This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.83
1.17
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
0.77
0.83
1.17
0.71
0.43
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.1%
Under 2.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.3%
Under 3.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
Hannover 96 goals ↓
Ingolstadt goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.7%
5.6%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.9%
8.0%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.2%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hannover 96 goals (down), columns = Ingolstadt goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.59
Borussia Dortmund
2.29
Bayer Leverkusen
1.76
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FC Schalke 04
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FSV Mainz 05
1.47
VfL Wolfsburg
1.32
1. FC Köln
1.26
Hamburger SV
1.21
Ingolstadt
1.18
SV Darmstadt 98
1.12
Werder Bremen
1.12
FC Augsburg
1.12
1899 Hoffenheim
1.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.06
VfB Stuttgart
0.97
Hannover 96
0.74
Hannover 96 is 0.44 points worse than Ingolstadt in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Borussia Dortmund
2.41
Bayern München
2.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.97
Bayer Leverkusen
1.65
FC Schalke 04
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Werder Bremen
1.47
VfL Wolfsburg
1.38
FSV Mainz 05
1.35
Hertha BSC
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
1899 Hoffenheim
1.15
SV Darmstadt 98
1.12
1. FC Köln
1.12
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.00
Ingolstadt
0.97
Hannover 96
0.91
Hannover 96 is 0.06 goals worse than Ingolstadt in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayer Leverkusen
1.18
Hertha BSC
1.24
FSV Mainz 05
1.24
1. FC Köln
1.24
Ingolstadt
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.35
VfL Wolfsburg
1.44
FC Schalke 04
1.44
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.47
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.53
FC Augsburg
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.56
1899 Hoffenheim
1.59
Hannover 96
1.82
Werder Bremen
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
2.21
Hannover 96 is 0.59 goals worse than Ingolstadt in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hannover 96
For 3.3 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ingolstadt
For 4.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 16.9 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hannover 96
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
10.5
8.2
12.4
3.5
4.2
3.0
28.7
30.3
27.3
vs Stronger (6)
8.2
8.0
8.5
3.2
3.8
2.0
28.8
31.5
23.5
vs Similar (7)
12.4
8.5
14.0
3.9
5.0
3.4
28.6
28.0
28.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
50%
71%
62%
83%
43%
85%
100%
71%
% under line
38%
50%
29%
38%
17%
57%
15%
0%
29%
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
8.9
8.7
9.1
5.1
4.3
5.7
32.5
30.0
34.6
vs Stronger (13)
8.9
8.7
9.1
5.1
4.3
5.7
32.5
30.0
34.6
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
50%
43%
77%
67%
86%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
54%
50%
57%
23%
33%
14%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bayer Leverkusen
11.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.6
Hannover 96
10.5
FC Augsburg
10.0
FSV Mainz 05
9.8
1. FC Köln
9.7
Werder Bremen
9.5
FC Schalke 04
9.4
SV Darmstadt 98
9.3
1899 Hoffenheim
9.2
Hertha BSC
8.9
Ingolstadt
8.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.6
Hamburger SV
8.6
Bayern München
7.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
7.9
VfL Wolfsburg
7.9
Borussia Dortmund
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ingolstadt
5.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.8
FC Augsburg
4.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.3
FC Schalke 04
4.3
Hamburger SV
4.2
Werder Bremen
4.0
SV Darmstadt 98
3.9
Bayer Leverkusen
3.7
1899 Hoffenheim
3.7
1. FC Köln
3.6
Hannover 96
3.5
Hertha BSC
3.5
FSV Mainz 05
3.5
VfL Wolfsburg
3.5
Borussia Dortmund
3.2
Bayern München
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Darmstadt 98
32.6
Ingolstadt
32.5
Hamburger SV
31.8
Bayer Leverkusen
31.4
Werder Bremen
31.2
FSV Mainz 05
30.8
VfB Stuttgart
30.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
30.3
FC Augsburg
30.2
Hertha BSC
30.1
FC Schalke 04
29.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
29.3
Hannover 96
28.7
1899 Hoffenheim
28.4
VfL Wolfsburg
28.0
Borussia Dortmund
27.8
1. FC Köln
25.9
Bayern München
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.9%
Under 9.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.1%
Under 21.5
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hannover 96
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
1.08
0.33
1.00
0.14
1.14
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.14
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.15
0.23
0.00
0.33
0.29
0.14
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
0.23
0.00
0.33
0.29
0.14
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hannover 96
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.67
1.17
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
0.50
1.25
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ingolstadt) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ingolstadt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.54
0.83
0.83
0.43
0.29
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.54
0.83
0.83
0.43
0.29
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
69% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ingolstadt over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hannover 96 · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maurice Neubauer33%
Lars Timo Gindorf33%
Benedikt Pichler0%
Mustapha Bundu0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Ime Okon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maurice Neubauer33%
Boris Tomiak33%
Benedikt Pichler0%
Mustapha Bundu0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Lars Timo Gindorf0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Ime Okon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benedikt Pichler0%
Mustapha Bundu0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Maurice Neubauer0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Lars Timo Gindorf0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Ime Okon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mustapha Bundu67%
Kolja Oudenne67%
Lars Timo Gindorf33%
Benedikt Pichler0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Maurice Neubauer0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Ime Okon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
H9 (26)
€33m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
ING (26)
€7m
Hannover 96's squad is €26m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€33m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
HS (11)
€46m
FS0 (8)
€17m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
ING (10)
€3m
Hannover 96's attack is €7m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€10m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
H9 (8)
€11m
SD9 (4)
€6m
HB (6)
€3m
ING (4)
€1m
Hannover 96's midfield is €10m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€11m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
HB (10)
€13m
H9 (9)
€12m
SD9 (13)
€8m
ING (12)
€3m
Hannover 96's defence is €9m more valuable than Ingolstadt's (€12m vs €3m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →