Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Haifa Result & Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva are the clear favourites, with a 42% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 31% chance of a Maccabi Haifa win. The model expects 2.9 goals in total, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 12.7%. Hapoel’s home form shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Maccabi Haifa’s away record is 2.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 88.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.6%, Over 1.5 at 79.3% (hit), Over 3.5 cards at 75.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.5% and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.4%. The match is set to be high-scoring and physically demanding, with both sides likely to register plenty of fouls and cards.

The pre-match favourite, Hapoel Beer Sheva, failed to deliver, as the match finished 3-3, a draw that surprised everyone. The model had picked a home win with a 42% probability, but that call was wrong. The game’s final score of 3-3 matched the actual result of a draw, extending Hapoel’s recent run of wins. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit its target with a 79.3% probability. The match saw both sides score three goals each, a total that exceeded the expected 2.9 and the most likely 2-goal outcome. The upset underscored the volatility of the league.