Hapoel Beer Sheva arrive from a win-loss-win-loss-win streak, having edged Hapoel Ramat Gan 2-1, while Maccabi Tel Aviv also come off a victory, beating Maccabi Haifa 3-1. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, giving Hapoel Beer Sheva a 42% chance, a draw 22%, and Maccabi Tel Aviv 36%. The expected total goals hover at 3.9, with the most probable total of three goals at 20%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 8.5% probability. Hapoel Beer Sheva, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the road, averages 1.67 scored and 2.17 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 96.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.1%, Under 7.5 at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 91.9%, and Over 1.5 at 90.8% with a 12% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva win
40.2%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.39
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.62
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.38
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.45
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
37.5%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.62
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.82
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.61
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.20
2.07
1.20
1.87
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
1.69
1.31
2.00
1.38
1.38
1.25
vs Weaker (12)
2.42
1.25
2.33
1.17
2.50
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.37
1.67
1.13
2.27
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.85
1.29
1.57
1.67
2.17
vs Weaker (17)
2.35
1.00
2.00
0.75
2.67
1.22
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.3%
@ 1.17+11.9%
Under 1.5
8.7%
@ 4.50-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Under
Pinnacle
4.98
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.80
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75.7%
@ 1.59+17.4%
Under 2.5
24.3%
@ 2.22-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
56.0%
@ 2.45+18.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
@ 1.50-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
BetVictor
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
75.1%
@ 1.50+13.5%
No
24.9%
@ 2.41-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
No
1xBet
2.53
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
William Hil
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.2%@ 6.53+1.4%
2-1
7.5%@ 8.57+2.4%
2-2
7.3%@ 10.53+3.1%
1-2
7.3%@ 9.12+2.4%
3-1
5.1%@ 15.62+2.2%
3-2
4.9%@ 19.75+2.7%
2-3
4.8%@ 20.75+2.6%
1-3
4.7%@ 17.69+2.2%
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.6%
2.9%
3.6%
2.3%
1.1%
1
3.1%
8.2%
7.3%
4.7%
2.3%
2
3.9%
7.5%
7.3%
4.8%
2.3%
3
2.6%
5.1%
4.9%
3.2%
1.6%
4
1.3%
2.6%
2.5%
1.6%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.39 points better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.14 goals better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 0.26 goals better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Hapoel Beer Sheva is 6.7 percentage points better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average possession (60% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva
For 4.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.5 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.3
10.0
3.6
3.6
3.6
28.2
28.8
27.6
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
-
6.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
15.0
-
15.0
vs Similar (25)
9.9
9.2
10.6
4.4
4.4
4.5
29.5
29.4
29.6
vs Weaker (23)
9.6
9.5
9.8
2.8
2.9
2.8
27.3
27.8
26.6
% over line
53%
53%
53%
52%
52%
52%
87%
87%
87%
% under line
47%
47%
47%
48%
48%
48%
13%
13%
13%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.4
9.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
29.8
29.6
30.0
vs Stronger (1)
4.0
-
4.0
2.0
-
2.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (20)
9.1
8.4
10.0
4.4
5.2
3.4
28.8
28.6
29.1
vs Weaker (29)
9.1
8.4
9.9
3.3
3.1
3.5
30.9
31.0
30.9
% over line
42%
42%
41%
62%
64%
60%
97%
95%
100%
% under line
58%
58%
59%
38%
36%
40%
3%
5%
0%
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.6
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
29.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Maccabi Haifa
27.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.6
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.1%
Under 9.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.9%
Under 3.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
92.8%
Under 21.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Draw
62.5%
Avg Implied 65.0% · @ 1.44
Edge
-2.5%
40%
22%
37%
covers Hapoel Beer Sheva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Hapoel Beer Sheva or Maccabi Tel Aviv
77.7%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.26
Edge
+3.8%
40%
22%
37%
covers Hapoel Beer Sheva + Maccabi Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Draw or Maccabi Tel Aviv
59.8%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.53
Edge
-1.3%
40%
22%
37%
covers Draw + Maccabi Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5
Over
86.7%
@ 1.19+8.9%
Under
13.3%
@ 4.18-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5
Over
59.9%
@ 1.99+13.0%
Under
40.1%
@ 1.76-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Under
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5
Over
32.8%
@ 4.06+10.0%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.20-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Pinnacle
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 3.5
Over
14.6%
@ 9.25+4.4%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.05-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5
Over
85.7%
@ 1.23+10.2%
Under
14.3%
@ 3.80-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.12
1xBet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.56
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5
Over
58.0%
@ 2.13+14.1%
Under
42.0%
@ 1.67-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5
Over
30.9%
@ 4.54+10.4%
Under
69.1%
@ 1.17-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 3.5
Over
13.4%
@ 10.56+4.4%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.04-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Beer Sheva, so a minus line means Hapoel Beer Sheva give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Tel Aviv receive them. At -1, Hapoel Beer Sheva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Beer Sheva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hapoel Beer Sheva)
Hapoel Beer Sheva -2
10.6%
@ 9.65+1.2%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 7.20-0.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +2
77.3%
@ 1.16-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Draw
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Away
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Hapoel Beer Sheva)
Hapoel Beer Sheva -1
22.7%
@ 4.40+2.4%
Draw -1
17.5%
@ 4.29-3.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1
59.8%
@ 1.53+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.95
Away
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Hapoel Beer Sheva)
Hapoel Beer Sheva +1
62.5%
@ 1.43-0.7%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 4.62-2.7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -1
20.6%
@ 5.25+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Handicap +2 (Hapoel Beer Sheva)
Hapoel Beer Sheva +2
79.4%
@ 1.13+2.5%
Draw +2
11.3%
@ 6.45-2.1%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -2
9.3%
@ 9.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.13
0.53
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.44
1.00
0.62
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.50
1.33
0.50
1.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.50
0.87
0.33
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.62
0.71
0.57
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.35
0.41
1.00
0.12
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.29+5.4%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 3.29-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 2.32+0.6%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.55-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
10Bet
2.30
Under
William Hil
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 5.34-1.6%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.12+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.0%
@ 1.85+5.8%
Under
44.0%
@ 1.86-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.4%
@ 5.25-0.3%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.12+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.0%
@ 12.38-0.7%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.9%
@ 1.91-2.5%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.79+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.70
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.8%
@ 5.66-2.5%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.10+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
@ 15.88-2.1%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
0.93
0.67
1.27
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.88
1.00
0.75
1.12
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.75
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.83
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
1.23
0.57
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.59
1.00
0.62
1.00
0.56
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.16+1.2%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 4.54-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.80+2.0%
Under 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.90-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Betano
1.90
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.3%
@ 3.41-0.9%
Under 2.5
73.7%
@ 1.27+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.50
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.4%
@ 1.57+1.4%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.26-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.1%
@ 3.71-2.8%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.23+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.3%
@ 9.23-3.7%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.8%
@ 1.66+0.1%
Under
44.2%
@ 2.09-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
@ 4.04-6.0%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.20+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.05
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.8%
@ 10.50-4.0%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
1xBet
10.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.0%
Under 7.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+0.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.3%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
+11.9%
Over 2.5 cards
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
89.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-5.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.7%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+8.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
86.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-4.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.10
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+2.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
85.7%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Betfair
1.20
+10.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
85.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-4.4%
Under 11.5 corners
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+1.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
-
+6.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+0.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
+1.2%
Home +2 handicap
79.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+2.5%
Under 5.5
79.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-9.4%
Over 3.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+2.8%
Home or Away
77.7%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
+3.8%
Away +2 handicap
77.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
-0.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.2%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+5.4%
Under 10.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
75.7%
1.59
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
+17.4%
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.50
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
+13.5%
Over 25.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.7%
1.27
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
+0.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. East67%
E. Peretz33%
Guy Mizrahi33%
Pedro Amador0%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
M. Vítor0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itay Rotman0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Vítor67%
E. Peretz33%
Yonas Malede33%
Itay Rotman33%
Mohamad Abu Rumi33%
J. East0%
Pedro Amador0%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Peretz33%
Guy Mizrahi33%
J. East0%
Pedro Amador0%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
M. Vítor0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itay Rotman0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. East33%
Pedro Amador33%
O. Marciano0%
Lucas Ventura0%
M. Vítor0%
E. Peretz0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itay Rotman0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
N. Yehoshua0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Peretz67%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohamed Camara33%
Raz Shlomo33%
Issouf Sissokho33%
Dor Peretz0%
Ester Sokler0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Camara33%
Dor Peretz33%
Roy Revivo33%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz33%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Roy Revivo33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's squad is €15m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€20m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack is €3m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€10m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's midfield is €4m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€5m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Hapoel Beer Sheva's defence is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€5m vs €13m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon
Beitar Jerusalem