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Hamilton vs Queen of Sth Result & Analysis

Date: 26/03/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
H
Hamilton
Vs
35%
27%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Hamilton win✓ Hit
35.0%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.77
Edge
-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.54
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth win✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.31
Edge
+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

H
Hamilton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L11D00D22D10W11D02L22D40WH·PAR08/01A·DUN15/01H·AYR29/01A·RAI05/02A·ARB09/02H·MOR19/02H·INV25/02A·KIL05/03H·DUN12/03A·PAR19/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.001.671.331.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.111.560.921.771.291.36
vs Weaker (3)1.671.001.501.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L33D12L00D10W30W01L01L12LA·INV15/01H·DUN29/01A·RAI01/02A·MOR12/02H·ARB19/02A·AYR26/02H·MOR05/03A·PAR08/03H·RAI12/03A·KIL19/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.470.671.071.331.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.961.410.641.001.311.85
vs Weaker (3)1.332.001.002.001.502.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.95+9.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 1.80-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-0 ✓
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
Hamilton goals ↓
Queen of Sth goals →
01234
06.1%6.6%5.9%3.0%1.2%
16.2%12%8.6%4.4%1.7%
25.3%8.2%6.3%3.2%1.2%
32.6%4.0%3.1%1.6%0.6%
40.9%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hamilton goals (down), columns = Queen of Sth goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Hamilton is 0.25 points better than Queen of Sth in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.92).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Hamilton is 0.06 goals better than Queen of Sth in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Hamilton is 0.03 goals better than Queen of Sth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

H
Hamilton

For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

190324214442565136827557565871119101212A·PARH·DUNA·KILH·INVH·MORA·ARBA·RAIH·AYRA·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5023223123122222312215433444533A·PARH·DUNA·KILH·INVH·MORA·ARBA·RAIH·AYRA·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

3101078812121218811191213118121315161317162430193124202829A·PARH·DUNA·KILH·INVH·MORA·ARBA·RAIH·AYRA·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

For 3.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

17016342364495535289825775101310810177A·KILH·RAIA·PARH·MORA·AYRH·ARBA·MORA·RAIH·DUNA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50112113321111222034512104A·KILH·RAIA·PARH·MORA·AYRH·ARBA·MORA·RAIH·DUNA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.0 · Total 18.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

26099107105710121191071394161081118171517231920132619A·KILH·RAIA·PARH·MORA·AYRH·ARBA·MORA·RAIH·DUNA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

H
Hamilton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.410.33.53.73.224.023.824.3
vs Stronger (8)9.48.510.22.82.23.224.525.223.8
vs Similar (39)10.510.910.13.53.93.224.023.324.8
vs Weaker (3)11.39.515.04.35.03.023.025.518.0
% over line58%60%56%46%52%40%68%56%80%
% under line42%40%44%54%48%60%32%44%20%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.010.43.02.93.221.021.320.8
vs Stronger (2)10.512.09.03.04.02.030.528.033.0
vs Similar (43)10.610.311.03.02.93.220.620.620.5
vs Weaker (5)6.66.56.73.02.03.721.425.518.7
% over line58%60%56%36%32%40%46%52%40%
% under line42%40%44%64%68%60%54%48%60%
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
10.6
Raith Rvs
10.4
Hamilton
10.4
Morton
10.3
Queen of Sth
10.2
Arbroath
10.0
Partick
10.0
Ayr
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.6
Inverness CT
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Inverness CT
3.6
Hamilton
3.5
Arbroath
3.5
Partick
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Ayr
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.0
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.1
Hamilton
24.0
Inverness CT
23.5
Arbroath
23.1
Raith Rvs
21.9
Dunfermline
21.2
Partick
21.2
Ayr
21.1
Queen of Sth
21.0
Morton
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.2%
Under 21.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

H
Hamilton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W00D21W00D11D01L11D20WH·PAR08/01A·DUN15/01H·AYR29/01A·RAI05/02A·ARB09/02H·MOR19/02H·INV25/02A·KIL05/03H·DUN12/03A·PAR19/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.470.670.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.590.310.690.570.50
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L12L00D00D10W20W00D01L01LA·INV15/01H·DUN29/01A·RAI01/02A·MOR12/02H·ARB19/02A·AYR26/02H·MOR05/03A·PAR08/03H·RAI12/03A·KIL19/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.270.470.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.370.520.290.430.460.62
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

H
Hamilton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D01L00D01L10W00D01L11D20WH·PAR08/01A·DUN15/01H·AYR29/01A·RAI05/02A·ARB09/02H·MOR19/02H·INV25/02A·KIL05/03H·DUN12/03A·PAR19/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.531.000.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.670.960.621.080.710.86
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D21W12L00D00D10W01L00D11DA·INV15/01H·DUN29/01A·RAI01/02A·MOR12/02H·ARB19/02A·AYR26/02H·MOR05/03A·PAR08/03H·RAI12/03A·KIL19/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.400.600.871.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.890.360.570.851.23
vs Weaker (3)1.001.331.001.001.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hamilton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
HAM wins
0
Draws
0
QOS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hamilton vs Queen of Sth · H/A from HAM
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/22AQueen of Sth Vs HAM0-3
26/10/21HHAM Vs Queen of Sth1-0
28/08/21AQueen of Sth Vs HAM1-2

H
Hamilton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/22APartick Vs HAM0-4
12/03/22HHAM Vs Dunfermline2-2
05/03/22AKilmarnock Vs HAM2-0
25/02/22HHAM Vs Inverness CT1-1
19/02/22HHAM Vs Morton1-0
09/02/22AArbroath Vs HAM2-2
05/02/22ARaith Rvs Vs HAM0-0
29/01/22HHAM Vs Ayr1-1
15/01/22ADunfermline Vs HAM1-0
08/01/22HHAM Vs Partick2-2

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/22AKilmarnock Vs QOS2-1
12/03/22HQOS Vs Raith Rvs0-1
08/03/22APartick Vs QOS1-0
05/03/22HQOS Vs Morton3-0
26/02/22AAyr Vs QOS0-1
19/02/22HQOS Vs Arbroath0-0
12/02/22AMorton Vs QOS2-1
01/02/22ARaith Rvs Vs QOS3-3
29/01/22HQOS Vs Dunfermline0-2
15/01/22AInverness CT Vs QOS2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

H
Hamilton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.02
HomeDDWDD0.96
AwayLDDLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%20%24%
AVG goals2.422.362.48
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %42%36%48%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored1.020.881.16
Conceded1.401.481.32
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners10.3810.4410.32
Cards3.463.723.20
QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.08
HomeLLDWL1.00
AwayDLWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals2.682.203.16
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %28%16%40%
Scored1.180.921.44
Conceded1.501.281.72
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners10.2210.0410.40
Cards3.042.883.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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