Defensive solidity will dominate this Liga Leumit encounter, with Hapoel Afula conceding 0.8 goals per home game and Hapoel Ra’anana allowing 0.93 away goals. Both sides have faced opponents of similar strength, yet Ra’anana’s 1.21 goals scored on the road outshine Afula’s 0.7 at home. The model favours an away win, with a 43% chance, followed by a 31% draw and a 26% home win. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5% + edge 7%), Under 5.5 (97.5% + edge 3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%). Both teams are on a three-game winning streak, with Afula’s last win 1-0 and Ra’anana’s last 3-2.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Hapoel Afula snapped a four-game winning streak with a 3-2 victory over Hapoel Ra’anana, overturning the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 43%. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 3-2 confirmed the home side’s win. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.8%) hit, Under 6.5 (99.3%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%) missed, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (98.5%) hit, Under 5.5 (97.5%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%) hit, and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%) hit. The match delivered more goals than the expected 2.2, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Afula win✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.73
Edge
-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.94
William Hil
2.80
Dafabet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 2.88
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Dafabet
2.95
Hapoel Ra'anana win✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.52
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Afula
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.00
1.19
1.36
1.43
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.17
1.50
1.75
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.33
0.83
1.00
1.42
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ra'anana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.03
1.44
1.12
1.21
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.33
1.03
1.44
1.12
1.21
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.36-1.0%
Under 1.5
34.2%
@ 2.75+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Under
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.7%
@ 2.17-4.5%
Under 2.5
62.3%
@ 1.58+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Bet365
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.1%
@ 3.76-6.0%
Under 3.5
81.9%
@ 1.19+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.19
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.9%
@ 1.84-4.6%
No
55.1%
@ 1.80+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
No
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 5.41+6.6%
0-1
12.7%@ 6.66+6.3%
0-0
12.4%@ 6.97+6.3%
1-0
9.1%@ 7.09+3.1%
0-2
8.8%@ 10.96+5.0%
1-2
8.3%@ 8.91+3.5%
2-1
6.1%@ 9.43+1.6%
2-0
4.9%@ 11.96+1.3%
Hapoel Afula goals ↓
Hapoel Ra'anana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
8.8%
3.7%
1.2%
1
9.1%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
4.9%
6.1%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Afula goals (down), columns = Hapoel Ra'anana goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula is 0.14 points worse than Hapoel Ra'anana in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Hapoel Afula is 0.08 goals worse than Hapoel Ra'anana in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Afula is 0.38 goals worse than Hapoel Ra'anana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Afula or Draw✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied 64.1% · @ 1.42
Edge
-6.6%
26%
31%
43%
covers Hapoel Afula + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Hapoel Afula or Hapoel Ra'anana✓ Hit
68.7%
Avg Implied 69.7% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.0%
26%
31%
43%
covers Hapoel Afula + Hapoel Ra'anana
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.40
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Draw or Hapoel Ra'anana✗ Miss
73.8%
Avg Implied 66.2% · @ 1.38
Edge
+7.6%
26%
31%
43%
covers Draw + Hapoel Ra'anana
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.38
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.8%
@ 1.37-6.4%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.80+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.71
Betano
2.70
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
24.1%
@ 2.70-9.7%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.38+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.89
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.72
10Bet
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
6.9%
@ 6.65-6.9%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Hapoel Afula over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 11.00-7.0%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.7%
@ 1.34+3.3%
Under
28.3%
@ 2.91-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.0%
@ 2.62+1.0%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.41-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
2.68
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 6.29-1.1%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.07+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
5.70
Under
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 11.00-4.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Afula, so a minus line means Hapoel Afula give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Ra'anana receive them. At -1, Hapoel Afula must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Afula win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hapoel Afula)Actual: Hapoel Ra'anana
Hapoel Afula -2
2.6%
@ 15.00-3.5%
Draw -2
7.1%
@ 7.50-5.1%
Hapoel Ra'anana +2
90.3%
@ 1.12+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.12
Handicap -1 (Hapoel Afula)Actual: Draw
Hapoel Afula -1
9.7%
@ 5.61-5.9%
Draw -1
16.6%
@ 4.06-5.0%
Hapoel Ra'anana +1
73.8%
@ 1.39+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
4.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Hapoel Afula)Actual: Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula +1
57.5%
@ 1.43-3.2%
Draw +1
22.8%
@ 3.84+0.2%
Hapoel Ra'anana -1
19.8%
@ 5.16+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
4.35
Handicap +2 (Hapoel Afula)Actual: Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula +2
80.2%
@ 1.14-0.4%
Draw +2
12.9%
@ 7.50+0.6%
Hapoel Ra'anana -2
6.9%
@ 13.00-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Afula
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.56
0.50
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.46
0.58
0.42
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ra'anana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.75
0.31
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.60
0.47
0.75
0.31
0.43
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.5%
@ 1.45+2.7%
Under 0.5
34.5%
@ 2.45-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Pinnacle
2.54
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
28.6%
@ 3.05-1.3%
Under 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.30+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.14
Under
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.1%
@ 7.37-2.3%
Under 2.5
89.9%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.50
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.10
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.1%
@ 2.33+1.6%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.52-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.5%
@ 8.50-1.2%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.02+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.4%
@ 2.25+0.4%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.56-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 7.80+0.0%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.03-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Afula
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.44
0.69
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.88
0.25
0.58
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ra'anana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.69
0.81
0.79
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.73
0.57
0.69
0.81
0.79
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.28+3.5%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.20-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 2.35-1.2%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.51+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 5.38-2.8%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.12+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.80
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
4.90
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.9%
@ 1.91+0.1%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.75-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 5.80-2.8%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.08+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.5%
@ 1.85-0.1%
Under
50.5%
@ 1.81+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.2%
@ 5.35-1.9%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.10+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
92.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
90.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
81.9%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Betano
1.21
Unibet
1.19
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
80.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
75.9%
1.38
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
+9.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.9%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
73.8%
1.38
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.38
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
73.8%
1.39
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
-
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.30
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
+1.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bnei Yehuda
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Ashdod
Ironi Modi'in
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Kiryat Yam SC
Kafr Qasim
Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Hapoel Acre