Hammarby FF is the clear favourite to win against Gais, with a predicted 70% chance of success, largely due to Gais' struggles when playing away against teams with similar strength. Gais, on the other hand, has a 10% chance of winning and a 20% chance of drawing.
The model expects a total of 3 goals to be scored, with a most likely score of 2-0 in favour of Hammarby FF, occurring with a probability of 12.7%.
Hammarby FF has been scoring an average of 2 goals per match at home, while conceding 0.86 goals. Conversely, Gais has been scoring 0.89 goals per match away from home and conceding 1.78 goals.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, occurring with a probability of 80.4%, Over 21.5 fouls, occurring with a probability of 72.5%, and Home win, occurring with a probability of 70.3%.
The home win percentage is 70%, the draw percentage is 20%, and the away win percentage is 10%.
Results analysis
The win extends Hammarby FF’s two-game winning run, cementing the model’s prediction of a home victory. The final score was 2-0, matching the actual result and confirming the model’s favourite call. The model had assigned a 70 % probability to a home win, and its selection proved correct. Every suggested pick also materialised: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.3 %, Under 7.5 at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2 %, Home +2 handicap at 97.0 %, Under 6.5 at 96.8 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.1 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.7 %. All selections were settled as hits, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hammarby FF win✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 67.4% · @ 1.38
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.42
Dafabet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Draw✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.82
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.27
Dafabet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Gais win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied 13.3% · @ 6.99
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.60
Unibet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.27
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hammarby FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
0.97
2.81
0.56
1.57
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.22
2.00
0.78
1.11
1.67
vs Weaker (12)
3.25
0.58
3.86
0.29
2.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.13
1.94
0.69
1.14
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.25
1.83
0.75
0.92
1.75
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
0.67
2.25
0.50
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.14-1.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 5.14+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.54
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.48-5.7%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.49+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
@ 2.25-7.2%
Under 3.5
65.5%
@ 1.61+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.6%
@ 1.69-7.3%
No
52.4%
@ 2.05+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.72
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
1.70
888Sport
1.70
William Hil
1.70
No
Betfair
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
12.7%@ 7.42+6.7%
1-0
10.6%@ 8.24+5.2%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.61+3.6%
3-0
9.4%@ 9.51+4.7%
1-1
9.4%@ 8.85+4.3%
3-1
7.0%@ 9.90+2.5%
0-0
6.0%@ 15.26+3.1%
4-0
5.2%@ 15.35+2.3%
Hammarby FF goals ↓
Gais goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
3.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
11%
9.4%
3.2%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
9.5%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
9.4%
7.0%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
4
5.2%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hammarby FF goals (down), columns = Gais goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Hammarby FF is 0.53 points better than Gais in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Hammarby FF is 1.00 goals better than Gais in terms of goals scored per game (2.32 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Hammarby FF and Gais are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Hammarby FF is 10.5 percentage points better than Gais in terms of average possession (61% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hammarby FF
For 7.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gais
For 6.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hammarby FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
10.0
2.7
2.9
2.5
24.2
24.0
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
9.8
10.3
9.3
3.0
3.4
2.6
24.5
25.2
24.0
vs Weaker (21)
10.2
9.4
11.0
2.3
2.3
2.4
23.9
22.8
25.1
% over line
50%
44%
55%
32%
32%
32%
74%
67%
80%
% under line
50%
56%
45%
68%
68%
68%
26%
33%
20%
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.6
3.1
3.2
3.0
24.5
23.5
25.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.4
11.3
9.6
3.4
3.2
3.7
24.8
23.2
26.4
vs Weaker (12)
9.9
10.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
0.8
23.1
24.6
21.2
% over line
55%
64%
45%
42%
44%
40%
73%
68%
77%
% under line
45%
36%
55%
58%
56%
60%
27%
32%
23%
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.3
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.8
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.6
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Vasteras SK FK
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
Mjallby AIF
10.1
Halmstad
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
Malmo FF
9.9
IF Elfsborg
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.8
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Degerfors IF
25.2
Gais
24.9
Vasteras SK FK
24.8
Hammarby FF
24.8
BK Hacken
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.7
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.5%
@ 1.59-4.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
@ 2.19+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.64
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Marathonbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.3%
Under 21.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hammarby FF or Draw✓ Hit
89.9%
Avg Implied 86.1% · @ 1.09
Edge
+3.8%
70%
20%
10%
covers Hammarby FF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Hammarby FF or Gais✓ Hit
80.4%
Avg Implied 81.4% · @ 1.15
Edge
-1.0%
70%
20%
10%
covers Hammarby FF + Gais
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Draw or Gais✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.88
Edge
-2.8%
70%
20%
10%
covers Draw + Gais
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.98
Betano
2.92
888Sport
2.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.2%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Under
10.8%
@ 7.77-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Under
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
888Sport
8.50
Superbet
7.70
1xBet
7.50
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.38-2.2%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.84+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
3.06
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.3%
@ 2.22-3.6%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.61+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.22
888Sport
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Hammarby FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 4.16-3.8%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.20+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.45
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
888Sport
4.20
Under
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Gais over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.4%
@ 1.55-7.4%
Under
47.6%
@ 2.31+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.45
BetVictor
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Gais over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 3.73-7.9%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.24+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.87
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.27
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Gais over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 10.36-5.1%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Gais over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 25.83-3.1%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
31.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hammarby FF, so a minus line means Hammarby FF give that many goals of a start and Gais receive them. At -1, Hammarby FF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hammarby FF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hammarby FF)Actual: Draw
Hammarby FF -2
25.9%
@ 3.42-0.3%
Draw -2
21.4%
@ 4.14-0.3%
Gais +2
52.8%
@ 1.72+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Away
Unibet
1.78
Superbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Handicap -1 (Hammarby FF)Actual: Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF -1
47.2%
@ 1.99+2.2%
Draw -1
23.1%
@ 3.72-0.9%
Gais +1
29.7%
@ 2.88-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +1 (Hammarby FF)Actual: Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF +1
89.9%
@ 1.10+9.2%
Draw +1
7.1%
@ 7.27-5.1%
Gais -1
3.0%
@ 12.40-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
17.00
Unibet
13.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Hammarby FF)Actual: Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF +2
97.0%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Draw +2
2.4%
@ 21.00-2.1%
Gais -2
0.6%
@ 41.00-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hammarby FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
1.06
0.38
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.50
0.89
0.44
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (12)
1.00
0.25
1.29
0.29
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
1.06
0.12
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.17
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.7%
@ 1.25-0.8%
Under 0.5
26.3%
@ 3.63+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
William Hil
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.6%
@ 2.19-4.0%
Under 1.5
61.4%
@ 1.62+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 4.82-4.1%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.15+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
Betano
4.75
Under
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.4%
@ 1.45-5.7%
Under
41.6%
@ 2.60+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Unibet
2.70
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.8%
@ 3.16-7.5%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.31+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 7.83-4.3%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.05+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Superbet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Gais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.6%
@ 2.73+2.6%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.41-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
Betano
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Gais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 9.79-4.2%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
Superbet
9.90
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Gais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 45.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hammarby FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.57
1.75
0.19
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.72
1.11
0.33
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (12)
2.25
0.33
2.57
0.00
1.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Gais) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gais
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.88
0.56
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.75
0.83
0.58
0.42
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.5%
@ 1.15+0.1%
Under 0.5
18.5%
@ 5.01-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.9%
@ 1.73-5.9%
Under 1.5
52.1%
@ 2.01+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.0%
@ 3.26-5.6%
Under 2.5
77.0%
@ 1.30+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
888Sport
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
71.6%
@ 1.31+0.6%
Under
28.4%
@ 3.20-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.39-9.9%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.51+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.49
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 5.37-7.7%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.12+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Gais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
34.6%
@ 2.19-7.6%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.60+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.17
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.56
Gais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 7.28-3.3%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.06+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
7.20
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Gais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 19.75-3.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.5%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
89.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.10
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
89.9%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
-
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.15
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
83.0%
1.24
Betano
1.27
888Sport
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.1%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
81.5%
1.20
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
1.14
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.2%
1.31
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+7.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.7%
1.25
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
71.6%
1.31
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.2%
1.51
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.49
-
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
1.47
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home win
70.3%
1.38
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.42
Dafabet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
+2.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hammarby FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulos Abraham53%
Victor Lind37%
Waylon Renecke25%
Montader Madjed21%
Frank Junior Adjei19%
Nahir Besara18%
Nikola Vasic14%
Noah Persson11%
Tesfaldet Tekie8%
Victor Eriksson7%
Ibrahima Fofana7%
Frederik Winther6%
Warner Hahn0%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas0%
Markus Karlsson0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Hampus Skoglund0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Eriksson27%
Frank Junior Adjei19%
Hampus Skoglund17%
Moise Kaboré12%
Noah Persson11%
Nahir Besara6%
Frederik Winther6%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas6%
Warner Hahn5%
Markus Karlsson5%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Lind0%
Ibrahima Fofana0%
Paulos Abraham0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Montader Madjed0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Lind37%
Amin Boudri20%
Nahir Besara18%
Paulos Abraham16%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas11%
Noah Persson11%
Markus Karlsson11%
Ibrahima Fofana7%
Frank Junior Adjei6%
Hampus Skoglund6%
Frederik Winther0%
Warner Hahn0%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Eriksson0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Montader Madjed0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nahir Besara53%
Paulos Abraham42%
Victor Lind37%
Montader Madjed37%
Frank Junior Adjei25%
Nikola Vasic14%
Frederik Winther11%
Warner Hahn0%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas0%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Eriksson0%
Ibrahima Fofana0%
Noah Persson0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Markus Karlsson0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Hampus Skoglund0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Gais
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Salter28%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson22%
Henry Sletsjoe17%
Max Andersson17%
Rasmus Niklasson17%
William Milovanovic12%
Shalom Ekong12%
Anes Cardaklija8%
Joackim Fagerjord7%
Oscar Pettersson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
August Wängberg0%
Jonas Lindberg0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Robin Frej0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Matteo de Brienne0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
William Milovanovic44%
Henry Sletsjoe33%
Joackim Fagerjord33%
Robin Wendin Thomasson30%
Samuel Salter17%
Jonas Lindberg14%
Filip Beckman14%
Mohamed Bawa12%
Robin Frej12%
Matteo de Brienne12%
Oskar Ågren12%
Anes Cardaklija8%
Max Andersson6%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
August Wängberg0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Shalom Ekong0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Rasmus Niklasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
William Milovanovic19%
Dennis Collander17%
Rasmus Niklasson17%
Jonas Lindberg14%
Matteo de Brienne12%
August Wängberg11%
Samuel Salter11%
Joackim Fagerjord7%
Robin Frej6%
Max Andersson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Anes Cardaklija0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Shalom Ekong0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Vasic50%
Samuel Salter44%
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson28%
Shalom Ekong25%
William Milovanovic12%
Henry Sletsjoe8%
Oscar Pettersson6%
August Wängberg6%
Max Andersson6%
Rasmus Niklasson6%
Mergim Krasniqi0%
Jonas Lindberg0%
Dennis Collander0%
Lucas Hedlund0%
Robin Frej0%
Joackim Fagerjord0%
Matteo de Brienne0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Anes Cardaklija0%
Mohamed Bawa0%
Andreas Hermansen0%
Filip Beckman0%
Robin Wendin Thomasson0%
Blessing Asuman Dankwa0%
Simon Girke Jørgensen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Hammarby FF's squad is €21m more valuable than Gais's (€35m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Hammarby FF's attack is €9m more valuable than Gais's (€13m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Hammarby FF's midfield is €8m more valuable than Gais's (€11m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Hammarby FF's defence is €5m more valuable than Gais's (€10m vs €5m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad