This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
0.40
2.62
0.12
1.57
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (10)
2.80
0.10
3.00
0.17
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
11%
8.9%
4.3%
1.6%
1
7.3%
14%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.4%
6.4%
4.6%
2.3%
0.8%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.14
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.03
Beitar Jerusalem
1.30
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Hapoel Katamon
1.25
Hapoel Haifa
1.24
Ashdod
1.19
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Bnei Sakhnin
1.12
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.03
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.76
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.11 points better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.92
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.81
Beitar Jerusalem
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.22
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Bnei Sakhnin
1.18
Ashdod
1.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.94
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.11 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.64
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.81
Maccabi Haifa
0.94
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.22
Ashdod
1.28
Bnei Sakhnin
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.48
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Hapoel Hadera
1.61
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.64
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Beitar Jerusalem
1.76
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.17 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 0.64).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bnei Sakhnin
68%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
61%
Maccabi Netanya
53%
Beitar Jerusalem
47%
Sektzia Nes Tziona
42%
Hapoel Haifa
34%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva
For 4.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 4.5 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
8.9
9.5
8.2
2.0
2.2
1.8
28.0
29.0
27.2
vs Stronger (2)
5.5
7.0
4.0
6.0
7.0
5.0
29.5
32.0
27.0
vs Similar (12)
10.0
10.3
9.7
2.3
3.0
1.9
27.4
27.5
27.3
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
75%
25%
35%
30%
40%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
25%
75%
65%
70%
60%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
11.2
10.3
12.0
2.2
1.0
3.6
24.7
25.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
10.8
10.0
11.5
5.6
4.0
6.7
24.7
25.0
24.0
vs Weaker (10)
12.0
11.0
13.0
0.5
0.0
1.2
-
-
-
% over line
67%
67%
67%
33%
25%
43%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
33%
33%
67%
75%
57%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
11.2
Maccabi Haifa
9.6
Maccabi Netanya
9.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6.6
Maccabi Netanya
5.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.0
Maccabi Haifa
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
24.7
Maccabi Haifa
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.1%
Under 21.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.25
0.60
0.40
0.29
0.14
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.75
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.07
1.25
0.00
0.86
0.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
93% (+66pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.15
0.55
0.80
0.60
1.50
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
1.17
0.42
0.80
0.60
1.43
0.29
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.38
0.12
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.10
1.50
0.17
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tomer Hemed29%
Sagiv Yehezkel29%
Rotem Hatuel25%
Tomer Yosefi20%
Ramzi Safuri20%
Astrit Selmani14%
Miguel Vítor12%
Hélder Lopes0%
Shapi Suleymanov0%
Mariano Bareiro0%
Dor Micha0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Dadya Or0%
Shai Elias0%
Eden Shamir0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Omri Glazer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rotem Hatuel50%
Shai Elias50%
Mariano Bareiro29%
Shapi Suleymanov25%
Dor Micha25%
Tomer Yosefi20%
Astrit Selmani14%
Sagiv Yehezkel14%
Hélder Lopes12%
Miguel Vítor12%
Omri Glazer12%
Tomer Hemed0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Dadya Or0%
Ramzi Safuri0%
Eden Shamir0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ramzi Safuri40%
Dor Micha25%
Tomer Yosefi20%
Eugene Ansah12%
Rotem Hatuel12%
Hélder Lopes0%
Shapi Suleymanov0%
Mariano Bareiro0%
Tomer Hemed0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Dadya Or0%
Shai Elias0%
Eden Shamir0%
Sagiv Yehezkel0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Omri Glazer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rotem Hatuel38%
Shapi Suleymanov25%
Ramzi Safuri20%
Tomer Hemed14%
Hélder Lopes0%
Mariano Bareiro0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Dor Micha0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Dadya Or0%
Shai Elias0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Eden Shamir0%
Sagiv Yehezkel0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Omri Glazer0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Peretz67%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohamed Camara33%
Raz Shlomo33%
Issouf Sissokho33%
Dor Peretz0%
Ester Sokler0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Camara33%
Dor Peretz33%
Roy Revivo33%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz33%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Roy Revivo33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's squad is €15m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€20m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack is €3m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€10m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's midfield is €4m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€5m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's defence is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€5m vs €13m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
HBS wins
0
Draws
0
MTA wins
Head-to-head
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv · H/A from HBS
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Hapoel Hadera
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Sektzia Nes Tziona