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Hapoel Afula vs Kafr Qasim Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Vs
24%
32%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Hapoel Afula a 24% win probability against Kafr Qasim in the Israel: Liga Leumit on 2026-05-25, with 32% for the draw and 43% for Kafr Qasim. The model estimates around 2.0 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.4%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (85%).

Results analysis

Hapoel Afula finished 2-0 against Kafr Qasim (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 24% home win, 32% draw and 43% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (85%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Afula win✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D13L21W00D14L00D11D21W14LH·IRO06/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·KIR17/04H·IRO24/04A·HAP30/04H·HAP04/05A·HAP08/05H·HAP15/05A·MAC19/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.430.931.401.401.47
vs Stronger (15)1.471.271.561.441.331.00
vs Similar (15)0.871.600.001.331.441.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L13L00D12L11D10W11D22D22DH·HAP03/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·IRO17/04H·HAP24/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05H·MAC15/05A·HAP19/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.270.881.380.931.14
vs Stronger (10)0.801.700.401.601.201.80
vs Similar (20)0.951.051.091.270.780.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
2-0 ✓
4.6%
Hapoel Afula goals ↓
Kafr Qasim goals →
01234
014%14%9.4%3.7%1.1%
19.6%14%7.9%3.1%0.9%
24.6%5.5%3.3%1.3%0.4%
31.3%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
40.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Afula goals (down), columns = Kafr Qasim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Hapoel Afula is 0.11 points better than Kafr Qasim in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Hapoel Afula is 0.08 goals worse than Kafr Qasim in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Afula is 0.24 goals worse than Kafr Qasim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D12L20W00D10W00D00D10W01LH·IRO06/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·KIR17/04H·IRO24/04A·HAP30/04H·HAP04/05A·HAP08/05H·HAP15/05A·MAC19/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.470.600.600.47
vs Stronger (15)0.800.470.780.670.830.17
vs Similar (15)0.270.600.000.500.440.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L03L00D01L01L10W01L01L02LH·HAP03/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·IRO17/04H·HAP24/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05H·MAC15/05A·HAP19/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.730.250.880.290.57
vs Stronger (10)0.201.000.001.400.400.60
vs Similar (20)0.300.600.360.640.220.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (34)
€7m
BY (40)
€4m
HRL (37)
€4m
HRG (33)
€4m
HA (47)
€3m
HKS (35)
€3m
HKS (37)
€3m
HR (46)
€3m
MH (38)
€3m
MKJ (41)
€2m
KYS (46)
€2m
HA (47)
€2m
KQ (37)
€2m
IM (33)
€1m
Hapoel Afula and Kafr Qasim have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
HA wins
3
Draws
2
KQ wins

Head-to-head

Hapoel Afula vs Kafr Qasim · H/A from HA
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/26AKafr Qasim Vs HA1-2
28/09/25HHA Vs Kafr Qasim0-4
16/05/25HHA Vs Kafr Qasim0-1
28/03/25HHA Vs Kafr Qasim2-0
13/12/24AKafr Qasim Vs HA0-0
19/04/24AKafr Qasim Vs HA0-1
02/02/24AKafr Qasim Vs HA1-1
18/09/23HHA Vs Kafr Qasim1-1

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HA4-1
15/05/26HHA Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit2-1
08/05/26AHapoel Hadera Vs HA1-1
04/05/26HHA Vs Hapoel Ra'anana0-0
30/04/26AHapoel Acre Vs HA4-1
24/04/26HHA Vs Ironi Modi'in0-0
17/04/26AKiryat Yam SC Vs HA1-2
14/04/26HHA Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1-3
10/04/26AHapoel Ra'anana Vs HA1-1
06/04/26HHA Vs Ironi Modi'in0-0

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26AHapoel Ra'anana Vs KQ2-2
15/05/26HKQ Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-2
11/05/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1-1
05/05/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre1-0
01/05/26AIroni Modi'in Vs KQ1-1
24/04/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Hadera1-2
17/04/26AIroni Modi'in Vs KQ0-0
14/04/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan1-3
10/04/26AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs KQ1-0
03/04/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem0-3

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.10
HomeDLDDW1.20
AwayDWLDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.422.322.52
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored0.960.960.96
Conceded1.461.361.56
BTTS48%36%60%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD1.18
HomeLLWDD1.26
AwayWLDDD1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%22%
AVG goals2.342.562.09
Over 1.5 %70%78%61%
Over 2.5 %38%52%22%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.101.191.00
Conceded1.241.371.09
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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