40
vs Similar (8)
1.38
1.50
0.75
1.50
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.59-9.2%
Under 2.5
49.9%
@ 2.32+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
Hamburger SV goals ↓
Wehen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
5.3%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.8%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.1%
5.7%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamburger SV goals (down), columns = Wehen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arminia Bielefeld
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.71
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Hamburger SV
1.59
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
Hannover 96
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
VfL Bochum
1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.26
Regensburg
1.26
VfL Osnabrück
1.18
FC St. Pauli
1.15
Karlsruher SC
1.09
1. FC Nürnberg
1.09
Wehen
1.00
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
Hamburger SV is 0.59 points better than Wehen in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Arminia Bielefeld
1.91
Hamburger SV
1.82
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
Hannover 96
1.59
Holstein Kiel
1.56
VfL Bochum
1.56
Regensburg
1.47
SV Darmstadt 98
1.41
VfL Osnabrück
1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.35
Karlsruher SC
1.32
Wehen
1.32
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.26
FC St. Pauli
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
Hamburger SV is 0.50 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arminia Bielefeld
0.88
1. FC Heidenheim
1.06
VfB Stuttgart
1.21
SV Darmstadt 98
1.26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Hamburger SV
1.35
VfL Osnabrück
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.41
Hannover 96
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.65
Holstein Kiel
1.65
Regensburg
1.65
Dynamo Dresden
1.71
1. FC Nürnberg
1.71
Wehen
1.91
Hamburger SV is 0.56 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.91).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hamburger SV
For 6.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 13.4 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
For 5.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hamburger SV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.5
10.1
3.7
3.4
4.0
24.2
22.5
25.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.1
8.7
11.1
3.7
3.7
3.8
24.3
20.2
27.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.8
9.8
9.7
3.7
3.3
4.1
24.2
23.4
24.9
% over line
50%
35%
63%
52%
48%
56%
64%
52%
74%
% under line
50%
65%
37%
48%
52%
44%
36%
48%
26%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.0
10.2
9.8
4.6
4.5
4.6
24.2
24.7
23.6
vs Stronger (20)
10.7
10.9
10.5
4.0
4.0
4.1
22.7
22.8
22.6
vs Similar (8)
8.2
8.5
8.0
5.9
5.8
6.0
27.9
29.5
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
57%
43%
71%
71%
71%
71%
71%
71%
% under line
50%
43%
57%
29%
29%
29%
29%
29%
29%
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Regensburg
11.6
Holstein Kiel
11.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11.1
SV Sandhausen
10.8
Karlsruher SC
10.7
1. FC Heidenheim
10.6
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
VfL Bochum
10.5
VfB Stuttgart
10.5
1. FC Nürnberg
10.4
Hannover 96
10.1
FC St. Pauli
10.1
Wehen
10.0
Hamburger SV
9.9
Erzgebirge Aue
9.7
VfL Osnabrück
9.7
Arminia Bielefeld
9.7
Dynamo Dresden
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Erzgebirge Aue
5.4
VfL Osnabrück
5.2
SV Sandhausen
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
Wehen
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.5
Regensburg
4.4
VfB Stuttgart
4.3
VfL Bochum
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.2
Hannover 96
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Arminia Bielefeld
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.8
Hamburger SV
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
28.3
Dynamo Dresden
27.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
27.8
VfL Osnabrück
27.3
VfL Bochum
27.0
SV Sandhausen
27.0
Erzgebirge Aue
26.7
SV Darmstadt 98
25.6
Karlsruher SC
25.6
Hannover 96
25.5
FC St. Pauli
24.9
Holstein Kiel
24.5
Hamburger SV
24.2
Wehen
24.2
1. FC Heidenheim
23.9
VfB Stuttgart
23.8
Arminia Bielefeld
23.7
1. FC Nürnberg
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.1%
Under 3.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.3%
Under 21.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hamburger SV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.71
0.29
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.62
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.50
0.41
0.50
0.10
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.71
0.43
0.93
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (20)
0.55
0.65
0.40
1.00
0.70
0.30
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.88
0.50
0.75
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hamburger SV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.77
1.43
0.36
1.00
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
1.25
1.25
0.75
0.75
1.75
vs Weaker (22)
1.27
0.59
1.50
0.20
1.08
0.92
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.50
0.93
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (20)
0.55
1.05
0.60
1.00
0.50
1.10
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamburger SV) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamburger SV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamburger SV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hamburger SV · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fábio Vieira23%
Robert Glatzel20%
Luka Vušković20%
Albert Sambi Lokonga19%
Jean-Luc Dompé14%
Albert Grønbæk14%
Rayan Philippe13%
Bakery Jatta12%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer11%
Philip Otele11%
Yussuf Poulsen6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolás Capaldo4%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Miro Muheim0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Nicolai Remberg0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolás Capaldo38%
Nicolai Remberg38%
Philip Otele33%
Yussuf Poulsen25%
Daniel Elfadli23%
Miro Muheim23%
Aboubaka Soumahoro20%
Luka Vušković20%
Jonas Meffert17%
Jordan Torunarigha15%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit15%
Immanuel Pherai14%
Albert Sambi Lokonga12%
William Mikelbrencis12%
Fábio Vieira10%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes9%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili8%
Rayan Philippe7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer6%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Damion Downs0%
Otto Stange0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Grønbæk29%
Fábio Vieira16%
Miro Muheim16%
William Mikelbrencis15%
Nicolás Capaldo12%
Philip Otele11%
Robert Glatzel10%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit8%
Bakery Jatta6%
Fabio Baldé6%
Nicolai Remberg6%
Warmed Omari5%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili4%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Jean-Luc Dompé0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Rayan Philippe0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Luka Vušković0%
Otto Stange0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Vieira23%
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer17%
Rayan Philippe10%
Miro Muheim10%
Jean-Luc Dompé10%
Nicolás Capaldo8%
Luka Vušković7%
Bakery Jatta6%
Robert Glatzel5%
Albert Sambi Lokonga4%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Yussuf Poulsen0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Jonas Meffert0%
Daniel Heuer Fernandes0%
Jordan Torunarigha0%
Guilherme Ramos0%
Philip Otele0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Warmed Omari0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Giorgi Gocholeishvili0%
William Mikelbrencis0%
Daniel Elfadli0%
Damion Downs0%
Fabio Baldé0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Otto Stange0%
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hamburger SV
Arminia Bielefeld
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim
SV Darmstadt 98
Hannover 96
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Sandhausen
Holstein Kiel
VfL Osnabrück
FC St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden