This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
1.20
1.33
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.94
1.88
0.88
1.38
1.00
2.38
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.07
1.57
1.29
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.4%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.4%
Under 2.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
Under 3.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.1%
2-0 â
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.4%
Hapoel Haifa goals ↓
Ashdod goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.5%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.4%
8.5%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.2%
3.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Haifa goals (down), columns = Ashdod goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.36
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.69
Hapoel Haifa
1.64
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Bnei Sakhnin
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem
1.24
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.21
Maccabi Netanya
1.15
Ashdod
1.12
Hapoel Hadera
1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.73
Hapoel Haifa is 0.52 points better than Ashdod in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.12).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
2.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.53
Beitar Jerusalem
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.15
Maccabi Netanya
1.09
Bnei Sakhnin
1.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Ashdod
0.88
Hapoel Hadera
0.85
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.76
Hapoel Haifa is 0.45 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.88).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.69
Maccabi Haifa
0.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.18
Beitar Jerusalem
1.21
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Bnei Sakhnin
1.28
Hapoel Haifa
1.31
Ashdod
1.36
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Hapoel Hadera
1.48
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Haifa is 0.06 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.36).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Maccabi Haifa
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
56%
Maccabi Netanya
56%
Beitar Jerusalem
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
49%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
49%
Bnei Sakhnin
48%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Ashdod
42%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Hapoel Haifa is 3.2 percentage points better than Ashdod in terms of average possession (46% vs 42%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Haifa
For 5.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ashdod
For 3.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
9.3
10.1
8.0
1.5
1.8
1.2
27.5
-
27.5
vs Stronger (6)
10.5
10.5
-
1.3
2.7
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
9.1
10.0
8.0
1.6
1.7
1.4
27.5
-
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
56%
33%
23%
28%
18%
100%
-
100%
% under line
53%
44%
67%
77%
72%
82%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
7.9
8.0
7.9
2.0
2.3
1.6
-
-
-
vs Stronger (18)
7.5
7.4
7.8
2.1
3.1
1.1
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
8.6
10.0
8.0
1.9
1.6
2.1
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
44%
22%
34%
37%
32%
-
-
-
% under line
67%
56%
78%
66%
63%
68%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
12.0
Maccabi Haifa
10.4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.9
Beitar Jerusalem
9.9
Bnei Sakhnin
9.8
Maccabi Netanya
9.7
Hapoel Hadera
9.4
Hapoel Haifa
9.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.7
Ashdod
7.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.2
Maccabi Netanya
5.2
Maccabi Haifa
5.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
5.0
Hapoel Hadera
4.8
Ashdod
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4.5
Hapoel Haifa
4.4
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bnei Sakhnin
30.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.2
Hapoel Haifa
27.5
Maccabi Haifa
23.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
20.5
Beitar Jerusalem
19.0
Maccabi Netanya
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.1%
Under 9.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.8%
Under 3.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
53.7%
Under 21.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.20
0.20
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.33
0.25
0.08
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.81
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.57
0.57
0.86
0.14
