This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.90
1.27
0.87
1.60
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.44
0.85
1.36
0.79
1.54
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
0.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.3%
No
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.7%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
4.8%
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals ↓
Ironi Tiberias goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
3.7%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
1
14%
10.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
2
15%
9.0%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
9.7%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
4.8%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (down), columns = Ironi Tiberias goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Ashdod
1.20
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 1.60 points worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Hadera
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.40 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 1.80 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw✗ Miss
90.4%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
10%
covers Hapoel Beer Sheva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Ironi Tiberias✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
10%
covers Hapoel Beer Sheva + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ironi Tiberias✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
10%
covers Draw + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.1%
Under
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.8%
Under
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
45.7%
Under
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Beer Sheva, so a minus line means Hapoel Beer Sheva give that many goals of a start and Ironi Tiberias receive them. At -1, Hapoel Beer Sheva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Beer Sheva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.26
0.64
0.29
0.38
0.23
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.07
0.67
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.78
0.75
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.10
0.57
1.18
0.73
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
0.67
0.53
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.59
0.71
0.50
1.15
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kings Kangwa46%
Alon Turgeman43%
Dan Biton32%
Iuri Medeiros29%
Eliel Peretz24%
Paul Arnold Garita18%
Matan Baltaxa13%
Shai Elias12%
Yoni Stoyanov10%
Amir Chaim Ganah10%
Hélder Lopes9%
Zahi Ahmed7%
Miguel Vítor6%
Carlos Ponck0%
Roy Gordana0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Antonio Sefer0%
Rotem Hatuel0%
Or Blorian0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
Samir Farhud0%
Niv Eliasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carlos Ponck33%
Rotem Hatuel33%
Or Blorian24%
Miguel Vítor24%
Matan Baltaxa20%
Lucas Ventura19%
Hélder Lopes17%
Roy Gordana17%
Guy Mizrahi17%
Iuri Medeiros14%
Eliel Peretz14%
Zahi Ahmed13%
Samir Farhud12%
Paul Arnold Garita9%
Niv Eliasi9%
Kings Kangwa8%
Antonio Sefer7%
Yoni Stoyanov5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Dan Biton0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Shai Elias0%
Amir Chaim Ganah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Sefer29%
Roy Gordana25%
Kings Kangwa25%
Eliel Peretz24%
Dan Biton23%
Amir Chaim Ganah15%
Iuri Medeiros14%
Hélder Lopes13%
Guy Mizrahi12%
Samir Farhud12%
Or Blorian10%
Paul Arnold Garita9%
Zahi Ahmed7%
Yoni Stoyanov5%
Lucas Ventura5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Rotem Hatuel0%
Shai Elias0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dan Biton36%
Paul Arnold Garita23%
Kings Kangwa21%
Iuri Medeiros14%
Shai Elias12%
Miguel Vítor12%
Amir Chaim Ganah10%
Alon Turgeman9%
Zahi Ahmed7%
Yoni Stoyanov5%
Eliel Peretz5%
Hélder Lopes0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Roy Gordana0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Antonio Sefer0%
Rotem Hatuel0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Or Blorian0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
Samir Farhud0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's squad is €15m more valuable than Ironi Tiberias's (€20m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack is €8m more valuable than Ironi Tiberias's (€10m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's midfield is €4m more valuable than Ironi Tiberias's (€5m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's defence is €3m more valuable than Ironi Tiberias's (€5m vs €2m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
HBS wins
0
Draws
0
IT wins
Head-to-head
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Ironi Tiberias · H/A from HBS
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera