The match between Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Tel Aviv is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home win odds sit at 34 %, a draw at 27 % and an away win at 39 %. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high-scoring game, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 25 % chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.9 % probability. Hapoel Haifa, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Hapoel Tel Aviv, on the road, averages 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded against comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 at 97.4 % (edge 6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3 % (edge 7 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.0 % (edge 6 %), Over 19.5 fouls at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.4 % (edge 7 %) and Home under 3.5 goals at 95.0 % (edge 2 %).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Hapoel Tel Aviv, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s prediction of an away win with a 39% probability. The game saw both sides come off recent draws, with Hapoel Haifa’s last five games reading DWLWW and Hapoel Tel Aviv’s DWLDW. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.1%) was correct, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Under 6.5 (97.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (96.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.7%) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.9%). All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each figure was mentioned only once.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Haifa win✗ Miss
34.0%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.54
Edge
+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.70
10Bet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.60
Draw✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.74
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.00
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
William Hil
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
Hapoel Tel Aviv win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.67
Edge
-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Dafabet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.67
1.81
1.88
1.00
1.43
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
2.14
2.67
2.67
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.52
1.62
1.69
0.90
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.00
1.62
0.62
1.12
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.48
1.10
1.78
0.56
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
2.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.8%
@ 1.21+2.0%
Under 1.5
21.2%
@ 4.01-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.71-0.6%
Under 2.5
45.9%
@ 2.07+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
@ 2.72-2.2%
Under 3.5
68.2%
@ 1.41+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
BetVictor
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Under
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.7%
@ 1.68+3.5%
No
41.3%
@ 2.06-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
No
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.08
BetVictor
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.61+6.2%
1-2
8.7%@ 7.30+2.6%
2-1
8.1%@ 12.94+4.6%
0-1
7.4%@ 7.29+1.3%
0-0 ✓
7.0%@ 11.41+3.1%
1-0
6.8%@ 13.22+3.5%
0-2
6.3%@ 8.01+0.8%
2-2
5.9%@ 12.75+2.5%
Hapoel Haifa goals ↓
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
7.4%
6.3%
3.1%
1.1%
1
6.8%
13%
8.7%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.1%
5.9%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.5%
3.7%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Haifa goals (down), columns = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Hapoel Haifa is 0.74 points worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Haifa is 0.39 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Hapoel Haifa is 0.55 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Hapoel Haifa is 4.0 percentage points worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average possession (43% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Haifa
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 3.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 16.5 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.5
10.2
2.9
3.0
2.7
26.7
27.2
26.2
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
7.3
9.4
4.0
3.3
4.7
27.5
27.0
27.8
vs Similar (38)
9.7
8.9
10.6
2.5
3.0
2.1
26.4
27.3
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
31%
46%
46%
46%
46%
85%
92%
77%
% under line
62%
69%
54%
54%
54%
54%
15%
8%
23%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.2
7.7
3.2
3.3
3.1
29.6
27.8
31.2
vs Stronger (7)
8.8
14.5
5.0
3.1
2.3
3.8
28.4
27.5
29.0
vs Similar (35)
8.4
8.7
8.1
3.3
3.6
3.1
29.9
27.9
31.9
vs Weaker (8)
8.2
6.5
10.0
2.8
2.8
2.8
29.2
27.5
31.0
% over line
38%
43%
33%
40%
39%
41%
90%
86%
93%
% under line
62%
57%
67%
60%
61%
59%
10%
14%
7%
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.6
Beitar Jerusalem
28.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
26.7%
@ 1.89-22.4%
Under 9.5
73.3%
@ 1.82+22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.7%
Under 3.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.0%
Under 21.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Haifa or Draw✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.07
Edge
+16.5%
34%
27%
39%
covers Hapoel Haifa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Hapoel Haifa or Hapoel Tel Aviv✗ Miss
72.6%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.0%
34%
27%
39%
covers Hapoel Haifa + Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Draw or Hapoel Tel Aviv✓ Hit
66.0%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.17
Edge
-13.5%
34%
27%
39%
covers Draw + Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.20
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.6%
@ 1.45+10.7%
Under
25.4%
@ 2.57-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.68
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.8%
@ 3.25+11.1%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.31-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 8.72+5.3%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.04-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Hapoel Haifa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 19.00-0.0%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.01+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.1%
@ 1.12-5.6%
Under
22.9%
@ 5.38+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.4%
@ 1.68-12.0%
Under
56.6%
@ 2.09+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 3.13-11.1%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.32+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 6.60-7.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.09+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Haifa, so a minus line means Hapoel Haifa give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Tel Aviv receive them. At -1, Hapoel Haifa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Haifa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hapoel Haifa)Actual: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Haifa -2
5.7%
@ 29.00+2.4%
Draw -2
10.2%
@ 15.00+3.9%
Hapoel Tel Aviv +2
84.1%
@ 1.05-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
29.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Handicap -1 (Hapoel Haifa)Actual: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Haifa -1
15.9%
@ 8.57+5.8%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 5.58+2.5%
Hapoel Tel Aviv +1
66.0%
@ 1.17-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap +1 (Hapoel Haifa)Actual: Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Haifa +1
61.3%
@ 2.08+18.1%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 3.62-5.2%
Hapoel Tel Aviv -1
19.1%
@ 2.80-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Away
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +2 (Hapoel Haifa)Actual: Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Haifa +2
80.9%
@ 1.38+15.4%
Draw +2
11.8%
@ 4.97-6.3%
Hapoel Tel Aviv -2
7.3%
@ 5.50-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.75
0.81
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
0.67
1.67
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.65
0.77
0.62
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.62
0.23
0.35
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.38
0.67
0.11
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.0%
@ 1.32-2.4%
Under 0.5
32.0%
@ 3.14+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Under
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.0%
@ 2.49-2.4%
Under 1.5
65.0%
@ 1.49+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.61
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 5.92-4.9%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.10+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.3%
@ 2.50+5.3%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.47-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Superbet
2.50
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 8.91+0.2%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.03-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.5%
@ 1.66-8.5%
Under
52.5%
@ 2.10+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 4.24-9.6%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.18+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 9.50-7.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
1.06
1.06
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.87
0.85
1.08
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.38
0.76
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.71
1.11
0.44
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.18-3.0%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 4.26+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 1.91-8.9%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.81+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 3.83-6.6%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.22+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.86
Superbet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 2.04+5.1%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.69-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 6.39+0.1%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.08-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 16.75-2.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.3%
@ 1.44-10.1%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.59+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.65
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.7%
@ 3.04-10.7%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.32+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Betano
2.92
Under
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 7.60-7.9%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.05+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.03
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
BetVictor
1.02
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
89.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
-
-
+18.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.10
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.18
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.0%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.0%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.5%
1.32
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
-
-
+15.4%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.32
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.8%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.23
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
77.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-5.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
-3.0%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
74.6%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
10Bet
1.45
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.6%
1.23
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-3.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Haifa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alon Turgeman57%
Javon East46%
Ofek Biton20%
Liran Rotman14%
Roei Zikri12%
Rotem Hatuel10%
Anis Forat Ayias8%
Liran Sardal6%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Dor Malul0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Yaad Gonen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Larry Angulo67%
Roy Nawi47%
Rotem Hatuel35%
Alon Turgeman29%
Dor Malul26%
Bruno Ramires25%
Naor Sabag25%
Saná Gomes25%
Ivan Kričak22%
Oren Biton22%
Saar Fadida20%
Tamir Arbel20%
Liran Sardal18%
Itay Buganim15%
Liran Rotman14%
Yaad Gonen14%
Roei Zikri12%
George Diba11%
Javon East8%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Ofek Biton0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Yonatan Ferber0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ofek Biton33%
Naor Sabag15%
Yonatan Ferber15%
Javon East8%
Roei Zikri6%
Dor Malul5%
Rotem Hatuel5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Liran Rotman0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Roy Nawi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alon Turgeman57%
Ofek Biton20%
Rotem Hatuel20%
Liran Rotman14%
Javon East8%
Regis Ndo8%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Roei Zikri0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Roee Alkokin25%
D. Owusu25%
D. Dappa25%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
F. Mayembo0%
M. Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
A. Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
S. Torial0%
Mor Buskila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Torial67%
Chico50%
Falcão50%
M. Coco50%
Omri Altman33%
F. Mayembo25%
Andrian Kraev25%
Doron Leidner25%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
A. Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
D. Owusu0%
D. Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Torial33%
Emmanuel Boateng25%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
F. Mayembo0%
M. Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
A. Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
D. Owusu0%
D. Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin25%
D. Owusu25%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
F. Mayembo0%
M. Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
A. Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
S. Torial0%
Mor Buskila0%
D. Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Hapoel Haifa's squad is €13m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€4m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Hapoel Haifa's attack is €9m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Hapoel Haifa's midfield is €1m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Hapoel Haifa's defence is €2m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon
Beitar Jerusalem