Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Result & Analysis

Hapoel Haifa’s recent draw against Hapoel Tel Aviv sets a narrative of evenly matched teams, yet the model favours a home win. The probabilities show a 39% chance for Hapoel Haifa, 25% for a draw, and 36% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The expected total goals is 3.3, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.1% probability. Hapoel Haifa scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes 1.27 at home against similar opposition, while Hapoel Tel Aviv averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away against similar teams. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 92.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.0%, Over 23.5 fouls at 84.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.0%, Over 25.5 fouls at 73.9%, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.1%.

The match delivered a shock: the pre-match favourite, a home win for Hapoel Haifa, fell short as the game ended 3-3, a draw. The model’s call was wrong, with a 39% probability for a home victory. The final score of 3-3 matched the expected total of 3 goals, though the most likely scoreline was 1-1. The model’s selections all hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 96.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 92.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.0%, Over 23.5 fouls at 84.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.0%, Over 25.5 fouls at 73.9%, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.1%. Both sides were coming off draws, with Haifa’s recent form at DWLWW and Tel Aviv’s at DLDWL.