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.67
0.53
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.67
0.75
0.58
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (16)
0.56
1.06
0.38
0.88
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.43
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tomer Yosefi38%
Guy Melamed37%
Hatem Abd Elhamed22%
Mohammed Kamara16%
Inon Eliyahu13%
Dmitri Antilevski12%
Liran Sardal9%
Noam Ben Harush9%
Shoval Gozlan0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Denis Polyakov0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Felipe Santos0%
Naor Sabag0%
Oded Checkol0%
Dor Malul0%
George Diba0%
Itamar Noy0%
Itay Buganim0%
Bar Lin0%
Niv Tubul0%
Yealo Kurka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammed Kamara42%
Liran Sardal32%
Dmitri Antilevski25%
George Diba23%
Naor Sabag21%
Dor Malul20%
Niv Tubul20%
Itay Buganim18%
Noam Ben Harush18%
Fernand Mayembo15%
Hatem Abd Elhamed11%
Oren Biton11%
Denis Polyakov11%
Tomer Yosefi10%
Itamar Noy10%
Yoav Gerafi6%
Felipe Santos6%
Shoval Gozlan0%
Niv Antman0%
Inon Eliyahu0%
Oded Checkol0%
Guy Melamed0%
Bar Lin0%
Yealo Kurka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guy Melamed16%
Tomer Yosefi14%
Hatem Abd Elhamed11%
Oren Biton11%
Mohammed Kamara11%
Itamar Noy10%
Fernand Mayembo8%
Itay Buganim5%
Noam Ben Harush5%
Dmitri Antilevski0%
Shoval Gozlan0%
Denis Polyakov0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Felipe Santos0%
Inon Eliyahu0%
Naor Sabag0%
Oded Checkol0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
George Diba0%
Bar Lin0%
Niv Tubul0%
Yealo Kurka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohammed Kamara37%
Guy Melamed32%
Dmitri Antilevski25%
Tomer Yosefi19%
Fernand Mayembo8%
Inon Eliyahu7%
Felipe Santos6%
Liran Sardal5%
Shoval Gozlan0%
Denis Polyakov0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Hatem Abd Elhamed0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Naor Sabag0%
Oded Checkol0%
Dor Malul0%
George Diba0%
Itamar Noy0%
Itay Buganim0%
Bar Lin0%
Noam Ben Harush0%
Niv Tubul0%
Yealo Kurka0%
Ashdod
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stav Nachmani29%
Ravid Abrgil25%
Ezekiel Henty20%
Jordan Botaka17%
Clark Robertson15%
Tom Ben-Zaken10%
Ebenezer Mamatah9%
Elad Shahaf6%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Ariel Harush0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Yaakov Brihon0%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Josef Ganda0%
Obeida Khattab0%
Gil Cohen0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Mohammad Kanaan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Roy Levy0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Shalev Harush0%
Noam Muche0%
Shaked Hakmon0%
Martin Ndzie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Obeida Khattab60%
Martin Ndzie50%
Tom Ben-Zaken30%
Jordan Sebban27%
Ebenezer Mamatah27%
Gil Cohen27%
Ilay Tamam27%
Omri Ben Harush22%
Noam Muche17%
Shaked Hakmon17%
Timothy Awany15%
Mohammad Kanaan13%
Roy Levy11%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy9%
Yaakov Brihon8%
Shalev Harush8%
Ravid Abrgil8%
Clark Robertson8%
Elad Shahaf6%
Ariel Harush5%
Jordan Botaka0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Josef Ganda0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohammad Kanaan13%
Martin Ndzie12%
Omri Ben Harush11%
Roy Levy11%
Shalev Harush8%
Ilay Tamam7%
Jordan Botaka6%
Elad Shahaf6%
Ariel Harush5%
Timothy Awany0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Clark Robertson0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Yaakov Brihon0%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Josef Ganda0%
Obeida Khattab0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Gil Cohen0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Noam Muche0%
Shaked Hakmon0%
Ebenezer Mamatah0%
Ravid Abrgil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josef Ganda14%
Jordan Botaka11%
Ezekiel Henty10%
Tom Ben-Zaken10%
Jordan Sebban9%
Ebenezer Mamatah9%
Shalev Harush8%
Ravid Abrgil8%
Mohammad Kanaan7%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Clark Robertson0%
Ariel Harush0%
David Cuperman0%
Michael Ohana0%
Yaakov Brihon0%
Yosef Azulay Shlomy0%
Lucas Salinas0%
Obeida Khattab0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Gil Cohen0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Roy Levy0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Noam Muche0%
Shaked Hakmon0%
Martin Ndzie0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Haifa and Ashdod have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Haifa and Ashdod have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Haifa and Ashdod have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Haifa and Ashdod have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →